Politics Turning GA, NC, NV, and/or PA into victory (Biden vs Trump, 2020 election!)

Welcome to our community

Be a part of something great, join today!

Register Log in
wizenheimer said:
The state of play in Pennsylvania:

View attachment 34602

at one time last night, when I was most depressed, trump's lead was over 700K. It's now down to 265,000. If all those numbers are accurate above, then there are still 1 million votes left, and reportedly, they are all absentee

to this point, this is how Biden has been performing in absentee ballots:

View attachment 34603

again, if everything is approximately accurate so far, and the absentee ratio stayed the same, Biden would have a 570,000 vote advantage in the remaining vote. Substantial win. Somehow, I just don't think it will be that easy...at all, and those numbers may all be off enough to invalidate all the assumptions

Nate Silver's take:

" Pennsylvania. As expected, far more uncounted votes here than elsewhere, mostly mail votes that should be quite Democratic-leaning, though. There are too many outstanding ballots for us to be in the endgame where we can game out exact scenarios, but in counties that have completed reporting, Biden looks to be hitting the targets he needs. Even with the Trump campaign filing a number of lawsuits, the margin is tightening quickly enough that I think this belongs in Lean Biden."

I still think the odds are less than 50-50, but it would be great if Biden can win one of Penn. or Georgia. Winning both is a tall order, but would be a big fuck you to trump
Click to expand...

Well, Nate Silver has been like the northern star of accuracy when it comes to this election, so...

"here’s where we stand: Joe Biden is favored to beat President Trump (though Trump still has a 1-in-10 chance); Democrats have a 3-in-4 shot at taking back the Senate; and the House will most likely remain under Democratic control (Democrats might even expand their majority by a few seats). The big picture is clear: The overall electoral environment favors Democrats, which is one reason they have decent odds of controlling the presidency, Senate and House (a 72 percent chance, according to our forecast)."

But, yeah, I think Biden ends up getting Pennsylvania.
 
e_blazer said:
Well, Nate Silver has been like the northern star of accuracy when it comes to this election, so...

"here’s where we stand: Joe Biden is favored to beat President Trump (though Trump still has a 1-in-10 chance); Democrats have a 3-in-4 shot at taking back the Senate; and the House will most likely remain under Democratic control (Democrats might even expand their majority by a few seats). The big picture is clear: The overall electoral environment favors Democrats, which is one reason they have decent odds of controlling the presidency, Senate and House (a 72 percent chance, according to our forecast)."

But, yeah, I think Biden ends up getting Pennsylvania.
Click to expand...

Nate Silver needs a better algorithm.

Regarding Pennsylvania, there's ~850k votes left to be counted, with a gap of ~220k to make up.
 
Labinot41 said:
Fake News, we have 2.1 million millionaires and 107 billionaires, america has 614 billionaires, but america has 330 million population, germany has 82 Million population
Click to expand...
Ya but you guys tried to wipe out MILLIONS of people simply based on their religion and background. I will admit you make the best cars, but I’d tread lightly when comparing countries.
 
Last edited:
DUB said:
Whilst walking to work this morning, I passed a group of about 30-40 middle school students chanting "BIDEN! BIDEN! BIDEN!". I have never seen anything like it in my life. Children on the other side of the planet, excited about politics, because of their dislike of Trump.
Click to expand...
I’ve said it before. We might need to actually THANK Trump.......his hate has brought a lot of people together.
 
My first post in last couple days.. But a lot closer than a lot of you guys thought it would be. Red keeps senate.
 
I'm still pretty nervous about Arizona and Nevada

600K early votes to be counted in Arizona, and a lot of people think they might skew to trump more than Biden

and the Nevada margin is really small

Biden getting Pennsylvania might be necessary insurance
 
Why does Rick Santorum on CNN keep defending Donald Trump? This asshat still thinks he has a good chance.
 
You must log in or register to reply here.

Users who are viewing this thread

Total: 1 (members: 0, guests: 1)
Back
Top