wizenheimer
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Oh, we can potentially get great value with both picks if the Pelicans' pick conveys. To me the question is are we going for immediate impact or are we trying to get the best value for the future further down the road. My preference is immediate impact to give Dame the best chance to win a championship ASAP.
To me the ideal situation if our pick won't get us Jabari or Paolo is that we can trade our pick, the Pelicans pick, Bledsoe and Hart to Toronto for Siakam. Then we pay the Bulls some money or give them the Grizz second rounder to take the conditions off the pick we owe them. Then we trade our 2025 and 2027 first rounders top 4 protected for Jerami Grant. I think Dame, Ant, Grant, Siakam, Nurk, Nas and whoever else we put with them would be an immediate contender.
I'm trying not to say this to aggravate you: is it possible you constantly overrate either the value of Portland's assets or the willingness of other teams to cooperate with Blazer needs?
I mean, for months you were pushing hard on the CJ for Simmons trade idea even though the evidence grew & grew that Philly simply didn't value CJ anywhere close to that level. I know a couple of other teams were rumored to have interest in CJ, and maybe you have used that to inform the value you assign CJ in an after-the-fact assessment of the Pels trade? But the way I look at it is those rumors could have been based upon other teams seeing if the Blazers were having a fire sale.
Cronin may have fucked up the Pels trade. I've said before I think he could have leveraged a Laker pick instead of the Bucks pick. But maybe he didn't fuck it up because CJ had value well below where you are thinking he had (and I'm still loopy enough to suspect there was some substantial push from Seattle on that Clippers trade)
in any event, if you believe that a couple of picks in a draft you don't see much value in outside of the top-4 would make for a good trade for Siakam, why would Toronto trade Siakam for a couple of picks with debatable value? In 27 games, Toronto has gone for a .500 record to 9 games over .500 and Siakam has led the way. The Raps might value Siakam pretty highly
I did say, if at the time of the draft some team was willing to trade an all-star level player for Portland's pick, great. I just don't think that's very realistic
and again, I don't think the optimal window on a top-8 pick this year paying off has to be as immediate as many do. I think that window isn't 6-9 months but rather 3-4 years
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