40 before 20

[bluefrog]

Coach Phalic Jackson said that to reach 40 wins before 20 losses means "you kind of control your destiny." Or in other words "you're a good team."

Which will happen first this season?

 

[bluefrog]

As of 12/13/08 we're 15-10, at .667 and on pace for 54 wins (stats stollen from nikolokolus on another thread)

 

[HOWIE]

I think that some time a home should help Portland pat their standings....this team needs some rest and some home cooking.

 

[MrJayremmie]

I think we will get to 20 losses before 40 wins.

 

[BlazerFanForLife]

I think it will be close but I think we will be a few wins short of 40 when we loose game 20. I say 37-20

 

[bluefrog]

I think the key is January. We face a lot of sub par teams that month and it will be a good chance to build some momentum.

 

[cdub503]

as much as i hope we do 40 wins first i dont know that we will

 

[MAS RipCity]

we'd have to go 25-9 to be 40 and 19, I just don't see it happening with the way our bench has been playing, too sporadic.

 

[HOWIE]

We'll make 30 wins before 20 losses....40 could happen and it would be awesome if it did.

 

[bigbailes]

fwiw we are actually on pace for 49 wins as our % is .600

 

[Public Defender]

No way the Blazers reach 40 wins before 20 losses. That would mean going on a 25-10 tear for the next couple months. Just not going to happen, short of a sudden hot streak, like last season.

If last night's loss to the Clippers convinced me of anything, it's that this team is still psychologically fragile, except for Brandon Roy - and that guy needs help!

 

[julius]

Come on, you all know we'll reach 20 losses in game 35.

 

[bluefrog]

fwiw we are actually on pace for 49 wins as our % is .600

Actually it's %666. 10 is 2/3 of 15. that puts on pace to 54 games

 

[Minstrel]

Actually it's %666. 10 is 2/3 of 15. that puts on pace to 54 games

That's not how you calculate a winning percentage. Winning percentage is what percent of games played have resulted in wins. You divide wins (15) by games played (25), which is .600.

 

[BlazerCaravan]

Actually it's %666. 10 is 2/3 of 15. that puts on pace to 54 games

We're on pace for 49 wins right now. We were of course on pace to win more (54.6 ~55) 3 games ago, when we were 15-7. Even small streaks have a big effect on projections this early in the season.

Here's the breakdown of our win percentage based on a hypothetical win streak that may or may not occur:

1 - 50 (50.4)
2 - 52 (51.6)
3 - 53 (52.7)
4 - 54 (54.7)
5 - 55 (54.6)
6 - 55 (55.5)
7 - 56 (56.4)

So, you can see the effect a short streak has on our "projected wins" this early in the season.

 

[ehizzy3]

20 losses for sure. but i sure would be ecstatic if we hit 40 wins first lol!

 

[alex42083]

we'd have to go 25-9 to be 40 and 19, I just don't see it happening with the way our bench has been playing, too sporadic.

Agreed.. 25-9 from now on is just way too tough especially with the emotional hit we've taken this past week.
But I'd hope to see at least with 30-35 wins when we reach the 20-loss mark. We have to be at least 10 games over .500 to have a chance to be in the playoffs.

 

[bluefrog]

I am an ass. we are at 60%
Kids, let that be a lesson to you. Never do math while under the influence of drugs or alcohol.