Vegas says Blazers to win 40.5 games next year

[MickZagger]

Were these odds put out before or after we drafted Collins?

 

[Mediocre Man]

Why? Looks like easy money.

Yes it does. Have you been to Vegas? Have you seen the pretty buildings? They are not in business to lose money.

As I said to tlong, it's not the worst bet. Their goal on stuff like this is to break even at worst. Get half the people one way and half the other. The Portland number "seems" low. Vegas made a "mistake" on Portland before, or did they? Portland might not be a team that gets a lot of action, so setting tge number so low will increase tgat, covering themselves on a, oe some under bets.

The rule of thumb in betting is that if it looks too good to be true, it probably is. Certainly not always the case

 

[Blazers Roy]

I think it was 38.5 a few days ago.

40.5 seems kinda fair imo.

 

[stampedehero]

So, if we win at least 45 games, the playoffs would be in hand. We can beat the odds!

 

[dviss1]

Yes it does. Have you been to Vegas? Have you seen the pretty buildings? They are not in business to lose money.

As I said to tlong, it's not the worst bet. Their goal on stuff like this is to break even at worst. Get half the people one way and half the other. The Portland number "seems" low. Vegas made a "mistake" on Portland before, or did they? Portland might not be a team that gets a lot of action, so setting tge number so low will increase tgat, covering themselves on a, oe some under bets.

The rule of thumb in betting is that if it looks too good to be true, it probably is. Certainly not always the case

I've seen the lights many times as well as the pretty buildings. I just moved my mother away from the hell hole that is Nevada. Fuck Vegas.

 

[Mediocre Man]

I've seen the lights many times as well as the pretty buildings. I just moved my mother away from the hell hole that is Nevada. Fuck Vegas.

I would do a liitle research and see if some sportsbook still has the number below 40

 

[GlydingCJ3s]

Being in the West really sucks. We would get the 3rd seed if we were in the East lol

 

[BBert]

That's the problem. It isn't that the Blazers aren't going to be better next season. It's that so many other Western Conference teams are probably going to be better than the Blazers. You know, the teams we have to play against.

I don't gamble, and don't really know how it works, but doesn't the betting line change based on how people are betting? I.E. if more people were taking the over when it was 38.5, that would account for it moving up to 40.5? Honestly I don't know.

 

[Minstrel]

Yeah, I think people are evaluating this win total in the context of last season. This team would likely win close to 50 games against the 2016-17 Western Conference. But in 2017-18, there aren't likely going to be ten 50-win teams. Teams will cannibalize each others' win totals. In that context, while I still expect the Blazers to be over .500, how much over .500 is definitely an open question.

 

[SlyPokerDog]

Yes it does. Have you been to Vegas? Have you seen the pretty buildings? They are not in business to lose money.

As I said to tlong, it's not the worst bet. Their goal on stuff like this is to break even at worst. Get half the people one way and half the other. The Portland number "seems" low. Vegas made a "mistake" on Portland before, or did they? Portland might not be a team that gets a lot of action, so setting tge number so low will increase tgat, covering themselves on a, oe some under bets.

The rule of thumb in betting is that if it looks too good to be true, it probably is. Certainly not always the case

Sportsbooks aren't looking to micromanage the Blazers but instead to generate interest in betting on the NBA.

 

[Nikolokolus]

Sportsbooks aren't looking to micromanage the Blazers but instead to generate interest in betting on the NBA.

But they also set their lines to get the half the action on one side or the other. So certainly they want volume, but they also don't want 75% of the bets on the over.

 

[bodyman5000 and 1]

I'll put a few bucks on the over if I remember to.

 

[blazerboy30]

If I knew how, I'd be placing money on the over.

 

[Blazers Roy]

That's why it's important to experiment with NBA betting.
You learn that: Sure things - aren't.