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I'm interested in what Peyton Manning's stats are for that, and then the same drill for Todd Marinovich, Andre Ware and Duante Culpepper (who I think is a better comparison than Roethlisberger, down to the inflated stats from throwing bombs to Randy Moss/Steve Smith).
Gut feel is that it's tough to project greatness after 3 games.
Manning's first 3 games.
G1 - 21/37 302 yds 1TD 3INT
G2 - 21/33 188yds 1TD 3INT
G3 - 20/44 193yds 0TD 2INT 3rushes/26yds
Final season stats
3739yds
57%
24 TD
28 INT
71 QB rtg
Another thing to remember about both Elway and Manning is that both were 4 year starters in college, and both played in a pro-style offense in college.
Cam Newton started for 1 season in major college football from a shot-gun spread, played in a similar offense at Florida and Blinn, and has learned a pro-style offense well enough without any OTAs because of the lock-out to become an "average" NFL starting QB.
It's actually more impressive to me after I researched Elway and Manning, since both were #1 overall picks as well, and seeing how bad they were early in their rookie campaign.



