it's really difficult to game the last 6-8 games of the season because it's kind of unpredictable what top-6 teams will be doing to close the season
* OKC has a 3 game lead over the Spurs and a 4.5 game lead over the Pistons for #1 seed. Once they secure that seed they will probably start resting players. But they won't do it too early because the Spurs own the tiebreaker against OKC
* The Spurs trail OKC by 3 games, but since they own the tiebreaker, it's only a 2 game lead for OKC. Portland plays at San Antonio in the 80th game of the season. Will the Spurs be mailing-it-in by that point in time? Or are they good enough to beat Portland while resting Wemby?
* the Lakers have the 3rd seed by 2 games over Denver & Minny; and 2.5 over Houston. But they own the tiebreakers over all 3 teams and their team health is iffy. When will they start shutting down starters?
* Denver is in a 3 team battle for 4th seed and HCA. They will probably have to fight thru game 82 and the Blazers have to visit Denver, again, in game 79
Blazers and Clippers are in a battle for 8th-9th seed. Clippers currently own the tiebreaker and may have an easier schedule than Portland. And there is still a home-and-home left between the 2 teams. If Clippers win one of those games they own the tiebreaker and that could be decisive. Besides those 2 games, Blazers have road games at Denver and San Antonio. Clippers have home games against San Antonio and OKC (game 80). Maybe the team that upsets the top teams in one of those games get 8th seed. So again, what will those top teams be doing at game time