so then, with Wisc. and Mich. apparently in the Biden column, all the chips are not on the table in the rust belt anymore
the chips are on the table in the capital of chips being on the table: Nevada
so, here is the current state of affairs in Nevada, according to the NY Times:
a razor thin 7,647 vote lead for Biden
that leaves, according to the "
86% reported" number, 190,000 votes left be counted. Now just about every time I've done that math in other states, my outstanding vote totals are larger than the actual outstanding vote totals. But for fun, call it 190,000 left....which is pretty scary in the context of a 7600 vote lead
so then, where are the remaining votes:
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Clarke County - about 150,000 of those votes are in Clark County (Las Vegas). Biden has been winning the votes in that county, 53% vs 45%. If that ratio holds, Biden would increase his lead by 9000 votes. But it was a mess of Clark County votes coming in late last night that dropped Biden's lead by about 11,000 votes. However, I saw a reporter on TV say those were the the last bulk of election day votes, leaving the rest as absentee. Oh great, more tension
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Reno County - about 27,000 votes left and Biden has been winning the county, 51% to 47%
so those two counties are where the chips are stacked. The trends of where the votes are and the party affiliation of absentee ballots would say Nevada is in Biden's column. But the nerve-wracking factor is having watched Biden's 25,000 vote lead shrink to under 8,000
and ratcheting up the nervousness are two things: Nevada won't resume counting till tomorrow. And Nevada allows ballots to be counted that come in by next Tuesday. Welcome to the terror train