I don’t think so, but it will be a pretty big test case for the future of the Democratic Party. It’s literally “I am the oldest and whitest male ever to run for President. I have been a lawmaker for 30 years, yet have not proposed any of my ideas as legislation in 30 years (because it wouldn’t pass Congress). Now I want to enact that same legislation, knowing that it
still won't pass Congress. But vote for me, because I'll give free stuff and I'm not Trump." First, I think that there's a significant portion of the voting population (especially young people from coastal areas) that those two points resonate with, and it'll be interesting to see how much they come out.
Honestly, in my perfect world Bernie runs as the Libertarian Party candidate after getting hosed out of the primaries by Biden/DNC/Ghost of Hillary and Obama, and takes more than 15% of the vote, so that we can have a legit 3-candidate race in 2024.
But to answer the question, I don't think he has the appeal to get the brunt of the Democratic base out in enough mass to get him wins in battleground states. And the primaries look like they'll chew up most of election cycle, minimizing the amount of time the Bernie can start attacking Trump. I just don't know what Bernie can say or do or fundraise enough to make independents and line-crossers to a) vote against Trump or b) stay home. Hillary in 2016 had much more pull than Bernie in 2020, and couldn't do it, and thought I think that Biden (while he would likely have been a horrible President) could've won in 16, I don't think there's any way he does now.
What would be Bernie's strategy? How is he going to take back 4 or so of
Florida,
Iowa,
Michigan,
Ohio,
Pennsylvania, and
Wisconsin ?