It changes weekly, but right now I don't think we'll play the Pens round 1. They can be 2 up on the Isles and they have the easiest remaining schedule of any team.
I think we are going to be locked into 1 or 2 in the Met. We have a 3 point lead on the Pens (own the TB) and potentially a 5 point lead on the Isles (3 games in hand and own TB already). The odds that we finish behind the Pens AND the Isles are slim to me unless we really struggle.
I think us or the Pens finish 1st. Us, or the Pens, or the Isles finish 2nd. Isles or Pens finish 3rd (most likely the Isles).
Our most likely 1st round matchup is the Caps. Next I would say the Isles. Then I would say the Bruins (if we catch Montreal we'd get the lower WC the Bruins). Last is the Pens because I just think one of us finishes 1st, which means we cannot play in round 1.
That's how I see it with 20 left.