Promise Turns Into ‘The Rudy Situation’

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ABM

Happily Married In Music City, USA!
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Nice piece from Brian T. Smith

http://www.columbian.com/news/2010/jul/30/promise-turns-into-the-rudy-situation/

A year ago, he was untouchable. Inspiring and immaculate.

There was the shot. The touch. The energy and excitement. The living definition of a thrilling, wide-eyed sharpshooter. Talent, youth and potential all wrapped up in a tight Spanish frame.

There was also the look. The look can never be counted out, and no one ever doubted that Portland Trail Blazers guard Rudy Fernandez had it. There was the hair. The endless 5 o’clock shadow. The way he appeared to effortlessly glide on the court and off it.

Fernandez’s potential made him tantalizing. But it was his look that truly made the Rose Garden scream “Rudy” and quickly turned the bench player who wore No. 5 into an undisputed fan favorite.

A year later?

Fernandez’s potential is up for debate and his image has fallen apart, breaking into sharp, jagged pieces.

That’s what happens when two sides pull in opposite directions and no one gives in.

That’s why an offseason that should be about the Blazers trying to find a way to make “The Rudy Situation” work has recently dissolved into a publicly contested media battle — one in which each side is waiting for the other to throw the first blow.

“The relationship is not working,” a league source close to Fernandez said Wednesday. “It’s time for a divorce.”....................
 
Supposedly part of the pitch to get him over here were certain promises by KP and Tom Penn -- mostly about being given playmaking responsibility and finding ways to put the ball in his hands -- so the roots of this debacle can probably be traced there ... but the responsibility for this experiment failing lies mostly with Rudy and the fact that he is incapable of guarding point guards, bringing the ball up the court, dribbling with his left hand and an inability to get any kind of separation or penetration with the bounce.

We end up with two failures to accurately evaluate a player: Failure by management to recognize certain limitations in Rudy's game and to project talents on to him that he doesn't possess (at least at an NBA level) and failure of the player to recognize his own weaknesses and try to address them but also to accurately assess his own role in his dismal second year.

What a mess.
 
What a mess.

So, then....he'll botch up any reasonable trade options due to his stated future (playing time / status) demands?

In that case, he may just end up back in Europe.

Good riddance.
 
So, then....he'll botch up any reasonable trade options due to his stated future (playing time / status) demands?

In that case, he may just end up back in Europe.

Good riddance.

I sort of expect to see it happen in two years when his contract runs out, that is unless he turns into the "star" that I believe he thinks he is and then gets paid NBA "star" money.

Of course it's all conjecture on my part, but Rudy strikes me as having a "big fish in a little pond" mentality; it's easier for his ego to blame Nate and his system (which admittedly probably isn't a great match for his particular skill-set) than it would be to admit that he has certain deficiencies in his game and his physique that will need to be addressed before he can become the player he thinks he is at this level.
 
The, there's this....

http://sports.yahoo.com/nba/blog/ba...ry-to-trade-for-Rudy-Fernandez?urn=nba-259071

But Portland Trail Blazers coach Nate McMillan, for whatever reason, doesn't see Rudy as someone to hand the ball to. It makes a little bit of sense — you want Brandon Roy(notes) using as many possessions as he can, and Andre Miller(notes) is no slouch as a point man — but those guys can't hound the rock forever. Or, for 48 minutes. So why not hand Rudy the ball, and at the same time, hand him his game back?

Ah, forget that. The Blazers are just going to trade the guy.

To possibly the Celtics, Bulls, or Knicks; Jason Quick reports.

All three would love to have him. And if I were a fan of either of those teams, I'd welcome him to a new city with open arms. I'd be wary about some things, but then I'd get past them.

What's to be wary about? Well, Fernandez hasn't been all that great in two NBA seasons. Average in his rookie year, and below average last year. A fine shooter, to be sure, but someone who has taken a ridiculous 63 percent of his shots from behind the arc. Ray Allen(notes) is another (nearly) record-setting 3-point shooter and (weirdly) a dunk contest participant, and he's only taken a third of his career looks from long range. And even these days, with Allen's forays to the basket seemingly few and far between, and the years ticking away, Ray only takes about 40 percent of his shots from behind the 3-point line.

On top of that, though he's only started nine NBA games in his career, three of those came in the playoffs last season, against the Suns. Phoenix, a team that can't play defense despite all the on-air proclamations about how things have improved markedly (or even partially) on that end. Should have been right up Rudy's alley, which sounds like an album title, and yet he only managed 7.3 points on 6-17 shooting. Five assists, during that turn, at just under 26 minutes a game.

And yet, this is where I throw all this stuff out. All this actual documentation of how things actually went down with him on the court. All this proof we have, spread out over 3,700 NBA minutes during the regular and postseason.

Because, if it's not his game that he's playing, how can we criticize him for not playing it well?

This is a prickly path to go down. You can scan the Internet for scads of columns I've written criticizing certain players for straying from a coach's seemingly righteous intended path. For wanting to play their game, above the team game.

But Rudy, just by watching the guy play, seems different. There are a lot of Rudys in this league, players who aren't used properly in one fashion or another, and I think this guy could be a sterling pickup for a team that needs someone to run stuff off the bench. Or even a starter, and second ball-handler. Perhaps, like — I don't know — Kirk Hinrich(notes) was in Chicago over the last two years?

Not to demand that he ends up in Cook County, but you get the picture. A starter, and someone to take over on a team that can be aided by its point guard playing off the ball sometimes. Or to take over running the show when the starting point man sits, because of the sheer amount of shoot-first backups in this league. Or just your typical mini-Manu, ham and egging it off the pine.
"Or just your typical mini-Manu, ham and egging it off the pine." Sportswriting.

Either way, with just one year and just under $1.25 left on his contract (there's a quite affordable team option for $2.1 million to follow in 2011-12), Fernandez could be a steal. And even if he keeps playing the way he's played — slightly below average — he's a steal; $1.25 million!

So yes, team, give up that first-round pick. Give it up in an instant. This guy is either going to be a bust-out player for you, or well worth what a team like Chicago or Boston (with a selection in the low teens or probable 20s) would end up paying for a first-round guaranteed deal at that slot anyway. If you kept the pick, and ended up drafting a guy of Rudy's 2010-11 caliber, you'd be ecstatic. Even with him playing at his lowest ebb, as we may have seen last year.

This is worth chasing down, NBA. Take advantage of a team that might not know what it has.
 
If Rudy was only average his rookie year, how did he end up on the All Rookie 2nd Team?
 
If Rudy was only average his rookie year, how did he end up on the All Rookie 2nd Team?

Perhaps, brownie points for setting the rookie 3-point record?
 
If Rudy was only average his rookie year, how did he end up on the All Rookie 2nd Team?

All that says is how he was doing compared to other rookies that year. As a player he was pretty average. He was an improvement on the teams 3 point shooting. That was about it.

The other thing I would point out is the team handed the ball to Rudy to try and make plays plenty last year and all he did was fuck up. So this bullshit about him not handling the ball is a crock in my view. Go back and watch the Phoenix series, there were stretches of horrible play while he was the main ball handler, and IMO, if he hadn't have played, we might have still been playing in the playoffs. He was that bad. In fact he was so bad, that I question whether he threw the games intentionally.
 
This was written three years ago by draftexpress.com's Jonathan Givony:

You just can’t concede Rudy any opportunity, because he will bury you with a barrage of shots in the blink of an eye. Enjoying NBA range, effective off the dribble and even fade-away moves, and extremely quick with the release of the ball, the only way to stop Fernández is to make him pay for his relatively limited ball-handling skills, especially with his left, and slashing ability. Indeed, Rudy struggles in pure one-on-one situations if he’s pressured, as it was exposed particularly in the semifinal. Suffering against aggressive on-ball defenses, he struggled trying to get rid of his opponent off the dribble, and given his prominence in Joventut’s offense, it almost cost his team the game.

Rudy needs to be already in motion or to enjoy some kind of advantage (a screen, an unbalanced defense, a mismatch) in order to break that first defensive opposition—but once he manages it, he’s extremely difficult to stop, thanks to his long strides, good footwork, and crafty finishing ability around the rim. He doesn’t need to find the layup, as he can stop somewhere in the paint to release his mid-range jumper while hanging in the air. He delivered a lot of that stuff in the final, paving his way to an outstanding 32-point outing that crowned his MVP performance in the Copa.

Having a nice feel for the game (even if he might eventually force too much trying to create his own shot, as it happened in the semifinal), Rudy can also officiate as a creator for his teammates thanks to his passing game. He sees the court pretty well, and shows a quick mind to take decisions. He did nice work here in the quarterfinal game, throwing some excellent passes, including consecutive alley-oop lobs, which fueled the spectacular aggressive and up-tempo style that Joventut likes to put in practice. He outdid himself in the semifinal, though, coming up with 9 assists to make Real Madrid pay for the defensive attention he was receiving.

Defense doesn’t look like a high priority for Rudy at this point. He’s not the most aggressive on-ball defender, and he’s not putting much energy into stopping his matchups. Enjoying a much larger offensive role this year, he’s probably saving some efforts. He’s a skinny guy who might get eventually outmuscled, but his length and quickness make up for it whenever he’s focused on this department. He fully takes part in the intense gambling style of defense that his team employs, staying aggressive in the passing lanes at all times to come up with a large amount of steals each game

From DraftExpress.com http://www.draftexpress.com/profile/Rudy-Fernandez-22/playerblog/#ixzz0vBLR3x15
http://www.draftexpress.com

What's different?

He's got some skills, but he didn't really address his weaknesses and NBA teams scouted him enough to know what to do to beat him or blunt his effectiveness.
 
I thought those who said BROY should be our PG were all crazy, because just like most SG's he just does not have the handles to do it full time. Having said that, he has 10 times the ball handling skills that Rudy has.
 
Rudy's problem is his head. May or may not be a coincindence that Sergio had the same problem. Their perception of how good they are doesn't match the reality. Rudy could be a very good role player with his ability to do certain things well... but he game regressed last year... he just about forgot how to penetrate and shoot a layin, his passing wasn't what it was the year before. His abilities didn't change... but something in his head did. I just don't have a big spot in my heart for someone who seems more concerned about how good he looks over how good the team plays.
 
Being brought in as B-Roy's Right hand man by KP didn't help his perception. But I agree Rudy needs some Paxil
 
If Rudy was only average his rookie year, how did he end up on the All Rookie 2nd Team?

Because:

Average NBA Player >>>> Average NBA Rookie

An average NBA player has a PER = 15.0

Rookie guards that play ate least 1000 minutes with a PER above 15.0 are pretty rare. There were only three during Rudy's rookie year:

Derrick Rose - 16.0 - Rookie of the Year
Rudy Fernandez - 15.5
Russell Westbrook - 15.2

So, he was the 2nd best rookie guard (as measured by PER), right behind the ROY winner.

BNM
 
I still remember him dunking against Dwight Howard and scoring like crazy in the Olympics.

It's a shame he doesn't want to stick around and help us win.
 
I still remember him dunking against Dwight Howard and scoring like crazy in the Olympics.

It's a shame he doesn't want to stick around and help us win.

He wasn't scoring like crazy in the Olympics. The guy wasn't even in the starting unit for Spain. He played well, with some flash, but he wasn't putting up huge numbers.
 
Their perception of how good they are doesn't match the reality.

It's not ego. He's in a hurry because he gives up around $3M evey year he plays here instead of in Europe.
 
Brandon Roy wants him here, says he helps the team. :smiley-trophy:

Good thing you guys are too smart to fall for that nonsense. :sherlock:
 

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