Politics Turning GA, NC, NV, and/or PA into victory (Biden vs Trump, 2020 election!) (1 Viewer)

[THE HCP]

one poll that always skews in favor of repugnicans

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https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/national/


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https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-election-forecast/

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https://projects.economist.com/us-2020-forecast/president

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I think The Economist is way too optimistic for Biden. After 2016, even 538 may be too optimistic even though their final forecast was closest to the mark of all the 'poll-of-polls-we-have-algorithms' organizations

Can some of this be put into context? How did it look the day before Gore/Bush or other elections? Are these pretty dead on? Shit the JinxSpeed of the political world could be making these graphs are far as I know.

 

[VanillaGorilla]

 

[wizenheimer]

Can some of this be put into context? How did it look the day before Gore/Bush or other elections? Are these pretty dead on? Shit the JinxSpeed of the political world could be making these graphs are far as I know.

it's kind of a canard that polling completely missed the mark in 2016. On average, the national polling said Clinton had a 2-3% advantage. And she ended up winning the popular vote by 2.4%

what was missed was late movement toward trump in some of the battleground states. But I've read several articles saying that district level polling was showing that trend quite strongly. That's not happening now. Trump is president because of about 110,000 votes in Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin. And he's president because there were 2-3 times more undecided voters in 2016 than there are this cycle, and those voter broke heavily for trump, in no small part because Hillary had such high negatives among blue collar men. Biden's negatives are much smaller than Hillary

this doesn't mean that trump can't win. What it does mean is that the factors that gave him the presidency aren't really in place this time around

 

[THE HCP]

Same as in my family.

Your wife has had sex with 92% of the S2 forum members too?

 

[THE HCP]

Are you Boob-No-More? Your fact based posts remind me of him.

The Wise-Guy was his intern!

 

[yankeesince59]

I'm growing more and more optimistic that my state (Ga) could not only flip in the POTUS vote but possibly both Senate seats as well.

 

[julius]

I can honestly thank Trump for one thing though....... He has opened my family's eyes to politics and how they work. My wife and I never talked politics in the past. Or watched CNN to see the latest. In a strange way, all this bullshit and drama and the strong desire to end it has brought us together. My son even sat down and voted. Of things had been going good, I doubt any of that would have happened.

As if we needed more proof as to why you should vote for Trump!

signed,

Aaron755

 

[SlyPokerDog]

Guess who's back...

 

[wizenheimer]

Are you Boob-No-More? Your fact based posts remind me of him.

nope....always been wizen even when I was posting in a Blazer group on usenet over 20 years ago

 

[VanillaGorilla]

I'm growing more and more optimistic that my state (Ga) could not only flip in the POTUS vote but possibly both Senate seats as well.

Don't know if you saw this additional tweet. It has Georgia's senate seats as the only toss ups.

 

[ehizzy3]

Stick a fork in him

 

[julius]

nope....always been wizen even when I was posting in a Blazer group on usenet over 20 years ago

Ha! usenet, now that's an old term. alt.sports.basketball.nba.por.blazers or rec.sports.pro.basketball...good times, good times...

 

[Road Ratt]

...please see a few posts prior to yours, don't get it twisted!

Not sure what I supposedly got twisted.

 

[julius]

Stick a fork in him

I think it bodes well for Biden, BUT you can easily manipulate those #'s to mean whatever you want them to. Are the first time voters young voters? Are they older voters?

 

[BigGameDamian]

https://www.the-sun.com/news/170278...edium=browser_notifications&utm_source=pushly

YOU'RE FIRED
Trump will ‘go quietly’ if he loses to Joe Biden because he ‘hates the f***ing job’, Anthony Scaramucci wildly claims

 

[yankeesince59]

Don't know if you saw this additional tweet. It has Georgia's senate seats as the only toss ups.

Yeah, I'm hoping that Ossoff can somehow get a majority vs Perdue who I cannot stand...2 out of Warnock, Loeffler, Collins are likely headed to a Jan. runoff.

 

[julius]

https://www.the-sun.com/news/170278...edium=browser_notifications&utm_source=pushly

YOU'RE FIRED
Trump will ‘go quietly’ if he loses to Joe Biden because he ‘hates the f***ing job’, Anthony Scaramucci wildly claims

He's talking a big game to remain in office because he doesn't want to face potential jail time. I trust Scaramucci about as far as I trust Weiner, that Porn star lawyer guy and Alex Jones.

 

[ehizzy3]

I think it bodes well for Biden, BUT you can easily manipulate those #'s to mean whatever you want them to. Are the first time voters young voters? Are they older voters?

i don’t think it matters if theyreold or young. Who is old that didn’t vote for trump in ‘16 but will this year?

Older first time voters are likely minorities who have been disenfranchised.

 

[ehizzy3]

7 in my extended family.

stick 7 forks in your extended family?

 

[BigGameDamian]

 

[Haakzilla]

Not sure what I supposedly got twisted.

Nothing! Was trying to show the local loon a better example...your video was good and more up to date.

 

[yankeesince59]

one poll that always skews in favor of repugnicans

View attachment 34513
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https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/national/


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https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-election-forecast/

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https://projects.economist.com/us-2020-forecast/president

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I think The Economist is way too optimistic for Biden. After 2016, even 538 may be too optimistic even though their final forecast was closest to the mark of all the 'poll-of-polls-we-have-algorithms' organizations

Yeah, I've noticed that Rasmussen's polls are VERY erratic.

...I've seen them favor Biden as much as 5% and 2 weeks later show Trump as the favorite by 2%...just way too inconsistent to be very believable/accurate.

 

[julius]

i don’t think it matters if theyreold or young. Who is old that didn’t vote for trump in ‘16 but will this year?

Older first time voters are likely minorities who have been disenfranchised.

I think there's a lot of truth to that, I don't think he (T) motivates people to vote for him for the first time as much as he (T) motivates people to vote against him.

 

[THE HCP]

Ha! usenet, now that's an old term. alt.sports.basketball.nba.por.blazers or rec.sports.pro.basketball...good times, good times...

STOP WITH THE NERD SHIT YO!

 

[julius]

STOP WITH THE NERD SHIT YO!

It's like when you were in the military, and you would go to the porno stores and buy magazines. cept this was about basketball.

 

[ehizzy3]

 

[THE HCP]

i don’t think it matters if theyreold or young. Who is old that didn’t vote for trump in ‘16 but will this year?

Older first time voters are likely minorities who have been disenfranchised.

What this dude said. If they are old and voting for the first time, I think there is a major reason. They do NOT like how things are going and decided to finally help do something about it.

 

[julius]

Clearly that was done by Democrats who are self hating racists!

Aaron755

 

[illmatic99]

really gotta keep an eye on the markets also. Expecting some volatility on Wed

 

[ehizzy3]

Clearly that was done by Democrats who are self hating racists!

Aaron755

i like how they wrote don’t vote

Like that won’t energize more to vote