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No, because I'm not that confident. I just know it isn't the blow-out that has been reported lately, and with ACORN being sued in 15 states and their registrations now being scrutinized, I believe it is a dead heat. And "my friends" tell me I am correct.
Have you considered the possibility that "your friends" might be lying to you? That they might have good reason to lie?
It's not plausible that all of the public polls are wrong, and that "your friends" have some secret way of knowing the truth.
Losing campaigns always claim their internal polls show a closer race than the public polls. And then they lose.
barfo