wizenheimer
Well-Known Member
- Joined
- Oct 19, 2008
- Messages
- 26,165
- Likes
- 39,563
- Points
- 113
for a good reason, Ariza decided not to play in the Orlando circus. It made sense for him but it did 'hurt' Portland's playoff hopes
to review, Ariza has a 12.8M salary next season, but only 1.8M is guaranteed. Because of Covid, the deadline for that option for Portland has been moved from June 30 to Oct. 18
the old projection for next season's salary cap was a 116 million cap and about a 139M tax threshold. The NBA has not issued any official new projection yet, but optimistic guesses are the cap and tax lines will be about the same next season as this season. But they could easily be lower
currently, it's a 109M cap and a 132.6M tax line
theoretically, the Blazers could have 16M in cap-space if they waived Ariza. But that's before Hood and Hezonja have exercised their options. If they both opt-in (likely), that cuts the space in half. And it's before accounting for Portland's free agents: Whiteside, Melo, & Gabriel. The QO for Gabriel is 1.9M. In other words, Portland practically has no cap-space
if they keep Ariza and Hood + Hezonja opt-in, Portland would be around 114M in salary. Leaving them optimistically with 18M in margin under the tax line. But they'd only have 10 players. Keepin Gabriel would put them at about 116M with 11 players
and they'd have the full-mle of around 10M to use, plus Bird Rights to Whiteside; and about 16M to spend without going over the tax line. Now, about that full-MLE: if a team uses more than the tax-payer MLE portion of the full-MLE (about 5.7M), they get hard-capped at the apron (about 138M). So then, it could be that the Blazers only intend to use 5.7M MLE.
if Whiteside is re-signed for say 12M (I'm kind of skeptical about that); Portland could theoretically re-sign Melo for 3-4M or so (why?) and fill out the roster with vet minimum contracts
the 'monkey-wrench' to all this is I haven't accounted for Portland's 2020 first round draft pick. That could add anywhere from 2.5-4M or more in salary depending on where Portland is picking. So the before tax margin is even smaller....with Ariza
Waiving Ariza would give the Blazers 11M more in under-the-tax margin. But Ariza did have a positive impact on the team. At the same time, Portland has Hood, Little, Trent, Hezonja, and Gabriel to man the SF position. That's a lot of depth and that 11M in breathing room under the tax line might be really valuable
what will the Blazers do?
to review, Ariza has a 12.8M salary next season, but only 1.8M is guaranteed. Because of Covid, the deadline for that option for Portland has been moved from June 30 to Oct. 18
the old projection for next season's salary cap was a 116 million cap and about a 139M tax threshold. The NBA has not issued any official new projection yet, but optimistic guesses are the cap and tax lines will be about the same next season as this season. But they could easily be lower
currently, it's a 109M cap and a 132.6M tax line
theoretically, the Blazers could have 16M in cap-space if they waived Ariza. But that's before Hood and Hezonja have exercised their options. If they both opt-in (likely), that cuts the space in half. And it's before accounting for Portland's free agents: Whiteside, Melo, & Gabriel. The QO for Gabriel is 1.9M. In other words, Portland practically has no cap-space
if they keep Ariza and Hood + Hezonja opt-in, Portland would be around 114M in salary. Leaving them optimistically with 18M in margin under the tax line. But they'd only have 10 players. Keepin Gabriel would put them at about 116M with 11 players
and they'd have the full-mle of around 10M to use, plus Bird Rights to Whiteside; and about 16M to spend without going over the tax line. Now, about that full-MLE: if a team uses more than the tax-payer MLE portion of the full-MLE (about 5.7M), they get hard-capped at the apron (about 138M). So then, it could be that the Blazers only intend to use 5.7M MLE.
if Whiteside is re-signed for say 12M (I'm kind of skeptical about that); Portland could theoretically re-sign Melo for 3-4M or so (why?) and fill out the roster with vet minimum contracts
the 'monkey-wrench' to all this is I haven't accounted for Portland's 2020 first round draft pick. That could add anywhere from 2.5-4M or more in salary depending on where Portland is picking. So the before tax margin is even smaller....with Ariza
Waiving Ariza would give the Blazers 11M more in under-the-tax margin. But Ariza did have a positive impact on the team. At the same time, Portland has Hood, Little, Trent, Hezonja, and Gabriel to man the SF position. That's a lot of depth and that 11M in breathing room under the tax line might be really valuable
what will the Blazers do?
