Dear Spanish fans, Sergio SUCKS!

[andalusian]

Pretty harsh for somoene who is a jump shot away from being Steve Nash. If he get's one close to that he will be a very good starter on an uptempo team.

Ugh - Steve Nash had only one year (his rookie year) where he had around 25% TOV% - Sergio actually regressed this year from his rookie year in this regard - so he clearly needs to also improve on his TOV% in order to be Steve Nash.

Add the fact that Steve Nash had only one year in his career where his TS% was lower than .500 - Sergio is yet to get there.

By his 2nd year Nash had an offensive rating of 111 - in his 3rd (and best year) Sergio is at 103 - and this is rather bad on a team that has as a whole an offensive rating of 113.9 - which is in the all-time great offenses efficiency wise. In his entire career Nash was on one team only that had a better offensive rating than what Portland had this year - with a rating of 114.5 - his first year in PHX (2nd time around).

Sergio is younger - so that goes for him - and his rebounding rate is just a tiny bit better than Nash - so there is a hope for him that in a very crazy system where defense does not matter and the idea is to run run run - he might be good - but he needs a bit more than a jump-shot to be Steve Nash - and let's get some-thing else - Nash does not just have a jump shot - he has a great jump-shot... He is a world-class jump-shooter - to the tune that for 2 years he actually lead the league in TS%...

Stranger things have happened - I guess - but Sergio is unlikely to be anything more than an acceptable backup in this league if he gets to play in a GSW or D'antoni like system and his TS% actually reaches an acceptable level. He is a big improvement in decision making and ball protecting and unimaginable improvement in jump-shot from being Steve Nash...

 

[Mediocre Man]

Ugh - Steve Nash had only one year (his rookie year) where he had around 25% TOV% - Sergio actually regressed this year from his rookie year in this regard - so he clearly needs to also improve on his TOV% in order to be Steve Nash.

Add the fact that Steve Nash had only one year in his career where his TS% was lower than .500 - Sergio is yet to get there.

By his 2nd year Nash had an offensive rating of 111 - in his 3rd (and best year) Sergio is at 103 - and this is rather bad on a team that has as a whole an offensive rating of 113.9 - which is in the all-time great offenses efficiency wise. In his entire career Nash was on one team only that had a better offensive rating than what Portland had this year - with a rating of 114.5 - his first year in PHX (2nd time around).

Sergio is younger - so that goes for him - and his rebounding rate is just a tiny bit better than Nash - so there is a hope for him that in a very crazy system where defense does not matter and the idea is to run run run - he might be good - but he needs a bit more than a jump-shot to be Steve Nash - and let's get some-thing else - Nash does not just have a jump shot - he has a great jump-shot... He is a world-class jump-shooter - to the tune that for 2 years he actually lead the league in TS%...

Stranger things have happened - I guess - but Sergio is unlikely to be anything more than an acceptable backup in this league if he gets to play in a GSW or D'antoni like system and his TS% actually reaches an acceptable level. He is a big improvement in decision making and ball protecting and unimaginable improvement in jump-shot from being Steve Nash...

Ugh - Nash was a 4 years college grad. That would have put him at 24ish or so in his second year in the NBA. Sergio is still only 22.

 

[andalusian]

And, as much as we might be adding to the Jermaine O'Neal/Chauncey Billups "exception prototypes", one only need look as far as Jose Calderon in terms of a guy discovering a perimeter jumper.

Calderon didn't shoot well from downtown until his third NBA season (when he was 26).

Does this mean Sergio WILL be a good/great shooter someday? No. Does it mean that it's POSSIBLE? Sure.

Sergio's problem is not just the 3P% - it is shooting from anywhere... there is something to be said about someone expanding his range if he can shoot - and Jose had a good TS% starting his 2nd year and he is just great now - while Sergio is still stuck in the less than .500 range after his 3rd year...

In comparison - Jose's 1st (and worst) year was better, TS% wise - than Sergio's best. He went to very good (.588) in his 2nd year and has been over .600 since - which is fantastic...

I am sorry - but Sergio has a long long long way to go to become anywhere as good as Jose and it is absurd to think he can ever be as good as Nash - and this is even ignoring the fact that Jose is actually a much closer to a Nate PG than Nash is - because he protects the ball exceptionally well...

 

[andalusian]

Ugh - Nash was a 4 years college grad. That would have put him at 24ish or so in his second year in the NBA. Sergio is still only 22.

Ugh, Sergio played professional basketball at the Spanish ACB league before he came to the NBA and Nash was actually 23 in his 2nd year.

Yes, Sergio is younger - but the jump from a below-average shooter to a world class shooter after 3 years in the NBA and at least one more year at a professional level (more challenging than College) - is pretty questionable.

Anything can happen, I guess - but one has to wonder how likely it is - and the statistics are not kind to Sergio in this regard...

Look at it this way - Rudy is only one year older than Sergio, he is a rookie - and his TS% is extremely good at close to the .600 mark. Rudy can shoot. Sergio - still can not. If you want to believe that it is likely that Sergio will go from a below average shooter to an insanely great one like Nash is - you are entitled to this belief, I guess.

 

[Mediocre Man]

Ugh, Sergio played professional basketball at the Spanish ACB league before he came to the NBA and Nash was actually 23 in his 2nd year.

Yes, Sergio is younger - but the jump from a below-average shooter to a world class shooter after 3 years in the NBA and at least one more year at a professional level (more challenging than College) - is pretty questionable.

Anything can happen, I guess - but one has to wonder how likely it is - and the statistics are not kind to Sergio in this regard...

Look at it this way - Rudy is only one year older than Sergio, he is a rookie - and his TS% is extremely good at close to the .600 mark. Rudy can shoot. Sergio - still can not. If you want to believe that it is likely that Sergio will go from a below average shooter to an insanely great one like Nash is - you are entitled to this belief, I guess.

I don't think Sergio will ever be as good of a shooter as Nash, but I think it's silly to say that he is garbage and will be out of the league after next season though. If Sergio can even get a reliable jump shot he would be highly sought after. Without it I think he stays in the league for a while because of his passing alone. In a motion offense SErgio's value goes way up.

 

[andalusian]

I don't think Sergio will ever be as good of a shooter as Nash, but I think it's silly to say that he is garbage and will be out of the league after next season though. If Sergio can even get a reliable jump shot he would be highly sought after. Without it I think he stays in the league for a while because of his passing alone. In a motion offense SErgio's value goes way up.

I did not disagree with you about the "he is not garbage" argument. I disagreed with the "he is a jump shot away from being Steve Nash" argument - he is simply not.

I do not think Sergio is a good fit with this team - he dominates the ball too much, he does not mash well with Roy and he is a defensive liability.

I said, clearly - that I can see him as someone useful in a backup role on a team that runs like crazy - but that's about it - even in a D'antoni like system at this point Sergio is nothing more than a backup - because these systems require scoring from the PG position - even Duhon (who came down to earth after a fantastic month or two under D'antoni) is a much better scorer than Sergio.

I will be honest with you - I think the only reason Sergio got his minutes as a backup this year was because it was important to make Rudy comfortable. If this aspect was not there - I suspect we would have given JB more time to learn on the fly. Sergio is an acceptable backup in a run and gun system - he is not even this here.