The election results thread

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If what Kitz just said is true, that just over 50% of Multnomah Co is counted, this shit is over. Good ole Portland. Controlling the entire state once again.

I'm not a Repub, so don't jump my shit. Just pointing out the blatant obvious.
 
Re: Re: The election results thread

If what Kitz just said is true, that just over 50% of Multnomah Co is counted, this shit is over. Good ole Portland. Controlling the entire state once again.

I'm not a Repub, so don't jump my shit. Just pointing out the blatant obvious.

Well unless its the west hills that isn't counted....
 
Over 1 million total votes counted at this time yet only half of Multnomah is counted? Hmmm.....that doesn't seem right to me. Wouldn't that be one hell of a turn out for Oregon?
 
Last Oregon election I voted in was about triple trailers
 
Over 1 million total votes counted at this time yet only half of Multnomah is counted? Hmmm.....that doesn't seem right to me. Wouldn't that be one hell of a turn out for Oregon?

Not really. I looked up the voting last time we elected a gov - something like 700K to 600K.

barfo
 
Lord, CNN is reading random people's tweets.

barfo
 
Wow! Chuck Todd just stated that Jim Oberstar was going to lose his seat.
 
Talk about getting owned!

Dear Mr. Breitbart,

We have spent the past several days trying to make clear to you your limited role as a participant in our digital town hall to be streamed on ABCNews.com and Facebook. The post on your blog last Friday created a widespread impression that you would be analyzing the election on ABC News. We made it as clear as possible as quickly as possible that you had been invited along with numerous others to participate in our digital town hall. Instead of clarifying your role, you posted a blog on Sunday evening in which you continued to claim a bigger role in our coverage. As we are still unable to agree on your role, we feel it best for you not to participate.

Sincerely,

Andrew Morse


http://blogs.abcnews.com/pressroom/2010/11/abcs-letter-to-andrew-breitbart.html
 
What do the Senate Democrats from non-liberal states who are up in 2012 do? Can Obama depend on these people to support his agenda after their states turned on these policies tonight? Look at the names: Bill Nelson (FL), Joe Manchin (WV), Claire McCaskill (MO), John Tester (MT), Kent Conrad (ND), Sherrod Brown (OH), Bob Casey (PA), Jim Webb (VA), Herb Kohl (WI) and Joe Lieberman (CT).
 
Total votes for governor. Kulongoski 700,000; Saxton 600,000. Thus 1 million votes isn't a large number...

barfo

Oregon population: 3.825 million

Oregon votes counted as of around 10:30 PM, just over 1 million

Duds ahead 531,000 to 512,000 at 11:24pm (roughly)

Multnomah Co. population: 714, 567

If only 50% of Multnomah Co. is counted, that leaves: 357, 283 to count, at 72% turnout statewide (which is what I'm reading) means: 257,243 not counted in Multnomah Co. Let's say 70% of those votes are Dems, which might be low, Kitz is going to get another 180,000 votes, roughly. Yeah. Duds is dead. Please check my math, cuz I suck at it. Basic idea? If only 50% of Multnomah Co. votes are in, Duds is dead. Unless I made a huge error somewhere, which is possible. Because I really do suck at math.
 
Oregon population: 3.825 million

Oregon votes counted as of around 10:30 PM, just over 1 million

Duds ahead 531,000 to 512,000 at 11:24pm (roughly)

Multnomah Co. population: 714, 567

If only 50% of Multnomah Co. is counted, that leaves: 357, 283 to count, at 72% turnout statewide (which is what I'm reading) means: 257,243 not counted in Multnomah Co. Let's say 70% of those votes are Dems, which might be low, Kitz is going to get another 180,000 votes, roughly. Yeah. Duds is dead. Please check my math, cuz I suck at it. Basic idea? If only 50% of Multnomah Co. votes are in, Duds is dead. Unless I made a huge error somewhere, which is possible. Because I really do suck at math.

Oh yeah, this would also mean Oregon's turnout was pretty fucking good, right?
 
Oregon population: 3.825 million

Oregon votes counted as of around 10:30 PM, just over 1 million

Duds ahead 531,000 to 512,000 at 11:24pm (roughly)

Multnomah Co. population: 714, 567

If only 50% of Multnomah Co. is counted, that leaves: 357, 283 to count, at 72% turnout statewide (which is what I'm reading) means: 257,243 not counted in Multnomah Co. Let's say 70% of those votes are Dems, which might be low, Kitz is going to get another 180,000 votes, roughly. Yeah. Duds is dead. Please check my math, cuz I suck at it. Basic idea? If only 50% of Multnomah Co. votes are in, Duds is dead. Unless I made a huge error somewhere, which is possible. Because I really do suck at math.

Big problem is that population isn't the same as voters. There are kids and felons and the disinterested who aren't registered, and then many who register don't vote.

barfo
 
As of now (or a little while ago) there had been 160K votes counted in Mult., and that was said to be 60% of the total. So there will be about 265K total votes from Mult. Co. 70% of them will be for Kitz, so of the 105K remaining to be counted, roughly 74K for Kitz, 31K for Duds, a margin of about 43K. Duds is currently ahead by 20K.

barfo
 
Actually I got the current vote totals from each county and projected the remaining vote based on the % already counted (that is, assuming that the remaining votes per county were distributed between the candidates the same way as those that had already been counted).

That gave me an extra 145K for Kitz and an extra 112K for Duds, so Kitz wins by about 15K votes. But that's pretty darn close.

barfo
 
I just don't understand why people continue to vote democrat in Oregon. Is it because the Republican candidates suck THAT bad, or is it because people just blindly vote the party line? It doesn't make sense to me. Our state is in shambles. We've been under Democrat control for.... what..... 20+ years? We've had a Dem governor for at least the last sixteen years. Whatever the case, it's not working. We need some change. We need some fucking balance. It's clear the people who are running this state don't have any fucking clue what they're doing. I don't care if they're Rep or Dem. They suck. Period.
 
I just don't understand why people continue to vote democrat in Oregon. Is it because the Republican candidates suck THAT bad,

Are you kidding? Sizemore? Dudley? Yeah, they suck THAT bad.

or is it because people just blindly vote the party line? It doesn't make sense to me. Our state is in shambles.

Because of the national economy. Most other states are in shambles too.

We've been under Democrat control for.... what..... 20+ years? We've had a Dem governor for at least the last sixteen years.

And the last time we had a republican governor? Unemployment in OR was higher than it is today.

Whatever the case, it's not working. We need some change. We need some fucking balance. It's clear the people who are running this state don't have any fucking clue what they're doing. I don't care if they're Rep or Dem. They suck. Period.

And your evidence for this is? [I'll admit, I'm being argumentative here - if you'd said they were great I'd argue that they sucked. But still, you should explain why you think they have no clue.]

barfo
 
Oregon's unemployment rate has been higher than the national average for two decades now, but progressive leadership can't possibly be to blame. No, that certainly had nothing to do with the decimation of the economies in the rural counties across the state during the 90s either. The problem is we are seen as a bastion of liberalism, so we keep getting these young liberals moving to Portland from out of state, skewing the state's votes. The most radical people I know at work have all moved here within the last 6 years.
 
Oregon's unemployment rate has been higher than the national average for two decades now, but progressive leadership can't possibly be to blame.

Although we've had progressive governors during that period, the Oregon House was republican-controlled from 1990-2006, and the Senate was republican-controlled 1994-2002. And, as I said, back when we had a Republican governor the last time? Unemployment in Oregon was higher than it is today.

No, that certainly had nothing to do with the decimation of the economies in the rural counties across the state during the 90s either.

Not much, no.

The problem is we are seen as a bastion of liberalism, so we keep getting these young liberals moving to Portland from out of state, skewing the state's votes. The most radical people I know at work have all moved here within the last 6 years.

Doesn't seem like a problem, unless of course you don't like young liberals.

barfo
 
Wow, good luck California with Governor Moonbeam. That victory speech was a string of non-sequiors.
 
Rossi's pulled it to 50/50 with 62% counted
 

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