How pissed will you be?

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Natebishop3

Natebishop3

Don't tread on me!
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If the Ducks aren't #1 in the BCS tomorrow?

I'm going to be pretty mad.
 
Natebishop3 said:
If the Ducks aren't #1 in the BCS tomorrow?

I'm going to be pretty mad.
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I already posted in the OT thread. Mathematically now that Oklahoma lost (the #1 team in the computers and hence the only reason they barely held Oregon out of first) LSU will move up into that #1 computer spot, but Auburn will get most of that #2 votes in the human polls. Them each taking votes away from each other will cause Oregon to actually have a very comfortable lead in the BCS.
 
How can LSU be #1 in the computers when they just lost to Auburn?

I'm fully expecting Auburn to be #1 tomorrow. And then throwing up my hands and realizing that a Pac-10 team not named U$C will ever get a fair shake in the BCS.
 
How is that, when LSU lost night? Your reasoning doesn't make much sense.
 
it doesnt make sense... but neither does Oregon being 8th. I wont put anything past computers.
 
It doesn't really matter. All that is important is the Ducks finish 2nd. That gets them to the national championship game.

Then they can earn the #1 ranking by winning the game.
 
I'm really not afraid of Auburn. I think Bama is gonna stomp them.
 
It's going to be tight... If Oregon doesn't pull #1, I'm fine with it. Oregon just needs to concentrate on "winning the day" and trying to win out - which will be very difficult.

I'm not banking much on the BCS rankings. I fully expect the voters to know who is the best team though!
 
Fuck Auburn.

We'd beat the shit out of them. I'd actually be more scared of LSU. Auburn is a one man team, tbh. Their D is crap, and their offense lives and dies with Newton (who is awesome).

We have a better offense and arguably a better defense (better statistically, but they've played harder competition)
 
It would take an incredible amount of East Coast bias against the Pac-10 for Auburn to be #1 at this point.

The computers can't bias and the Ducks made up more ground in the computers with 3 teams above them losing. Auburn can only go from #3 to #1. So the best Auburn can do is be 2 slots above Oreogn in a poll that only counts for 1/3 of the BCS.

So Auburn would literally have to be loved by the nation in the two human polls and leapfrog TCU (after they won by a hundred points) and likely also leapfrog Boise State and take some of their 1st place votes (which we all know ain't gonna happen because people just won't be that biased towards the SEC). So it is highly unlikely.

Auburn may end up #2 eventually in the human polls if they win out and beat Bama, but by then Oregon (assuming they win out and this is still even a discussion) would have beaten USC on their field, Cal on their field, Oregon State on their field and Arizona. Auburn beating Bama doesn't hold a candle to the cumulative total of those four games for the computers. Oregon could likely be #2 in the computers by the time they win out and would be #1 in the BCS by a mile if they did so.
 
I kinda like that this team is/will be still being slighted by the BCS. The only thing scarier than trying to stop this offense IMO.. is trying to stop them when they are pissed off and motivated :cheers:
 
I don't really care. Doesn't matter anyway if we lose to USC next weekend. Win that game though, and I don't see how the hell we're not the undisputed #1.
 
TehChad said:
I don't really care. Doesn't matter anyway if we lose to USC next weekend. Win that game though, and I don't see how the hell we're not the undisputed #1.
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I do. No one is considering USC to be anything this year. They don't matter in the polls, so they seem to be an enigma team.... beat them and you don't get the "boost" that you would normally get from beating a team of their stature, but lose to them, and you get the full brunt of the consequences.

Plus the fact that USC has nothing to play for except pride, so this is, in effect, their "bowl game". Man, I'm scared about next weekend.
 
I updated my standings in the other post. But Auburn did get a lot of love for playing an undefeated top 10 team as where Oregon and TCU played marshmallows like they've had all season.

So I think it's fair from an unbiased point-of-view. You can be #1 in the human polls and you control your own destiny at that point. No way possible that Oregon could stay at #2 when they play out their schedules of USC, Cal, Arizona and OSU. If anything they'll pass most of the other teams above them on the computer polls and be miles ahead of #2 by Thanksgiven time.

So it's just a product of human polls seeing blowouts and giving Oregon love and Auburn playing a tougher schedule so far and making it through the tough games to get the computer love.

My updated standings are both Oregon and Auburn almost tied at 0.93 with Auburn getting winning the tie-break with a few thousandths of a percentage point. We'll see how the computers shake out, but I think Auburn may very well squeak this out after all. But as mentioned, they did earn it this week.
 
peweef, You guys are just scared to play MSU in Pasadena.... :)
 
Worry about the BCS ranking later in the season. They are of little value right now.

F* Auburn? I take it you haven't watched them much. I can guarantee, if we play Auburn, they pose some difficult matchups. No. Auburn is not a one man team. They are a well rounded team with an outstanding defense (check their stats in the red zone) who just happens to have a very talented QB.
 
Targus said:
Worry about the BCS ranking later in the season. They are of little value right now.

F* Auburn? I take it you haven't watched them much. I can guarantee, if we play Auburn, they pose some difficult matchups. No. Auburn is not a one man team. They are a well rounded team with an outstanding defense (check their stats in the red zone) who just happens to have a very talented QB.
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Meh. I'm not that impressed with Auburn and I've watched them quite a bit.

They've won 4 games by a touchdown or less and only have 4 road games total all year. They'll get beat by Alabama in Tuscaloosa and most likely lose in the SEC championship as well.
 
MickZagger said:
Meh. I'm not that impressed with Auburn and I've watched them quite a bit.

They've won 4 games by a touchdown or less and only have 4 road games total all year. They'll get beat by Alabama in Tuscaloosa and most likely lose in the SEC championship as well.
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I don't know... I thought they looked pretty good against LSU, but LSU didn't look that great, so maybe that's why. I do think they'll lose to Bama though.
 
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