Blazers Play-in Thread

[PDXFonz]

Kings have 8 players out ... DeRozan, LaVine, Sabonis, Murray, Westbrook, Monk, Hunter, Eubanks. I don't see how the Blazers lose this. But, they better come ready.

Well then, if there was any doubt before - it’s gone now.

 

[PDXFonz]

Considering the fact that the Blazers are -1800, I wouldn’t expect anybody to waste money betting on them tonight.

How does betting $100 to win $5 sound?

 

[blazerkor]

I never bet sports because I’m just not built for sports betting but
Right now Blazers are -110.
So if I put $11,000 on the Blazers to win I make $10,000.
Pretty easy money.

We're -105 to win by 18.5 points or more... so 19 points or more. What you're looking at is the opening odds of -110 for us to win by 16.5 or more.

 

[SharpesTriumph]

Ok that makes way more sense - I was so confused when someone said we were -110 to win. We opened -110 to cover the spread.

 

[SharpesTriumph]

I never bet sports because I’m just not built for sports betting but
Right now Blazers are -110.
So if I put $11,000 on the Blazers to win I make $10,000.
Pretty easy money.

If you bet 11k on the Blazers and they win by 16 points you lose it all.

 

[wizenheimer]

How many more times/game, does Deni attack the rim

doesn't directly enumerate drives to the rim; just drives and the results

* Deni drives 19.4 times/game. He passes on 9.4 drives leaving 10 drives/game of his own offense (roughly)

* Booker drives 15.7 times/game. He passes on 6 drives leaving 9.7 drives/game of his own offense

* Deni averages 3.9 FTA and 6.2 FGA on those 10 non-pass drives. That's a FTr of .629; and .39 FTA/non-pass drive

* Booker averages 2.6 FTA and 6.9 FGA on his 9.7 non-pass drives. That's a FTr of .377; and .27 FTA/non-pass drive

even assuming that Deni takes it all the way to the rim at a higher rate, those differentials pretty much mean Blazer fans can't spend much time whining about the whistles Booker gets

 

[SharpesTriumph]

So if we lose against Phoenix.... We'd actually want to see the Warriors beat the Clippers. In the scenario we lose both playin we'd tie lottery odds with the clippers and have a coin flip so could jump them in the draft while we'd be behind the Warriors.

 

[blazerkor]

So if we lose against Phoenix.... We'd actually want to see the Warriors beat the Clippers. In the scenario we lose both playin we'd tie lottery odds with the clippers and have a coin flip so could jump them in the draft while we'd be behind the Warriors.

Yeah, that would be good for possible draft positioning. I think the Warriors would be less desirable matchup in a winner takes all game though.

 

[blazerkor]

Let this Kings team back into the game. SMH

 

[THE HCP]

I think we can assume the Blazers will win today.

View attachment 83662

Wow!

 

[THE HCP]

Well then, if there was any doubt before - it’s gone now.

WOW!

 

[blazerkor]

The Kings won that quarter by 8. Our guys need a repeat of the second quarter here in the fourth.

 

[kjironman1]

We're -105 to win by 18.5 points or more... so 19 points or more. What you're looking at is the opening odds of -110 for us to win by 16.5 or more.

That’s the spread. That’s the spread.
No I’m looking at win or loss. What does that pay.
This is why you never bet sports. Your team can win by 10 points and you lose your money.
The Blazers won.

 

[kjironman1]

If you bet 11k on the Blazers and they win by 16 points you lose it all.

That’s exactly why you don’t bet on sports.

 

[kjironman1]

Wow!

There was absolutely no way the Kings were going to try to win that game. I know you watched. They threw that game from the beginning.

 

[SharpesTriumph]

That’s the spread. That’s the spread.
No I’m looking at win or loss. What does that pay.
This is why you never bet sports. Your team can win by 10 points and you lose your money.
The Blazers won.

Win or loss is the money line. I believe someone said it was -1800...

That is you would have had to bet $1800 on the Blazers to beat the Kings - then if the Blazers won you would get $100.

 

[SharpesTriumph]

That’s exactly why you don’t bet on sports.

Really the reason to not bet is because you have to bet 11 to win 10.... there is always a fee.

 

[kjironman1]

Win or loss is the money line. I believe someone said it was -1800...

That is you would have had to bet $1800 on the Blazers to beat the Kings - then if the Blazers won you would get $100.

So only 180K to get 10K?
Still pretty easy money if you got it to lose.
There were about 10 games like this today alone.
Think about for the last month.

 

[kjironman1]

Really the reason to not bet is because you have to bet 11 to win 10.... there is always a fee.

Blazers only won by 12. The fee would have been all your money.
Never ever bet sports. At least stay with cards.

 

[SharpesTriumph]

Blazers only won by 12. The fee would have been all your money.
Never ever bet sports. At least stay with cards.

I bet a few times a year and its fine, have consistently made a small amount of money at it. But its rare to have odds out of line enough to where a bet is profitable. Also has to be a team I have super good knowledge of (usually Blazers are the only one).

Actually have probably made more from promotions than actual bets. Really if you just do the safest minimum bets to clear those and then stop as soon as you can thats probably the most profitable way. Most people don't have the discipline though. If your time is worth x dollars though - might not be worth it at all though.

 

[Idog1976]

I won't shed any tears if we lose both games in the playin. A first-round pick is always nice to have for depth. But nobody in the 14 range would start for the Blazers for the next few years.

This is roundly considered one of, if not THE most stacked draft in the past 22 years. We could actually get a star at 14. It's also another asset. Next years draft (pick would be MUCH worse as well) is far better to give Chicago their Curse of Olshey pick.

 

[kjironman1]

I bet a few times a year and its fine, have consistently made a small amount of money at it. But its rare to have odds out of line enough to where a bet is profitable. Also has to be a team I have super good knowledge of (usually Blazers are the only one).

Actually have probably made more from promotions than actual bets. Really if you just do the safest minimum bets to clear those and then stop as soon as you can thats probably the most profitable way. Most people don't have the discipline though. If your time is worth x dollars though - might not be worth it at all though.

I play cards and craps when I’m at a casino but that’s it.
Sports betting is becoming huge. You are right. Most don’t have the discipline to stay where they make a little and move on.
The other great point you made is about knowledge of the team. For me unfortunately I only have knowledge about teams I’m emotionally invested in. That is where betting is not smart. Never get emotionally invested in any you are betting on.