The race for Home Court Advantage

[SportsAndWhine]

Outside of dame this team is trash we don’t have a competent player in the front court hca is out of the question. Playoffs are a maybe at best. We can get beat by anyone on a given night.

Was this posted in the second quarter?

 

[riverman]

I hate the term “Must Win”. I think the last game of your season is the only REAL must win.

I think every home game is a must win....there's a little kid seeing his first game each time....need to win for that kid

 

[Boob-No-More]

Oh MY bad......I forgot how good we have played at home this season.

Won 12 out of the last 13 at home. Best home record in the league since Christmas.

BNM

 

[Stevenson]

Outside of dame this team is trash we don’t have a competent player in the front court hca is out of the question. Playoffs are a maybe at best. We can get beat by anyone on a given night.

Please go back to O-Live.

 

[hoopsjock]

Please go back to O-Live.

Hey chzbrgr isn't an O-Live refugee. Don't put that on us!

 

[H.C.]

Didn't realize, the Wolves have a BRUTAL stretch of games coming up. If the Blazers can dispatch them tonight, there's a chance they lose several more in the next few weeks.

View attachment 18961

On a related note--what the hell is up with them playing 3 games total over a 2-week span?

See this is why some told @HCP to start the season HCA was possible. He refused to believe, which is fine.
These teams Portland has to play, are the same teams who have to play one another.
West is going to beat up on each other, and it's going to stay close until the final night.
No team outside of Hou and GSW are clearly better than anyone 3-9.
It's even more wide open with the Spurs having injury issues this year.

I thought to start the year Portland would finish with HCA in the first round.
That's not being a homer, that's looking at every other middle of the pack team and saying.
Is Minn, OKC, NO, Denver or Utah clearly better than Portland? Answer is No.

 

[PtldPlatypus]

See this is why some told @HCP to start the season HCA was possible. He refused to believe, which is fine.
These teams Portland has to play, are the same teams who have to play one another.
West is going to beat up on each other, and it's going to stay close until the final night.
No team outside of Hou and GSW are clearly better than anyone 3-9.
It's even more wide open with the Spurs having injury issues this year.

I thought to start the year Portland would finish with HCA in the first round.
That's not being a homer, that's looking at every other middle of the pack team and saying.
Is Minn, OKC, NO, Denver or Utah clearly better than Portland? Answer is No.

In fairness, when Butler was healthy, I think Minnesota was pretty clearly better then we were. But that's the thing about sports--injuries mean everything.

 

[H.C.]

In fairness, when Butler was healthy, I think Minnesota was pretty clearly better then we were. But that's the thing about sports--injuries mean everything.

Are you sure about that? Or can the following argument be made.
Middle of the pack teams generally play better at home, than on the road.

 

[TBpup]

Wolves: 38-27, next @ Jazz...a Wolves loss could knock them down to #7. Big game for them.
Blazers: 36-26, next vs Thunder...another huge game for the Blazers.
Spurs: 36-26, vs Lakers, almost a gimme Win.
Pelicans: 35-26, @ Mavericks, should be an easy win for the Pels.
Thunder: 36-27, next @ Blazers...big game for the Thunder. They need this to stay in the race for HCA.

The Blazers really need to win the next 3 games because then they start playing teams like the Warriors, Cavs, Rockets and Celtics. With the standings as tight as they are, a couple of losses can knock you from Home Court to out of the Playoffs in just a couple of days.

 

[tester551]

Someone posted status of all the tie-breakers a couple of days ago, but I can't find it now.

Would someone re-post it (and maybe even update it)? Thanks!

 

[TBpup]

Remaining Schedule:

GP RG
VS Kings 2-1 (H@-@) 1H
VS MIN 1-2 (H-@@) 1H
VS OKC 2-0 (H@- ) 2H@
VS LAL 2-0 (H@ - ) 1@
VS NYK 1-0 ( @ - ) 1H
VS GSW 1-1 ( H - @) 1H
VS MIA 1-0 (@ - ) 1H
VS CAV 0-1 ( - @) 1H
VS DET 0-1 ( - @) 1H
VS LAC 1-1 (@ - H) 2@H
VS HOU 0-2 ( - H@) 2H@
VS BOS 0-1 ( - @) 1H
VS NOP 1-2 (H- H@) 1@
VS MEM 1-1 (A -H) 2@H
VS DAL 2-0 (H@ - ) 1@
VS SAS 1-1 (H - H) 1@
VS DEN 1-2 (H - H@) 1@
VS JAZZ 1-2 (A - HA) 1H

Blazers lead 6 series:

2 VS + .500 teams

4 Vs sub .500 teams


Blazers tied in 4 series:

3 VS + .500 teams

1 VS Sub .500 teams


Blazers trail in 8 series:

7 VS + .500 teams

1 VS sub .500 teams

Someone posted status of all the tie-breakers a couple of days ago, but I can't find it now.

Would someone re-post it (and maybe even update it)? Thanks!

@tester551 , I believe that was Mr @Chris Craig . The only thing that has changed since he posted was we are now 2-2 vs MIN.

 

[hoopsjock]

Wolves: 38-27, next @ Jazz...a Wolves loss could knock them down to #7. Big game for them.
Blazers: 36-26, next vs Thunder...another huge game for the Blazers.
Spurs: 36-26, vs Lakers, almost a gimme Win.
Pelicans: 35-26, @ Mavericks, should be an easy win for the Pels.
Thunder: 36-27, next @ Blazers...big game for the Thunder. They need this to stay in the race for HCA.

The Blazers really need to win the next 3 games because then they start playing teams like the Warriors, Cavs, Rockets and Celtics. With the standings as tight as they are, a couple of losses can knock you from Home Court to out of the Playoffs in just a couple of days.

Lakers are 7-3 in their last 10 and are playing well. I don't think they are a gimme for anyone right now. Still need to beat them though.

 

[PtldPlatypus]

Someone posted status of all the tie-breakers a couple of days ago, but I can't find it now.

Would someone re-post it (and maybe even update it)? Thanks!

@TBpup reposted the original. Here's a slightly varied version listing only the other 3-10 teams, showing what currently does or what will decide the tie-breakers with Portland for each pairing.

POR-MIN: 2-2 H2H; Div MIN 9-3 (POR 6-6)
POR-SAS: 1-1 H2H (1g remain, 4/7 @SAS)
POR-OKC: POR 2-0 H2H (2g remain)
POR-NOP: NOP 2-1 H2H (1g remain); (conf, NOP 17-19)
POR-DEN: DEN 2-1 H2H (1g remain, 4/9 @DEN)
POR-LAC: 1-1 H2H (2g remain); conf POR 22-15 (LAC 22-18)
POR-UTA: UTA 2-1 H2H (1g remain, 4/11 in POR)

 

[illmatic99]

POR-DEN: 1-1 H2H (1g remain, 4/9 @DEN)

We're 1-2 H2H

 

[hoopsjock]

@TBpup reposted the original. Here's a slightly varied version listing only the other 3-10 teams, showing what currently does or what will decide the tie-breakers with Portland for each pairing.

POR-MIN: 2-2 H2H; Div MIN 9-3 (POR 6-6)
POR-SAS: 1-1 H2H (1g remain, 4/7 @SAS)
POR-OKC: POR 2-0 H2H (2g remain)
POR-NOP: NOP 2-1 H2H (1g remain); (conf, NOP 17-19)
POR-DEN: 1-1 H2H (1g remain, 4/9 @DEN)
POR-LAC: 1-1 H2H (2g remain); conf POR 22-15 (LAC 22-18)
POR-UTA: UTA 2-1 H2H (1g remain, 4/11 in POR)

1-2 against Denver so far.

 

[Denny Crane]

Looks to me like we're going to finish with the 3rd seed.

Not shabby at all!

 

[PtldPlatypus]

We're 1-2 H2H

1-2 against Denver so far.

My bad--will correct. Thank you.

 

[tester551]

@TBpup reposted the original. Here's a slightly varied version listing only the other 3-10 teams, showing what currently does or what will decide the tie-breakers with Portland for each pairing.

POR-MIN: 2-2 H2H; Div MIN 9-3 (POR 6-6)
POR-SAS: 1-1 H2H (1g remain, 4/7 @SAS)
POR-OKC: POR 2-0 H2H (2g remain)
POR-NOP: NOP 2-1 H2H (1g remain); (conf, NOP 17-19)
POR-DEN: DEN 2-1 H2H (1g remain, 4/9 @DEN)
POR-LAC: 1-1 H2H (2g remain); conf POR 22-15 (LAC 22-18)
POR-UTA: UTA 2-1 H2H (1g remain, 4/11 in POR)

Thanks. I think this was the one I was looking for.

It appears that Portland has an uphill battle to win the tie-breakers, except against OKC, and possibly SAS & LAC

 

[PtldPlatypus]

Thanks. I think this was the one I was looking for.

It appears that Portland has an uphill battle to win the tie-breakers, except against OKC, and possibly SAS & LAC

I love the fact that our last three games of the season all could have significant playoff seeding implications. Gonna go down to the wire.

 

[Shaboid]

@TBpup reposted the original. Here's a slightly varied version listing only the other 3-10 teams, showing what currently does or what will decide the tie-breakers with Portland for each pairing.

POR-MIN: 2-2 H2H; Div MIN 9-3 (POR 6-6)
POR-SAS: 1-1 H2H (1g remain, 4/7 @SAS)
POR-OKC: POR 2-0 H2H (2g remain)
POR-NOP: NOP 2-1 H2H (1g remain); (conf, NOP 17-19)
POR-DEN: DEN 2-1 H2H (1g remain, 4/9 @DEN)
POR-LAC: 1-1 H2H (2g remain); conf POR 22-15 (LAC 22-18)
POR-UTA: UTA 2-1 H2H (1g remain, 4/11 in POR)

Still a lot of basketball to be played, but if they keep it rolling they have as good a chance as anyone. Got to beat the thunder and secure that tie breaker though. That'd be pretty big. I'm sure the team knows this.

 

[Rastapopoulos]

Crazy: there's only 3 losses difference between the #3 team and the #10 team. And both the Lakers and Pelicans are on winning streaks, and the Jazz are 8-2 in their last ten games...

 

[Rastapopoulos]

Are Memphis going to finally trade Marc Gasol this offseason?

 

[THE HCP]

See this is why some told @HCP to start the season HCA was possible. He refused to believe, which is fine.
These teams Portland has to play, are the same teams who have to play one another.
West is going to beat up on each other, and it's going to stay close until the final night.
No team outside of Hou and GSW are clearly better than anyone 3-9.
It's even more wide open with the Spurs having injury issues this year.

I thought to start the year Portland would finish with HCA in the first round.
That's not being a homer, that's looking at every other middle of the pack team and saying.
Is Minn, OKC, NO, Denver or Utah clearly better than Portland? Answer is No.

I posted this in some other thread late last night. What do you think? AmI too far off?
As far as my preseason questioning of you guys who thought we would get HCA, I honestly thought OKC would mesh sooner than they did. I can tell you of all the “lower Tier” teams, I am quite sure GS and Houston do NOT want to play them in the first round. I also thought Minny would finish up there and I believe they would had Butler stayed healthy. Spurs are starange man, we all know that. Without there best player they are still hanging. And now with LA out, who knows. It’s all a crapshoot and is going to be a blast watching it work itself out. Definitely going down to the last night of the season. I posted somewhere else that I’m quite sure there will be 50 different scenarios going into the 2nd half of our last game.

 

[THE HCP]

Looks to me like we're going to finish with the 3rd seed.

Not shabby at all!

Sir, your Bulls will not finish 3rd!

 

[THE HCP]

HERE YA GO! This is gonna be a nightmare til the very end. Kinda like sex with most of your sisters!

 

[H.C.]

I posted this in some other thread late last night. What do you think? AmI too far off?
As far as my preseason questioning of you guys who thought we would get HCA, I honestly thought OKC would mesh sooner than they did. I can tell you of all the “lower Tier” teams, I am quite sure GS and Houston do NOT want to play them in the first round. I also thought Minny would finish up there and I believe they would had Butler stayed healthy. Spurs are starange man, we all know that. Without there best player they are still hanging. And now with LA out, who knows. It’s all a crapshoot and is going to be a blast watching it work itself out. Definitely going down to the last night of the season. I posted somewhere else that I’m quite sure there will be 50 different scenarios going into the 2nd half of our last game.
View attachment 19003

One of my friends in socal.
Who is a non-bw GSW fan believes Portland will go 16-4.
I think that's a little Kingspeed-ish but who knows.

Personally if Portland finishes 10-10 I think they have a good chance at getting the 4th seed.

All bets are off if Lillard continues to average nearly 40 ppg though. Shit if he does that Portland could go 20-0...
Talk about an post all-star break FU tour.
(I don't think OKC beats Portland, in Portland. Especially after the comments Westbrick made about Lillard when PG13 didn't make the game)

 

[PtldPlatypus]

Was just looking at the Pelicans schedule. I wouldn't be surprised if they only lose 6 more games the rest of the year. Kinda thinking they're actually the favorite to get the 3 seed, playing the "W/L game" with them.

 

[PtldPlatypus]

In case anyone wants an at-a-glance look at all the remaining schedules of the West's 3-10 teams, I threw this together. The gray games are the ones where two of these 8 play one another.

 

[Titan]

Just noticed NOP has to play 5 home games in a span of 6 days (don't remember if I have seen that before). For comparison we also have a 5 game home stand, but it is over 12 days.

 

[PtldPlatypus]

In case anyone wants an at-a-glance look at all the remaining schedules of the West's 3-10 teams, I threw this together. The gray games are the ones where two of these 8 play one another.

View attachment 19012

Did a quick run-through the schedules, and I have 7 of the 8 teams finishing with either 46 or 47 wins. This is going to be a crazy 6 weeks.