WC Over/Under wins for 2019-20

[Chris Craig]

Oh boy, 538's formula hates us.
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/our-way-too-early-projections-for-the-2019-20-nba-season/

Apparently only a 37% chance of us making the playoffs

View attachment 27017



Maybe you need to tweak the model then.

That chart makes no sense

 

[Pinwheel1]

They have the same issue as we do, no perimeter defense and no real power forward.

Yeah they have a lot of new players as well. How Bogdanovic plays will he be huge for them IMO.

 

[jonnyboy]

Oh boy, 538's formula hates us.
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/our-way-too-early-projections-for-the-2019-20-nba-season/

Apparently only a 37% chance of us making the playoffs

View attachment 27017



Maybe you need to tweak the model then.

Why are the Nuggets so near the top? Did I miss a blockbuster signing?

 

[PtldPlatypus]

Why are the Nuggets so near the top? Did I miss a blockbuster signing?

Blockbuster? No. But they were 2nd in the conference last year, added Jerami Grant, and their young core is a year older/more mature/more experienced. They deserve to be highly ranked.

 

[Stevenson]

I think this team is being massively underrated, and I NEVER say that. e.g., I pegged us for 46 wins last year.

Bazemore and Hood are a huge upgrade over bumblefingers and Harkeless, and exactly what the Dr. ordered. I predict Whiteside will be his best self and a very good stand-in for Nurk. A defensive beast.

As opposed to the onslaught of two-man teams in the west, we are a team 8-9 deep where all the pieces fit. Reminds me of the old Pistons teams, or the Dallas team that won it all.

52 wins at least and a very deep playoff run.

 

[Stevenson]

Clippers under. Kawhi ain't playing more than 65 games, PG will be out for the first few, and the rest of their team is also kinda new. Their high usage players from last year are gone-- it's gonna be an adjustment.

When is the last time two forwards brought home a championship? Clippers = overrated.

 

[jonnyboy]

Blockbuster? No. But they were 2nd in the conference last year, added Jerami Grant, and their young core is a year older/more mature/more experienced. They deserve to be highly ranked.

You are right. The rest of the list is just so totally arbitrary that I wonder how they managed to put the nuggets where they did. I wonder what their metrics are.

 

[TorturedBlazerFan]

When is the last time two forwards brought home a championship? Clippers = overrated.

Kawhi and Siakam? Kawhi and Tim Duncan? I mean its an interesting point I guess.