Trump Dominating polls, even with RINO plants sabotage him

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Your Trump threads are making me feel like this would be a lesser torture:

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VanillaGorilla said:
He said he'd be dating her if she wasn't his daughter. It's a pretty creepy thing to say.
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This sounds a bit more creepy eh?

“A man goes home and masturbates his typical fantasy. A woman on her knees, a woman tied up, a woman abused,” Sanders, 73, wrote in 1972 for an alternative newspaper called the Vermont Freeman.
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and

“A woman enjoys intercourse with her man — as she fantasizes being raped by 3 men simultaneously.”
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http://talkingpointsmemo.com/polltracker/ppp-iowa-gop-october-trump

Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump had a slight lead over rival Dr. Ben Carson in Iowa, according to a poll released Monday.

The Public Policy Polling survey showed that Trump had 22 percent support from Republican primary voters in Iowa while Carson had 21 percent. The numbers marked a dip for Trump and a rise for Carson.

The pollsters noted that Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX) made the biggest gain in Iowa since PPP's September poll, rising from 8 to 14 percent.

In four other recent polls by different pollsters, Carson beat out Trump for the top spot among Republicans in Iowa. Carson led by double digits in a poll released Tuesday.

The PPP poll interviewed 634 usual Republican primary voters by phone and Internet surveys from Oct. 30 to Nov. 1. The margin of error was plus or minus 3.9 percent.
 
Cruz rising in Iowa; Clinton back out to dominant lead
PPP's newest Iowa poll finds a tight race on the Republican side in the state with Donald Trump at 22%, Ben Carson at 21%, Ted Cruz at 14%, Marco Rubio at 10%, Mike Huckabee and Bobby Jindal each at 6%, and Jeb Bush and Carly Fiorina each at 5%. Polling further back are Chris Christie at 3%, John Kasich, Rand Paul, and Rick Santorum each at 2%, Lindsey Graham with less than 1%, and Jim Gilmore and George Pataki each with no supporters.

Compared to our last Iowa poll in mid-September Trump's support is down 2 points (from 24% to 22%), while Carson's support is up 4 points (from 17% to 21%) putting them in the deadlock. The big gainer from a month ago is Ted Cruz though. He's gone from 8% to 14%, and also seen his favorability rating improve from 51/23 to 62/16. Cruz is now leading the field in Iowa among Tea Party voters (34% to 24% for Trump and 22% for Carson), and voters who identify themselves as 'very conservative' (24% to 22% for Carson and 21% for Trump.)

Carson continues to be easily the most popular of the Republican candidates in Iowa with 74% of GOP primary voters viewing him favorably to only 13% with a negative opinion. He's also the most frequent second choice in the state with 19% picking him on that front to 12% for Rubio, and 10% each for Cruz and Trump. When you combine first and second choices Carson leads the way with 40% to 32% for Trump, 24% for Cruz, and 22% for Rubio. Carson is leading the field among evangelicals with 22% to 19% for Trump, and 16% for Cruz, and also has the advantage among women with 22% to 19% for Trump, and 11% each for Cruz and Rubio.

Besides Cruz and Carson the gainers compared to our last Iowa poll, each of whom went up 2 points, are Rubio (from 8% to 10%), Jindal (from 4% to 6%), and Christie (from 1% to 3%). Jindal (60/18) and Rubio (60/20) have the highest favorability ratings of any candidate in Iowa other than Carson and Cruz. Even though he's still lagging pretty far back in the polls Christie's had an amazing transformation in his image over the last two and a half months. When we polled Iowa in August right after the first Republican debate, only 34% of Republicans in the state had a favorable opinion of him to 44% who held a negative one. Now 48% see him favorably to 28% with an unfavorable opinion of him, for an overall net 30 point gain. It's been quite a turn around.

Heading the wrong way in Iowa as she is elsewhere is Carly Fiorina. We found her at 13% and with a 62/15 favorability rating right after the September GOP debate. Now she's at just 5% and although her favorability rating is still good at 55/20, it has dipped some. The only person besides Fiorina and Trump to have seen a decline in their support of 2 points or more is Rand Paul who's gone from 4% to 2%.

Jeb Bush is having a rough time in Iowa. Only 30% of GOP voters see him favorably to 43% with a negative opinion, giving him the highest unfavorable rating of any of the candidates in Iowa. Among those who describe themselves as 'very conservative,' just 25% see Bush favorably to 53% who have a negative view. One measure of how Bush-resistant GOP voters are is that in a head to head with Trump he trails 55/37. By comparison Trump loses by double digits when matched up directly with Rubi0 (51/40), Cruz (53/36), or Carson (55/35).

here
 
magnifier661 said:
This is a pre debate poll. It ended the day of the debate. There are 3 other polls after this on Nov. 2 that has Trump with a +10 lead in all polls.
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Polls only mean something when they give the results you want.
 
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http://nypost.com/2015/11/03/the-meaning-of-ben-carsons-stunning-rise/

The meaning of Ben Carson’s stunning rise

It’s very meaningful that the surgeon Ben Carson appears to be taking the lead in the polling for the GOP nomination — but not in the ways you might expect.

First, it means Donald Trump has stalled out. Given Trump’s standing atop the polls for four months now, if his candidacy had any momentum whatsoever he should have risen from the mid-20s to the mid-30s.

The voters who should have started to break his way over the past two months seem instead to be moving to Carson. You can see this in the Real Clear Politics poll average. It shows Carson has risen to 24 percent from 10 percent on Aug. 30. Trump was at 23.5 percent and is now at 25.

Though Trump bounced up a bit in September, the fact that he’s where he was two months ago indicates he has secured the support of the people he has and isn’t gaining any more.
 
Powdered Wig Society Released just hours ago, the latest Reuters/Ipsos GOP presidential poll shows Donald Trump surging to 31%, Ben Carson second at 18% - Powdered Wig Society
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Donald Trump is the Republican candidate most trusted to manage the economy, deal with foreign leaders and serve as commander in chief, according to a new Reuters/Ipsos poll of Republicans conducted after the party’s third debate.

And more Republicans would trust him with the nation’s nuclear weapons than most of the rest of their party’s presidential primary field.

In terms of overall support, Trump was favored by 31 percent of Republicans polled by Reuters/Ipsos in an online survey conducted Oct. 28 to Nov. 2 that had a credibility interval of plus or minus 4.4 percentage points. Retired neurosurgeon Ben Carson placed second with 18 percent. Senator Marco Rubio of Florida and former Governor Jeb Bush tied for third place with 10 percent each.

For anyone still confused about why Trump is holding strong onto a double-digit lead in most presidential primary polls, look no farther than at how much Republican voters trust him. The growing trust shows Trump’s campaign message – that his experience in business means voters should pick him to negotiate trade deals or take on Russia’s Vladimir Putin – is resonating.

On the question of whether voters trust the candidates to manage the economy, 59 percent said “yes” to Trump.

None of the other Republican candidates came even close. Carson was second, with 36 percent saying they trust him to manage the economy. Rubio was third with 27 percent, followed by retired business executive Carly Fiorina at 25 percent.

It’s not just on the economy where Trump shines. Asked whether they trusted the various Republican candidates to be commander in chief, Trump and Carson were tied, at 40 percent each.

On the question of whom they trusted to deal with foreign leaders, Trump again took top marks, with 41 percent saying they would trust the New York real estate mogul. Carson was a close second at 39 percent. Rubio, who has made foreign policy a central part of his campaign and stressed his experience on the Senate Foreign Relations Committee, was third at 31 percent.

Asked about handling the nation’s nuclear weapons – another insight into voters’ views on foreign policy – 34 percent of Republicans said they would trust Trump. He trailed only Carson, with 39 percent saying they would trust Carson to have his finger on the proverbial button. Only 27 percent said they would trust Rubio.

When it comes to the Oct. 28 debate, of those Republicans polled, a plurality, or 22 percent, thought Trump won.

The poll appeared to show Trump and Carson garnering the most benefit from the debates.

Of the Republicans polled, 31 percent said the debate changed their opinion about Carson and made it more positive. The same was said by 29 percent about Trump, but 22 percent said they had a more negative attitude of him afterward.

The debate may have done the most damage to Bush. Twenty-nine percent said after the debate they had a more negative view of Bush.

For more on the 2016 U.S. presidential race and to learn about the undecided voters who determine elections, visit the Reuters website. (here).


Read more at Reutershttp://www.reuters.com/article/2015/11/03/us-usa-election-trump-idUSKCN0SS13L20151103#H8QXXzfK1kGahERt.99
 
SlyPokerDog said:
Polls only mean something when they give the results you want.
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Not really.. I didn't say the poll was wrong. I said the poll is out dated, which it clearly is.

I just posted one that was just released with Trump almost having a 20 point lead.
 
Two Massive Florida Post-Debate Polls Show Trump Ahead, Rubio Held Back by Jeb
Note: Despite the UK domain, I am happily ensconced in Cherry Hill, NJ]
[Comments on this article welcome on Facebook here]

Two Massive Florida Post-Debate Polls show Donald Trump ahead of all comers, Rubio Held Back by Jeb:
  • Florida Decides: Trump 37%, Carson 17%, Rubio 16%, Cruz 10%, Jeb 7%; the rest ≤3%.
  • Viewpoint Florida: Trump 27%, Rubio 16%, Carson 15%, with Cruz & Bush at 12%
  • The News is Really Bad in the Sunshine state as Jeb is holding back Marco, but the converse is not true.
Florida Decides poll:
Trump is dominating in the Florida Decides presidential poll sponsored by Bay News 9/News 13, both among his fellow Republican candidates and likely Democratic challengers in a head-to-head general election.

Here are some of the main highlights of the poll, conducted via telephone from Wednesday, October 28 through Sunday, November 1:

  • Trump tops Ben Carson and Marco Rubio 2:1 in a GOP primary
  • Former Gov. Jeb Bush runs 5th among the top 8 GOP candidates
  • Hillary Clinton dispatches Bernie Sanders 3:1 in a Democratic primary
  • Florida would go red if Trump or Carson face Clinton in general election


This is a massive poll, which includes head–to–head matchups for the general election: If the primary election were today, who would you vote for?
  1. Republican Primary
  2. Democratic Primary
If the general election were today, who would you vote for?
  1. Hillary Clinton vs. Donald Trump
  2. Hillary Clinton vs. Ben Carson
  3. Hillary Clinton vs. Jeb Bush
  4. Hillary Clinton vs. Marco Rubio
  5. Hillary Clinton vs. Carly Fiorina
  6. Bernie Sanders vs. Donald Trump
  7. Bernie Sanders vs. Ben Carson
  8. Bernie Sanders vs. Jeb Bush
  9. Bernie Sanders vs. Marco Rubio
  10. Bernie Sanders vs. Carly Fiorina
When asked, GOP political analyst & former U.S. Rep. Lou Frey, what makes Trump a Florida favorite, overpowering both Rubio and former Gov. Jeb Bush in their home state, he replied, “I don’t understand how he’s gotten so many votes, actually, in Florida, but I think he’s earned them. He’s worked hard at it.”

One thing that surprised analysts Frey (R) & former state Rep. Dick Batchelor(D) was the low number of undecided voters when it came to each party’s primary: 6 percent among likely Democratic voters and only 3 percent among Republicans polled.

Just for fun, here’s the result between the old wrinkled Socialist and the Senator from Vermont:


Poll methodology:
The poll was conducted Wednesday 28 October — Sunday 1 November 2015 by SurveyUSA for Bay News 9 and News 13. 3,000 state of Florida adults were interviewed. Of the adults, 2,712 were registered to vote in the state of Florida. Of the registered voters, 2,400 were determined to be likely to vote in the Nov. 8, 2016 general election. Of the registered voters, SurveyUSA determined that 922 were likely to vote in the Republican primary, and 826 were likely to vote in the Democratic primary, both on March 15, 2016.

This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode: respondents reachable on their home telephone (69% of registered voters) were interviewed on their home telephone in the recorded voice of a professional announcer. Respondents not reachable on a home telephone (31% of registered voters) were shown a questionnaire on their smartphone, tablet or other electronic device. Barack Obama carried Florida (the state was “blue”) in both 2008 and 2012.

Viewpoint Florida poll:
The post-debate Viewpoint Florida sample size was almost as big, with 2,047 likely Florida Republican primary voters with a margin of error of ±2.2%. The poll shows Trump takes 28 percent of white voters, 13 percent of Hispanic voters and 29 percent of other (Black and Asian) voters. We cannot stress how important this 29% figure is to the GOP, as just earlier today we published How Establishment Republicans Keep Losing the Black Vote: Immigration, Trade, and Criminal Justice, where we detail how Trump (and to a lesser degree Cruz & Carson) will attract Black voters due to their stands on these issues, while the Crony Capitalists in the GOP Establishment are anathema to this constituency

Also in the Sunshine state, Rubio claims 28 percent of Hispanic voters, 15 percent of white voters and 16 percent of other voters. Carson gets 16 percent of white voters, 6 percent of Hispanics and 19 percent of other voters. More than a third of Hispanics — 36 percent — back Bush as do 10 percent of whites and 6 percent of other voters. Cruz takes 15 percent of Hispanics, 12 percent of whites and 7 percent of other voters. Fiorina pulls only 4 percent of whites and 1 percent of Hispanics but wins the support of 12 percent of other voters.

But with Bush struggling as he cuts staff salaries and flopping in last week’s debate, the poll shows Rubio benefits greatly if the former governor pulls out of the race. In that scenario, Trump is still ahead with 27 percent followed by Rubio with 24 percent. Carson claims 15 percent and Cruz takes 12 percent while Fiorina gets 6 percent and 7 percent support other candidates.

If Rubio gets out of the race, Bush does not get the same kind of boost. Trump leads the scenario with 28 percent followed by Carson and Cruz, tied with 19 percent apiece. Bush takes 17 percent in this scenario while 5 percent are for Fiorina and 6 percent support other candidates.
 
The IPSOS poll is an online one. That's not scientific, accurate, etc. And that's why it's not in the realclearpolitics averages.
 
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