Politics Turning GA, NC, NV, and/or PA into victory (Biden vs Trump, 2020 election!)

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a Georgia update from a local reporter detailing how many votes are left are in various counties:

" 7:28pm UPDATE:

Forsyth County just came in with 2,771 and Joe winning 1,460 and 1,311 so Joe 52.7%. This being blue in a +34 Trump County is HUGE. About 19k left. We need 59%.

Floyd 682 (very red), (
that looks really low according to the NY Times map)

Clayton 7,000 (85% Joe on all ballots)
(I had calculated 5,500 so this is good news)

DeKalb 600

Forsyth 2,000 (very red)

Taylor 450 (red)

Cobb 700 (56% Biden on all ballots)

Gwinnett 4,000 (this was resolved)

Joe is the favorite at this point."
**********************************************

his numbers don't match the NY Times map at all but maybe he has better sources

by far the biggest takeaway, if it's accurate, is that in a county that went trump by +34 points, Biden pulled 53% of the absentee votes. If he can break even in all the red counties and run up the score in Clayton county, he could take the lead
 
FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE
Contact: Jennifer A. Russell
(775) 684-5793
SOSPIO@sos.nv.gov

(Carson City, NV; November 5, 2020) – Nevada Secretary of State Barbara Cegavske releases the following statement regarding the number of ballots that remain to be counted:

"After this morning’s vote tally update, approximately 190,150 ballots statewide remain to be counted. Of this total, 123,554 are ballots that were either returned by mail or dropped of in person at a ballot drop-off location. The remaining 66,596 are ballots that were cast in person at a polling place, either during early voting or on Election Day, by voters who took advantage of Nevada’s new same-day voter registration law. Of the total ballots remaining to be counted, 90 percent are in Clark County.

Under Nevada law, mail ballots postmarked on or before Election Day and received no later than 5:00 pm on November 10 will be counted. This means there is an unknown number of ballots currently in the U.S. Postal Service mail stream that contain a postmark dated November 3 or earlier that will ultimately be counted if they arrive by 5:00 pm on November 10. We cannot estimate with any degree of accuracy how many ballots might fall into this category.

In addition to the approximately 190,650 ballots remaining to be counted, there are two categories of ballots that are uncounted and will remain uncounted unless the voter takes the required action necessary for the ballot to be counted. First, there are approximately 2,500 provisional ballots that were cast under the requirements of the Help America Vote Act (HAVA). These ballots will only be counted if the voter satisfies the required conditions by 5:00 pm on November 6. Second, there are approximately 3,500 mail ballots that require a signature cure. A signature cure is needed if the voter forgets to sign their ballot return envelope or if the signature on their ballot return envelope does not match the signature on file for the voter. Voters have until 5:00 pm on November 12 to successfully cure their signature.

Under state law, all ballots must be counted by the end of the day on November 12. This means complete unofficial election results will not be available until the morning of November 13. Election results do not become official until after certification. Certification must occur on or before November 16. For more information about the post-election processes in Nevada, see the FAQs posted on the Secretary of State’s website.
"
*********************************************************

what is interesting is that more than 66,000 of those 190K votes are from voters who used same-day registration. I'm inclined to think those will favor Biden, but maybe I'm thinking about this wrong?
 


that would be pretty big. Will Alaska also go blue then?

hard to see them flipping a senate seat without also voting biden
 
a Georgia update from a local reporter detailing how many votes are left are in various counties:

" 7:28pm UPDATE:

Forsyth County just came in with 2,771 and Joe winning 1,460 and 1,311 so Joe 52.7%. This being blue in a +34 Trump County is HUGE. About 19k left. We need 59%.

Floyd 682 (very red), (
that looks really low according to the NY Times map)

Clayton 7,000 (85% Joe on all ballots)
(I had calculated 5,500 so this is good news)

DeKalb 600

Forsyth 2,000 (very red)

Taylor 450 (red)

Cobb 700 (56% Biden on all ballots)

Gwinnett 4,000 (this was resolved)

Joe is the favorite at this point."
**********************************************

his numbers don't match the NY Times map at all but maybe he has better sources

by far the biggest takeaway, if it's accurate, is that in a county that went trump by +34 points, Biden pulled 53% of the absentee votes. If he can break even in all the red counties and run up the score in Clayton county, he could take the lead


Good stuff, man...thanx.
 


that would be pretty big. Will Alaska also go blue then?

hard to see them flipping a senate seat without also voting biden


Alaska only went blue once ever...in 1964 for Johnson
 
I hope Dr Fauci has some good protection around him. Unfortunately, he might need it. Trump will be on a rampage to finish out his presidency.
 

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