it's the unknown that keeps Portland down in the win projection. Nobody can predict what trade deadline moves Cronin has planned.
Joe has altered the course of the season 2 years straight. Trading good players for picks and engaging a rumbling stumbling tank for a top draft pick.
Last year's Blazers were in the playoff race, a ~.500 team. A series of cap shaving "win later" moves by making Coach Billups "try out" 3rd string players on the active roster. Benching ALL the starters quickly dumped a heavy load of losses onto this franchise.
Were the Blazers bad enough to draft #3 in last year's lottery? Hell no.
Is this year's Blazer team bad enough to draft another top 5 rookie? It sure doesn't look like the case. But after the trade deadline... Cronin has incredible skills to make sure the Blazers decline rapidly in the standings.