Unfortunately we're nowhere close. I was way more optimistic in the Juan Dixon era.
The Wizards are about the only worse roster than us and they even have better picks - as well as committed to a direction.
Of course getting a stud in the draft one of these years would help a ton, I was hoping Scoot or Sharpe might be that but they're not. Every year I always hope there's a chance, but odds are probably against us in 2025 especially since we already have a dozen wins.
Even with a stud we need another great pick and we need to build up assets to trade for that final piece. We have zero of those three items needed to build a playoff winner. All we have are role players, overpaid vets, and young guys with "potential". But we don't have that elite stud potential. We have the guys a hometown fan roots for and the rest of the league disregards.
My fear is ownership gets impatient and we basically become a West version of what the Bulls were the last half decade, certainly not winning but no longer even getting good picks.
I'd guess 2032 is about the break even year of when we'll likely win a playoff series again. It was what 15 year from Sheed to Dame so if things go bad if might be closer to 2035 or later.
The poor ownership is the single biggest factor but of course GM, talent, lack of draft assets, market are all factors too.
Just a very dark era to be a fan of this franchise and I often question why I even bother.