Lillard’s confidence is shot

[wizenheimer]

I was already on it LOL. X axis is 2020. Y is 2021. I chose players with a FTR >= 0.200 and at least 500 shots in 2020 and at least 100 shots in 2021. Median FGA in 2021 is around 150. Even stats like are subject to variance. Don't know what the losers have in common. Seems like bigger players are less affected.

View attachment 41784

interesting

probably too many factors for one chart but I'm wondering if there is a correlation between reduced FTrate, player size, and assisted FG rate. Probably have to discard size for the equation and then consider it afterward

we've also not considering the impact of playing Dame off the ball. If he's not initiating offense as much he might not be getting as many whistles. Also, Chauncey's rotation seems to take Dame out of the 1st and 3rd Q's in the last 1-2 minutes. That's likely the time that the opponent is in the penalty, so that's probably some missed FT opportunities for Dame as well

as I mentioned before, it might just be a perfect storm of negative factors: ) way too short an off-season; ) unhealed abdominal injury; ) new ball; ) new offense that takes Dame off the ball; ) new foul rules; ) being in his own head and forcing shots

that would be a lot to overcome when most of the factors aren't changing

 

[Fairly-Hard]

Lets just go full Aldo- Dame Sucks Now. Trade Him before they change the rules more.

 

[wizenheimer]

Lets just go full Aldo- Dame Sucks Now. Trade Him before they change the rules more.

you forgot the "what have I been telling all of you"....

 

[bobf]

interesting

probably too many factors for one chart but I'm wondering if there is a correlation between reduced FTrate, player size, and assisted FG rate. Probably have to discard size for the equation and then consider it afterward

we've also not considering the impact of playing Dame off the ball. If he's not initiating offense as much he might not be getting as many whistles. Also, Chauncey's rotation seems to take Dame out of the 1st and 3rd Q's in the last 1-2 minutes. That's likely the time that the opponent is in the penalty, so that's probably some missed FT opportunities for Dame as well

as I mentioned before, it might just be a perfect storm of negative factors: ) way too short an off-season; ) unhealed abdominal injury; ) new ball; ) new offense that takes Dame off the ball; ) new foul rules; ) being in his own head and forcing shots

that would be a lot to overcome when most of the factors aren't changing

Yeah there are so many factors probably some of each. But what you mentioned about being in at the end of periods could be a big factor. Not sure but I believe I can tell if it’s a penalty FT or at least if they were in the penalty. Not sure if I can tell if it would have been a shooting foul anyway though.

 

[Fairly-Hard]

Yeah there are so many factors probably some of each. But what you mentioned about being in at the end of periods could be a big factor. Not sure but I believe I can tell if it’s a penalty FT or at least if they were in the penalty. Not sure if I can tell if it would have been a shooting foul anyway though.

Perfection will not be achieved.

 

[julius]

doesn't mentioning the reverse-jinx reverse the reverse?

Dame shoots like shit Tuesday I'll know who to blame

If you're a Duck fan, you blame the refs.

 

[bobf]

interesting

probably too many factors for one chart but I'm wondering if there is a correlation between reduced FTrate, player size, and assisted FG rate. Probably have to discard size for the equation and then consider it afterward

we've also not considering the impact of playing Dame off the ball. If he's not initiating offense as much he might not be getting as many whistles. Also, Chauncey's rotation seems to take Dame out of the 1st and 3rd Q's in the last 1-2 minutes. That's likely the time that the opponent is in the penalty, so that's probably some missed FT opportunities for Dame as well

as I mentioned before, it might just be a perfect storm of negative factors: ) way too short an off-season; ) unhealed abdominal injury; ) new ball; ) new offense that takes Dame off the ball; ) new foul rules; ) being in his own head and forcing shots

that would be a lot to overcome when most of the factors aren't changing

Here are Dame's FTR and he FTR purely from drawing fouls in the penalty that would otherwise be non-shooting. That's a decent chunk. But other players might be picking up some of the slack or maybe we are in the penalty a lot less.

2015 | FTR 0.315 FTRP 0.077
2016 | FTR 0.366 FTRP 0.077
2017 | FTR 0.380 FTRP 0.086
2018 | FTR 0.335 FTRP 0.106
2019 | FTR 0.384 FTRP 0.125
2020 | FTR 0.363 FTRP 0.091
2021 | FTR 0.181 FTRP 0.043

 

[wizenheimer]

If you're a Duck fan, you blame the refs.

when they are to blame, yes

 

[swish3]

In the Nov 6 Lakers game win, Dame scored 6 of 14 which is 42.85%. Dame is on his way back!
I think some of you missed this post. Dame showed in the win over the Lakers that he is back to 43% swish3 shooting. Let's imagine that he will continue and progress! Go Dame!

 

[mook]

Something is clearly wrong with him. I wish he'd step away from the game and just work on whatever physical or mental thing is going on with him.

 

[mook]

^ It worked once. ^