wizenheimer
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now it's always pretty tricky to compare a perimeter player to a C
but prior to 2013 draft, and right after, there was a lot of debate about whether Portland should have drafted Adams instead of CJ (remember now, at that time Portland had JJ Hickson at C). So, by circumstance, CJ and Adams were connected
it seemed that during the 2015-16 season, after CJ had assumed the starting role, that Portland had drafted the better player....a player who had a bigger impact on a team's trajectory
but 3 years later, after both players have had a lot more time to establish their identities and display their strengths and weaknesses, which of them is the better, more impactful player and which player has more value
PER: CJ 17.1....Adams 21.5
TS%: CJ .553....Adams .599
winshares/48: CJ .100....Adams .212
Box plus/minus: CJ -0.4....Adams +3.7
Real plus/minus: CJ -0.22....Adams +1.42
value over replacement: CJ 0.4....Adams 1.4
well, pretty obviously it's a statistical slam-dunk for Adams. But as I mentioned, it's tricky comparing players so different. We know CJ can create his own offense, even if it is at a dubious efficiency, and that's a coverted skill. On the other hand, Adams has a top-10 offensive rebound rate and is a defensive presence in the paint, both fairly coveted skills
and of course, the Blazers have Nurkic who is arguably as good as Adams if not better
but that really isn't that germane to which player is more impactful and which one is better. Who is it? and which one would have been a better draft pick?
but prior to 2013 draft, and right after, there was a lot of debate about whether Portland should have drafted Adams instead of CJ (remember now, at that time Portland had JJ Hickson at C). So, by circumstance, CJ and Adams were connected
it seemed that during the 2015-16 season, after CJ had assumed the starting role, that Portland had drafted the better player....a player who had a bigger impact on a team's trajectory
but 3 years later, after both players have had a lot more time to establish their identities and display their strengths and weaknesses, which of them is the better, more impactful player and which player has more value
PER: CJ 17.1....Adams 21.5
TS%: CJ .553....Adams .599
winshares/48: CJ .100....Adams .212
Box plus/minus: CJ -0.4....Adams +3.7
Real plus/minus: CJ -0.22....Adams +1.42
value over replacement: CJ 0.4....Adams 1.4
well, pretty obviously it's a statistical slam-dunk for Adams. But as I mentioned, it's tricky comparing players so different. We know CJ can create his own offense, even if it is at a dubious efficiency, and that's a coverted skill. On the other hand, Adams has a top-10 offensive rebound rate and is a defensive presence in the paint, both fairly coveted skills
and of course, the Blazers have Nurkic who is arguably as good as Adams if not better
but that really isn't that germane to which player is more impactful and which one is better. Who is it? and which one would have been a better draft pick?



