While it's certainly fun & intriguing to look at some of these rookie pgs as "our franchise guy" (big fan of Flynn & Ty Evans myself) I really, truly believe Jerryd Bayless is our guy, & think it's important for people to understand a few things about him...
-First & foremost, I think it's important to understand his psyche. He's not a passive guy, he's a firey competitor who's used to dominating people. He's that guy in pickup games who's used to being the best. When his game is on he's a great guy on & off the court, & it seems like every facet of his game is firing on all cyllanders. When he struggles, he's an asshole, & worse, he forces things to try to get his game going again, leading to bad mistakes, "blinders" (failing to see teammates or care about setting them up), more missed shots, essentially a downward spiral - we've seen this from Kobe before. THIS IS WHO JB IS.
So what does this first point mean? It means that Nate has to figure out ways to get him to contribute early. This works VERY well w/ Brandon, because Roy is a finisher and doesn't neccessarily like to start the game 'guns ablazin'.
-Secondly, by now no one should question Bayless's energy, toughness, defense, or ability to get to the basket. What's keeping him on the bench is his inability to do two things - knock down a jumpshot, and distribute. My second point has to do with the former, JB's shooting. As anyone who's watched him knows, Jerryd CAN shoot. By everyone's accounts, he's money in practice. Unfortunately his shot didn't fall for him this season.
A couple things on that... In watching him play early in the year/in preseason, he had a very funky release. Instead of snapping the wrist, coaches call it "waiving at the basket", JB seemed to be rolling his hand over the ball and almost shot-putting it to the rim. However, by the end of the season, Jerryd had nearly perfect form w/ a beautiful 'snap' & was drilling everything. It's my belief that our shooting coach was working that bad habit out of his game all season. Changing habits in sports is frustrating, takes time, and leads to inconsistency and a lack of trust in one's game. This, combined with learning a new position AND the pressure that he no doubt felt to succeed in his rare minutes probably were too much for a 19 year old rookie to handle.
I think this offseason is going to do wonders for his confidence, and we'll likely see a much better shooting JB next season. The NBA game moves at another speed than college & I think JB's learning curve will be similar to what we saw in Martell (who btw is looking VERY fit!). Everyone knew Tell would eventually be a knock-down shooter, but, if people recall, he couldn't have put the ball in the ocean as a rookie. They say you see the biggest jump in performance after one's rookie offseason, I think Bayless will be the poster boy for this point and will likely be our starting pg come next postseason.
-My 3rd point is how much his defense will help the whole team, but it relates to his "lack of distributing". Greg Oden's (whom I also expect to be much improved next season) biggest problem this year was foul trouble. A very large part of that foul trouble was Greg's innability to not foul PGs, and who can blame him? Have a 6'0 185 guy run into a brick wall like oden, flail in the air - it's a foul everytime. Really this is Blake's problem more than Greg's. Blake is an attrociously bad perimeter defender, and, last season let more people pass by him than a turnstyle. With JB on the court this won't be the case. I think w/ better perimeter defense, we'll see Greg average over 10 more minutes per game (providing, *knock on wood*, he stays healthy).
What does this have to do w/ JB's distribution you might ask? It's simple really. W/ Joel as essentially our main center last season, and with Blake's lack of ability to get by people, the we were forced to run WAY too many Iso post plays or pick and roles w/ Brandon and LA. The problem here is that these plays involve too many players standing around. W/ Greg in the game, we'll be able to get it down low to him. Even as unpolished as he is we saw late in this last season how much respect other coaches have for him by sending immediate doubleteams. We begin to see offensive options w/ GO in the ballgame. Drives, ball-movement, open shots all begin to come easier, and in this case, JB won't HAVE to be a great distributor, just a decent & willing one. Derek Fisher was average at best as a PG when the Lakers had Shaq yet they won rings.
Also on the GO staying out of foul trouble note... W/ JB in the ballgame, I think we'll start seeing more fouls against other centers because he has the ability to get to make his defender look like Blake, which will likely only improve EVERYONE (but esspecially Greg's) effectiveness in the paint.
So there it is. Laid out for you, take it or leave it. Apologies for the wordiness but I've been thinking about this for awhile. Rex, Jay-Bay, call him whatever you want, but I believe that soon we'll be calling him our franchis pg.
-First & foremost, I think it's important to understand his psyche. He's not a passive guy, he's a firey competitor who's used to dominating people. He's that guy in pickup games who's used to being the best. When his game is on he's a great guy on & off the court, & it seems like every facet of his game is firing on all cyllanders. When he struggles, he's an asshole, & worse, he forces things to try to get his game going again, leading to bad mistakes, "blinders" (failing to see teammates or care about setting them up), more missed shots, essentially a downward spiral - we've seen this from Kobe before. THIS IS WHO JB IS.
So what does this first point mean? It means that Nate has to figure out ways to get him to contribute early. This works VERY well w/ Brandon, because Roy is a finisher and doesn't neccessarily like to start the game 'guns ablazin'.
-Secondly, by now no one should question Bayless's energy, toughness, defense, or ability to get to the basket. What's keeping him on the bench is his inability to do two things - knock down a jumpshot, and distribute. My second point has to do with the former, JB's shooting. As anyone who's watched him knows, Jerryd CAN shoot. By everyone's accounts, he's money in practice. Unfortunately his shot didn't fall for him this season.
A couple things on that... In watching him play early in the year/in preseason, he had a very funky release. Instead of snapping the wrist, coaches call it "waiving at the basket", JB seemed to be rolling his hand over the ball and almost shot-putting it to the rim. However, by the end of the season, Jerryd had nearly perfect form w/ a beautiful 'snap' & was drilling everything. It's my belief that our shooting coach was working that bad habit out of his game all season. Changing habits in sports is frustrating, takes time, and leads to inconsistency and a lack of trust in one's game. This, combined with learning a new position AND the pressure that he no doubt felt to succeed in his rare minutes probably were too much for a 19 year old rookie to handle.
I think this offseason is going to do wonders for his confidence, and we'll likely see a much better shooting JB next season. The NBA game moves at another speed than college & I think JB's learning curve will be similar to what we saw in Martell (who btw is looking VERY fit!). Everyone knew Tell would eventually be a knock-down shooter, but, if people recall, he couldn't have put the ball in the ocean as a rookie. They say you see the biggest jump in performance after one's rookie offseason, I think Bayless will be the poster boy for this point and will likely be our starting pg come next postseason.
-My 3rd point is how much his defense will help the whole team, but it relates to his "lack of distributing". Greg Oden's (whom I also expect to be much improved next season) biggest problem this year was foul trouble. A very large part of that foul trouble was Greg's innability to not foul PGs, and who can blame him? Have a 6'0 185 guy run into a brick wall like oden, flail in the air - it's a foul everytime. Really this is Blake's problem more than Greg's. Blake is an attrociously bad perimeter defender, and, last season let more people pass by him than a turnstyle. With JB on the court this won't be the case. I think w/ better perimeter defense, we'll see Greg average over 10 more minutes per game (providing, *knock on wood*, he stays healthy).
What does this have to do w/ JB's distribution you might ask? It's simple really. W/ Joel as essentially our main center last season, and with Blake's lack of ability to get by people, the we were forced to run WAY too many Iso post plays or pick and roles w/ Brandon and LA. The problem here is that these plays involve too many players standing around. W/ Greg in the game, we'll be able to get it down low to him. Even as unpolished as he is we saw late in this last season how much respect other coaches have for him by sending immediate doubleteams. We begin to see offensive options w/ GO in the ballgame. Drives, ball-movement, open shots all begin to come easier, and in this case, JB won't HAVE to be a great distributor, just a decent & willing one. Derek Fisher was average at best as a PG when the Lakers had Shaq yet they won rings.
Also on the GO staying out of foul trouble note... W/ JB in the ballgame, I think we'll start seeing more fouls against other centers because he has the ability to get to make his defender look like Blake, which will likely only improve EVERYONE (but esspecially Greg's) effectiveness in the paint.
So there it is. Laid out for you, take it or leave it. Apologies for the wordiness but I've been thinking about this for awhile. Rex, Jay-Bay, call him whatever you want, but I believe that soon we'll be calling him our franchis pg.



