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Nvm my phone app hadnt updated standings in two days. 9th oh well

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Mark it down, the best player of this draft will be Jeremy Lamb.
 
Re: LOTTO MACHINE!!!11

I get Bradley Beal and Perry Jones a lot. Harrison Barnes comes up a few times too. Haven't gotten the #1 pick yet. Got #2 once though.
 
Re: LOTTO MACHINE!!!11

i Got NJ #1 pick on my second try.

:MARIS61:
 
Re: LOTTO MACHINE!!!11

Natebishop3 said:
I get Bradley Beal and Perry Jones a lot. Harrison Barnes comes up a few times too. Haven't gotten the #1 pick yet. Got #2 once though.
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Me too. I'd love to get Jones at 10, but I'm not sold on Beal at 4. Florida plays tonight at 7:15, and it's been a few years since we as Blazer fans have had a reason to watch the high lottery picks in action during the NCAA tournament.
 
Re: LOTTO MACHINE!!!11

PapaG said:
Me too. I'd love to get Jones at 10, but I'm not sold on Beal at 4. Florida plays tonight at 7:15, and it's been a few years since we as Blazer fans have had a reason to watch the high lottery picks in action during the NCAA tournament.
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Yeah--as I've said in another thread, I would be shocked if Drummond, Robinson, and MKG don't go 2-4 (in some order). Perhaps Beal is difference-maker at the 2, but all I see is Ben Gordon.
 
Wonder what the odds are of our pick slipping into the Top 3, and NJ's ending up at 4? Wouldn't that be sweet!
 
Shooter said:
Wonder what the odds are of our pick slipping into the Top 3, and NJ's ending up at 4? Wouldn't that be sweet!
Click to expand...

I'm guessing very low, since I've run the Sim 50-some times, and that's yet to happen for me. The best I've had was Blazer's pick at #2, and New Jersey's at #6.
 
New Jersey literally won the lottery 5 times in a row for me just now...
 
From BEdge again. I would bookmark this:

NJpickProbs.jpg


Current prob of Nets getting 4th = 10%
Current prob of us getting top 3= 3%
 
^AAAAAAGGGGGHHHHHHHH This nerd chart means nothing to me son! I don't understand it!
 
HCP said:
^AAAAAAGGGGGHHHHHHHH This nerd chart means nothing to me son! I don't understand it!
Click to expand...

Dude it's easy to read. Probably your son would understand it. On the left column, it has 0.1, 0.2, etc... That is saying 10%, 20%, etc. Then you look at the color chart to show the pick. So the blue is 4th pick, red is 5th and green is 6th. Then the numbers at the bottom mean what position the team is in. For example: If it's 1, then NJ was the worst team in the NBA.

So looking at the "Nerd Chart", if NJ is the worst team, then we have a 35% chance to get their #4 pick. There isn't any other picks, because that is their worst case scenario; which would be our best case scenario. If NJ was the 3rd worst team in the NBA, then we have 23% chance of getting #4, 48% chance of getting 5th, and a 53% chance of getting 6th.
 
Close, mags. The 35% (you took 1-.65) is the probability of the Nets getting 1st, 2nd, or 3rd. Te probability of them getting 4th, 5th, or 6th then is jusst 1-the previous value (or 65%). The guy made it even better by color coding the probability of getting each of those picks. ~10% is the prob of them getting 4th if they have the 4th worst record. Actually, if they do have the 4th worst record, they have more of a chance of getting the 5th pick than anything else (35%).

Here is another resource to bookmark:

nba-draft-lottery-odds.jpg
 
yuyuza1 said:
Close, mags. The 35% (you took 1-.65) is the probability of the Nets getting 1st, 2nd, or 3rd. Te probability of them getting 4th, 5th, or 6th then is jusst 1-the previous value (or 65%). The guy made it even better by color coding the probability of getting each of those picks. ~10% is the prob of them getting 4th if they have the 4th worst record. Actually, if they do have the 4th worst record, they have more of a chance of getting the 5th pick than anything else (35%).

Here is another resource to bookmark:

nba-draft-lottery-odds.jpg
Click to expand...

Thanks! Yeah regardless, I suspect we are getting the #5 pick. They can't catch up to #2 and #1 worse. I just don't see it. I see them being #3 worst at best!
 
magnifier661 said:
Dude it's easy to read. Probably your son would understand it. On the left column, it has 0.1, 0.2, etc... That is saying 10%, 20%, etc. Then you look at the color chart to show the pick. So the blue is 4th pick, red is 5th and green is 6th. Then the numbers at the bottom mean what position the team is in. For example: If it's 1, then NJ was the worst team in the NBA.

So looking at the "Nerd Chart", if NJ is the worst team, then we have a 35% chance to get their #4 pick. There isn't any other picks, because that is their worst case scenario; which would be our best case scenario. If NJ was the 3rd worst team in the NBA, then we have 23% chance of getting #4, 48% chance of getting 5th, and a 53% chance of getting 6th.
Click to expand...
HAHA! You and your in-home DeVry Institute 2-year degree!
 
I just played four times, got a 4 and 10, then lost the NJ pick the next two times with both of our picks at 10 again. then hit it big! Our pick at 3 and NJ at 5!
 
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