As a Candidate, Kennedy Is Forceful but Elusive

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Caroline Kennedy, the woman who would be New York’s next senator, is sure of one thing. Among all the hopefuls seeking to succeed Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton, she said on Saturday, there is no better choice.

 

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Unless Pete King can raise 45 million dollars and Barack Obama turns out to be bad/horrible in his first two years, that seat is going to stay Democratic even if Kennedy isn't in there.

 

[BLAZER PROPHET]

I have no doubt she will be named senator.

 

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# Story Highlights
# Embattled Illinois governor has the power to name Senate replacement
# He will pick former Illinois Attorney General Roland Burris
# Blagojevich is accused of trying to sell Barack Obama's Senate seat
# Senate could refuse to seat Burris, or it could seat him and investigate appointment

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My hunch is that he won't serve.

Even if they can't not seat him, which it appears they can't as decided by the Supreme Court in Powell v. McCormack, they can expel him with 2/3rds vote, which will be easy if the Democratic caucus is united behind Reid in opposition to him.

Blago does have more guts than brains.

 

[Minstrel]

My hunch is that he won't serve.

Even if they can't not seat him, which it appears they can't as decided by the Supreme Court in Powell v. McCormack, they can expel him with 2/3rds vote, which will be easy if the Democratic caucus is united behind Reid in opposition to him.

And even if they didn't expel him, he'd be a pretty sure lock to lose his next election. Accepting a seat from Blago would be political suicide at this point.

IMO, the only thing Blago can do to try and annoy people is appoint himself to the seat. It would cause a short distraction, until they expelled him.