Warriors have won 3 of the last 4 championships. They seem to be able to turn it on when needed. They have incredible weapons and a style that is hard to defend. Portland is missing Nurkic, has a one-armed replacement, and their 6th man just hyper-extended his knee. All signs point to the Warriors winning the series, so it's not some radical idea to consider them heavy favorites...they are
it's still the same formula, Blazers need to bring their A game, try and steal one of the first 2, and let the chips fall.
speaking of chips, here's the thing that counts in my view: Portland has been playing with house money since Nurkic went down and they keep raking more into their pot. There's no pressure now and nobody but diehards (and for some reason, Charles and Kenny) expects the Blazers to threaten the Warriors. That's a good place for Portland to be