Politics Turning GA, NC, NV, and/or PA into victory (Biden vs Trump, 2020 election!)

[MickZagger]

Wait, coke is legal in Oregon now?

You ever done shrooms?

 

[illmatic99]

Iowa senate seat remains red. ughhh

Thought we would flip that

 

[ehizzy3]

Wait, coke is legal in Oregon now?

just shrooms got legalized. The rest got decriminalized

 

[MickZagger]

James Carville just said put the razor blades and ambien back in the medicine cabinet. Democrats are still gonna win this thing.

 

[donkiez]

how many will go for Biden? I think he needs like 65-70 percent of them

A big portion of that is Philly which is expected like 85-15 for biden.

 

[EL PRESIDENTE]

You ever done shrooms?

Nope.

 

[ehizzy3]

My 5th grade teacher is winning a seat on city council!

 

[tlongII]

Betting odds have now flipped in favor of Trump.

 

[BigGameDamian]

All the channels seem to be a little bit different.

 

[wizenheimer]

Why can't they count votes as fast as most of the other states? Figure it the fuck out

state laws that say no votes can be counted till polls close

check out who controls the legislatures in those 3 rust belt states

 

[EL PRESIDENTE]

just shrooms got legalized. The rest got decriminalized

Coke is legal, bay-bee!

 

[ehizzy3]

Betting odds have now flipped in favor of Trump.

they flipped like two hours ago

 

[JoshuaHall]

James Carville just said put the razor blades and ambien back in the medicine cabinet. Democrats are still gonna win this thing.

Carville also said Trump was going to get blown out in 2016.

Also said he was gonna get blown out tonight.

 

[BigGameDamian]

 

[EL PRESIDENTE]

they flipped like two hours ago

Was 75%, down to 60%ish

 

[illmatic99]

uh Georgia?

 

[ehizzy3]

Was 75%, down to 60%ish

too bad oregon lottery app doesn’t let you bet on the elections lol

 

[illmatic99]

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/11/03/us/elections/results-georgia-president.html

What is going on here?

 

[wizenheimer]

All three are going to swing to Biden

I don't think there are enough votes left in Wisconsin for Biden to win

let's see...2.36M votes are in and only 25% of expected votes are left to be counted

that would mean 550K - 600K votes are left and trump has a 220K vote lead. Biden would have to win the remaining votes about 400K vs 150K to win. Seems really unlikely

it also means the aggregate of poliing was way the fuck off:

 

[BigGameDamian]

 

[wizenheimer]

my assumptions were way off

I knew it was going to be a closer election than people were saying, But I thought the polling wasn't going to be off as much as 2016. Looks like it was off by more

 

[EL PRESIDENTE]

 

[wizenheimer]

if Biden loses Wisconsin but wins Arizona, he can still win the electoral college but he absolutely has to in Pennsylvania and Michigan

and from what I'm seeing, the margins are getting pretty big in both those states for Biden to overcome. 600K in Pennsylvania is a huge margin, even with 2.2M early votes remaining. He'd have to win those votes by at least a 1.4M - 0.8M margin and that's fucking huge

 

[illmatic99]

my assumptions were way off

I knew it was going to be a closer election than people were saying, But I thought the polling wasn't going to be off as much as 2016. Looks like it was off by more

literally everything except for FL has been within the margin of error

 

[illmatic99]

AP calls Minnesota for Biden and Iowa to Trump

 

[EL PRESIDENTE]

On the positive, both sides saying "DERP LANDSLIDE" were wrong.

 

[wizenheimer]

 

[ehizzy3]

I don't think there are enough votes left in Wisconsin for Biden to win

let's see...2.36M votes are in and only 25% of expected votes are left to be counted

that would mean 550K - 600K votes are left and trump has a 220K vote lead. Biden would have to win the remaining votes about 400K vs 150K to win. Seems really unlikely

it also means the aggregate of poliing was way the fuck off:

View attachment 34577

its only a 120,000 lead for trump with a good amount of Milwaukee left

 

[wizenheimer]

Nevada polls closed an hour earlier than Oregon. Oregon has counted 75% of it's votes. Nevada has counted 2%

every state needs to go full mail-in voting

 

[illmatic99]

hello



NY Times in a similar mindset