Science Quadrant Theory: Trade Partners

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Wizard Mentor

Wizard Mentor
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Teams that are old and have poor records are favorable trade partners. These can be determined quantitatively. First, I've ranked the teams by +/- and by age using basketballreference.com:

Team : Rank by +/- : Rank by age
GS 1 25
sas 2 29
hou 3 20
cleveland 4 27
utah 5 17
toronto 6 14
lac 7 30
boston 8 13
memphis 9 28
washington 10 12
OKC 11 2
Charlotte 12 18
Detroit 13 6
Milwaukee 14 8
atlanta 15 24
minny 16 1
heat 17 16
denver 18 5
bulls 19 22
dallas 20 23
indy 21 19
blazers 22 4
kings 23 26
nop 24 7
nyk 25 21
lal 26 11
suns 27 10
76ers 28 3
orlando 29 9
nets 30 15

The results, shown in the graph below, can be viewed as 4 quadrants:
Lower Left Quadrant: Young and Good
Upper Left Quadrant: Old and Good
Lower Right Quadrant: Young and Bad
Upper Right Quadrant: Old and Bad (teams that should consider rebuilding)

Note: there are a number of assumptions, which are basically unimportant. The idea is to identify an initial list for discussion of possible trade partners. "Old" = bottom half of league in average age. "Bad" = bottom half of league in +/-.

The Blazers are "4". The number next the data points are the team's average age.

The teams squarely in the 4th quadrant are 19, 21, 22, 23, 26. These are
Indy (19), NYK (21), Bulls (22), Dallas (23), Kings (26)

What do you think of these teams as trade partners?
trade_partners.jpg
 
Teams that are old and have poor records are favorable trade partners. These can be determined quantitatively. First, I've ranked the teams by +/- and by age using basketballreference.com:

Team : Rank by +/- : Rank by age
GS 1 25
sas 2 29
hou 3 20
cleveland 4 27
utah 5 17
toronto 6 14
lac 7 30
boston 8 13
memphis 9 28
washington 10 12
OKC 11 2
Charlotte 12 18
Detroit 13 6
Milwaukee 14 8
atlanta 15 24
minny 16 1
heat 17 16
denver 18 5
bulls 19 22
dallas 20 23
indy 21 19
blazers 22 4
kings 23 26
nop 24 7
nyk 25 21
lal 26 11
suns 27 10
76ers 28 3
orlando 29 9
nets 30 15

The results, shown in the graph below, can be viewed as 4 quadrants:
Lower Left Quadrant: Young and Good
Upper Left Quadrant: Old and Good
Lower Right Quadrant: Young and Bad
Upper Right Quadrant: Old and Bad (teams that should consider rebuilding)

Note: there are a number of assumptions, which are basically unimportant. The idea is to identify an initial list for discussion of possible trade partners. "Old" = bottom half of league in average age. "Bad" = bottom half of league in +/-.

The Blazers are "4". The number next the data points are the team's average age.

The teams squarely in the 4th quadrant are 19, 21, 22, 23, 26. These are
Indy (19), NYK (21), Bulls (22), Dallas (23), Kings (26)

What do you think of these teams as trade partners?
View attachment 12539


And how did you sneak this out of Olshey's office?

mission-impossible.jpg
 
Wat8.jpg
 
Theory worked. The last 3 teams made trades to get younger. Indy considered it for a long time. NYK probably should have!

and now Indy and NYK are going young, too.

So, Indy (19), NYK (21), Bulls (22), Dallas (23), Kings (26) are all still viable trade partners (they were bottom half in both +/- and age at the break). So, they should be looking for young players, and we have that, in addition to draft picks.
 

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