Game Thread 2024-25 GAME #81 - BLAZERS VS WARRIORS - APR 11, 2025 - FRI - 7:00 PM - CHARGE - BLAZERVISION

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the Lakers will very likely be resting all their starters. Will be a challenge for Portland to tank the game

the Suns have to play at Sacramento and the Kings will be motivated to win to hold onto HCA (against Dallas) for the 9 vs 10 play-in game. Suns unlikely to win, although the Toronto @ Dallas game starts 90 minutes earlier than Kings/Suns

If Portland loses, they will be 9th seed in the lottery with a 20.2% chance at top-4 and a 50.7% chance at 9th; and a 25.9% chance at 10th

if Portland wins and Suns lose, teams are tied. And both will have a 17% chance at top-4. Which team picks 9th and which team 10th is decided by a draw/coin-flip
 
wizenheimer said:
the Lakers will very likely be resting all their starters. Will be a challenge for Portland to tank the game

the Suns have to play at Sacramento and the Kings will be motivated to win to hold onto HCA (against Dallas) for the 9 vs 10 play-in game. Suns unlikely to win, although the Toronto @ Dallas game starts 90 minutes earlier than Kings/Suns

If Portland loses, they will be 9th seed in the lottery with a 20.2% chance at top-4 and a 50.7% chance at 9th; and a 25.9% chance at 10th

if Portland wins and Suns lose, teams are tied. And both will have a 17% chance at top-4. Which team picks 9th and which team 10th is decided by a draw/coin-flip
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I’m sure Dalton Knecht can lead Lakers to a win. Maybe career high from Bronny.
 
wizenheimer said:
are you sure? they own the tiebreakers over Minny and Memphis
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If DEN & MIN also win Sunday, GSW is tied at 5 with MIN and LAC. 1st 3-way tie-breaker is record amongst tied teams.

From what I can see, MIN is 3-0 vs LAC and 1-2 vs GSW. GSW would be 1-3 vs LAC and 2-1 vs MIN. So MIN's 4-2 would beat GSW's 3-4 and LAC's 3-4. So MIN would win the 3-way and get the 5 seed, then GSW & LAC would be tired for 6/7, and LAC would win that tie via H2H.
 
PtldPlatypus said:
If DEN & MIN also win Sunday, GSW is tied at 5 with MIN and LAC. 1st 3-way tie-breaker is record amongst tied teams.

From what I can see, MIN is 3-0 vs LAC and 1-2 vs GSW. GSW would be 1-3 vs LAC and 2-1 vs MIN. So MIN's 4-2 would beat GSW's 4-3 and LAC's 3-4. So MIN would win the 3-way and get the 5 seed, then GSW & LAC would be tired for 6/7, and LAC would win that tie via H2H.
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thanks...I was just thinking H2H. Harrison Barnes really did a number on the Warriors then

although....I'd bet the Warriors would almost prefer the 7th seed against Houston than the 6th seed against the Lakers. They would have to win the play-in game against Memphis first, and that's a big risk. Warriors are 23-7 with Butler; that a 63-19 pace in an 82 game season. But, Curry is 37 and both Butler and Green are 35. Warriors could use those extra rest days by avoiding the play-in.
 
wizenheimer said:
thanks...I was just thinking H2H. Harrison Barnes really did a number on the Warriors then

although....I'd bet the Warriors would almost prefer the 7th seed against Houston than the 6th seed against the Lakers. They would have to win the play-in game against Memphis first, and that's a big risk. Warriors are 23-7 with Butler; that a 63-19 pace in an 82 game season. But, Curry is 37 and both Butler and Green are 35. Warriors could use those extra rest days by avoiding the play-in.
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Also worth noting is what happens if Denver loses and ends up involved in that tie as well. They are 2-2 vs LAC, 0-4 vs MIN, and 1-2 vs GSW. So if they lose to Houston (highly unlikely), MIN would hop up to the 4 (8-3 vs tied [I missed 1 loss to GSW]), then the Clippers would take the 5 seed (5-3 vs GSW/DEN), and then the Warriors would take 6 via H2H advantage over Denver.

Lucky for Denver that Houston's on hiatus at the moment. However, given that the Nuggs are winless on the season against the Wolves (their presumed 4-5 opponent), an argument could be made that they (much like you theorized with GSW) would also be better off dropping to 7 to face a young, inexperienced Houston team than a Wolves squad that was in the commence finals last year.
 
PtldPlatypus said:
Also worth noting is what happens if Denver loses and ends up involved in that tie as well. They are 2-2 vs LAC, 0-4 vs MIN, and 1-2 vs GSW. So if they lose to Houston (highly unlikely), MIN would hop up to the 4 (8-3 vs tied [I missed 1 loss to GSW]), then the Clippers would take the 5 seed (5-3 vs GSW/DEN), and then the Warriors would take 6 via H2H advantage over Denver.

Lucky for Denver that Houston's on hiatus at the moment. However, given that the Nuggs are winless on the season against the Wolves (their presumed 4-5 opponent), an argument could be made that they (much like you theorized with GSW) would also be better off dropping to 7 to face a young, inexperienced Houston team than a Wolves squad that was in the commence finals last year.
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I think Minny is probably a really dangerous opponent for most teams in the WC playoffs
 
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