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by the way, this weekend, and actually the season, IMO, are demonstrating a secondary impact of NIL and the transfer portal

it is still the case that the top teams land the top talent. That was true before NIL and it's true after NIL. But what the top teams can't do anymore at any effective level is stockpile 2nd tier talent under their 1st tier talent. NIL slush funds are too limited to be paying starter money to backups. If a player is behind an elite talent at one school, and he has enough of a resume, he can get starter NIL money, and BE a starter at another school

I think NIL & the transfer portal will help level the field between top teams and 2nd tier teams. And that wasn't happening under the old system. This is one of the reasons why I was in favor of NIL and the transfer portal. Personally, I think the portal should be open 24/7 in the off season

the real threat to 2nd tier, 3rd tier, and G5 schools is the prospect of the Big-10 & SEC merging their power and dictating the direction and rules. Those two conferences, along with their ESPN/FOX/CBS media partners are going to dominate anyway, but there is the definite threat of them creating exclusionary situations
 
Boise is up to 17th. That win is looking more and more solid. Jeanty has a legit shot at the Heisman.
 
SlyPokerDog said:
Nah, Texas, Penn State, and Miami will all jump them. I'm fine with being the underdogduck.
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Here is the college playoff prediction on ESPN updated today. You can see how far the Ducks are down on the list compared to other undefeated and one loss teams.

upload_2024-10-6_11-47-38.png
 
I want Ohio state to lose so bad cause it's dumb af they keep just putting them in the playoffs when they haven't even been tested yet.
 
I don’t see the Beavs anywhere on these lists.
 
THE HCP said:
I don’t see the Beavs anywhere on these lists.
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Beavers have an easier path to the playoffs than the Ducks do.

upload_2024-10-6_16-1-17.png

If the Beavers win out they will be in the playoffs. They only have one game left with a ranked opponent.

Ducks have 3 games left against ranked opponents including next weekend against the #2 team in the country.

Yes, the Ducks could lose 2 games and still make the playoffs and the Beavers can't lose any, the Ducks still have the tougher schedule.

upload_2024-10-6_16-5-6.png

And if the Ducks end up not in the playoffs and the Beavers do, I'm going to blame you and your fucking trolling.
 
SlyPokerDog said:
Beavers have an easier path to the playoffs than the Ducks do.

View attachment 65863

If the Beavers win out they will be in the playoffs. They only have one game left with a ranked opponent.

Ducks have 3 games left against ranked opponents including next weekend against the #2 team in the country.

Yes, the Ducks could lose 2 games and still make the playoffs and the Beavers can't lose any, the Ducks still have the tougher schedule.

View attachment 65864

And if the Ducks end up not in the playoffs and the Beavers do, I'm going to blame you and your fucking trolling.
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The Beavs are unranked. Why would they get in?
 
SlyPokerDog said:
If they win out they will be ranked.
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Oh shit here we go. Now he’ll go on and on with numbers and links telling you have you are wrong and he is right. Don’t say I didn’t warn you. #DerailIncoming
 
SlyPokerDog said:
Beavers play Boise State for the final game of the season.

Also WSU is listed in the current playoff rankings. So you're saying that the Cougars have a path to the playoffs but the Beavers don't when they have currently the same record?

View attachment 65866

https://www.espn.com/espn/feature/s...e-football-allstate-playoff-bracket-predictor
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If the Cougars win out. If the Beavers win out, which would mean beating both BSU and WSU, would have the same chances.

upload_2024-10-6_20-52-22.png
 
SlyPokerDog said:
Beavers play Boise State for the final game of the season.

Also WSU is listed in the current playoff rankings. So you're saying that the Cougars have a path to the playoffs but the Beavers don't when they have currently the same record?

View attachment 65866

https://www.espn.com/espn/feature/s...e-football-allstate-playoff-bracket-predictor
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there will only be one G5 team in the playoffs: the highest rated conference winner and neither OSU or WSU are eligible for that berth.

OSU has not beaten any team with a winning record. The 3 FBS teams they beat have a combined 5-10 record. The Beavers still have to beat UNLV (4-1), San Jose St. (4-1) and WSU in Corvallis; and they have to beat Cal and Boise St. on the road. I think they will probably lose both of those road games

OSU would have to get in thru one of the 7 at large bids. Right now, there are 5 undefeated teams in the Big-10, and 3 more teams with one loss. At minimum, the Big-10 and the SEC will take 4 of those at large bids; maybe 5. The ACC and Big-12 will likely get 1 or 2 at large berths. Notre Dame has a moderately easy schedule until their season final with USC (and they have beaten #15 Louisville). A 10-2 Notre Dame will get in over an 11-1 OSU. A 2 loss OSU has no chance and I'm skeptical they can run the table
 
wizenheimer said:
there will only be one G5 team in the playoffs: the highest rated conference winner and neither OSU or WSU are eligible for that berth.

OSU has not beaten any team with a winning record. The 3 FBS teams they beat have a combined 5-10 record. The Beavers still have to beat UNLV (4-1), San Jose St. (4-1) and WSU in Corvallis; and they have to beat Cal and Boise St. on the road. I think they will probably lose both of those road games

OSU would have to get in thru one of the 7 at large bids. Right now, there are 5 undefeated teams in the Big-10, and 3 more teams with one loss. At minimum, the Big-10 and the SEC will take 4 of those at large bids; maybe 5. The ACC and Big-12 will likely get 1 or 2 at large berths. Notre Dame has a moderately easy schedule until their season final with USC (and they have beaten #15 Louisville). A 10-2 Notre Dame will get in over an 11-1 OSU. A 2 loss OSU has no chance and I'm skeptical they can run the table
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Last weekend proved ANYTHING can happen in college football.

And, if the Beavers win out they have a great chance, currently 72%, of making the college football playoffs.

Also, a one loss Beavers (against a highly ranked Duck team) vs a two loss ND, with one of those losses being what is one of the most embarrassing losses in modern college history, you would have to take the Beavers.
 
SlyPokerDog said:
Last weekend proved ANYTHING can happen in college football.

And, if the Beavers win out they have a great chance, currently 72%, of making the college football playoffs.

Also, a one loss Beavers (against a highly ranked Duck team) vs a two loss ND, with one of those losses being what is one of the most embarrassing losses in modern college history, you would have to take the Beavers.
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you would...the CFP will not. The CFP is all about TV, ratings, and money.
 
wizenheimer said:
there will only be one G5 team in the playoffs: the highest rated conference winner and neither OSU or WSU are eligible for that berth.

OSU has not beaten any team with a winning record. The 3 FBS teams they beat have a combined 5-10 record. The Beavers still have to beat UNLV (4-1), San Jose St. (4-1) and WSU in Corvallis; and they have to beat Cal and Boise St. on the road. I think they will probably lose both of those road games

OSU would have to get in thru one of the 7 at large bids. Right now, there are 5 undefeated teams in the Big-10, and 3 more teams with one loss. At minimum, the Big-10 and the SEC will take 4 of those at large bids; maybe 5. The ACC and Big-12 will likely get 1 or 2 at large berths. Notre Dame has a moderately easy schedule until their season final with USC (and they have beaten #15 Louisville). A 10-2 Notre Dame will get in over an 11-1 OSU. A 2 loss OSU has no chance and I'm skeptical they can run the table
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The playoff simulator shows there can be a WSU vs ND match up. So OSU and ND could both be in the playoffs.

upload_2024-10-6_21-59-15.png
 
images
 
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