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Romney definitely has a shot. He will raise as much money as Obama, if not more, and the super PACs will far outraise democrats.
And
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2012/05/23/romney_leads_obama_in_florida_114250.html
Poll: Romney Leads Obama in Florida
Mitt Romney leads Barack Obama by six points in the key battleground state of Florida, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released Wednesday.
Romney attracts 47 percent of the support from registered voters, while Obama garners 41 percent. Having Florida U.S. Sen. Marco Rubio on the ticket would give the GOP nominee just a two-point boost, while it would have no impact on the president’s standing. In a Quinnipiac poll released earlier this month, Romney led Obama by just one point.
The president is getting marginal grades from Florida voters: 52 percent disapprove of the way he is handling his job, while 44 percent approve. Notably, by that same margin, voters there do not believe Obama deserves re-election. Fifty-six percent of independents give him a poor grade, while 39 percent say he is doing a fine job. And 54 percent of independent voters don’t think the president has earned a second term while 41 percent think he has. When it comes to the economy, 50 percent of voters find Romney best equipped to handle the situation while 40 percent pick Obama.
Florida voters appear to have a more favorable impression of Romney than they do of Obama. Fifty percent dislike the president while 45 percent have a favorable opinion of him. Thirty-five percent dislike Romney while 44 percent view him favorably, though 19 percent say they haven’t heard enough about him to make a decision.
The former Massachusetts governor leads among independent voters here, 44 percent to 36 percent. The two rivals run about even with each other among women voters, though Obama holds a one-point edge. Romney leads significantly among men, 50 percent to 37 percent. Notably, though, Obama holds only a two-point edge over Romney among Hispanic voters, receiving 42 percent of the support. Republicans need to narrow the near 2-to-1 Latino gap from four years ago to be successful in November. Both the Obama campaign and the RNC have grass-roots efforts in place to attract Hispanic voters.
Romney leads among voters over the age of 55 by 12 points, attracting 51 percent of the support. Obama leads among voters under the age of 34 by 11 points. Romney edges Obama by four points among voters 35-54 years of age.
