Pelicans pick watch

Welcome to our community

Be a part of something great, join today!

Register Log in
Come on nerds update the lottery standings.
 
wizenheimer said:
Pels won tonight
Click to expand...
Yes, the Pels beat the Rockets. New Orleans has 28 games left, and 7 of them are against teams with worse records than they haven now, such as Houston. They did beat Denver in Denver last Friday and have a 4-game win streak @Detroit @Denver @Houston and against Houston at home. They play Miami on Thursday at home.
 
THE HCP said:
Come on nerds update the lottery standings.
Click to expand...
New Orleans has the 9th worst record in the NBA. They're in 10th place in the Western Conference. The Blazers have the 8th worst record in the league, and in 11th place in their conference.

upload_2022-2-8_23-3-47.png
 

Attachments

  • upload_2022-2-8_23-3-47.png
    upload_2022-2-8_23-3-47.png
    71.3 KB · Views: 86
Tince said:
So when we play the Pels, do we want to win and hurt our lottery chances, but increase the odds we get the Pels in the lottery?
Click to expand...
We want to lose. If we don’t get their pick this year it will convey the following year. Between an end-of-lottery pick in 22 or whatever conveys in 23 I think 23 would be the more valuable choice. Especially if Dame stays, then we would likely use whatever we get in a trade this summer.
 
In the race to the bottom, it looks like it could be easy to pass San Antonio for the 7th worst record in the league. The Blazers lost by 31 points to the Spurs in the Moda Center, and have three games remaining with them, 2 of them in San Antonio.
We could also help ourselves by losing twice to OKC and twice to Houston. We're only 3 games ahead of OKC, a team we just lost to at home. It would be great to bump San Antonio and OKC above us and get to the 6th worst record. That is somewhat in our control if we lose to them.
Not sure if we could catch Houston.


upload_2022-2-8_23-15-52.png
 

Attachments

  • upload_2022-2-8_23-15-52.png
    upload_2022-2-8_23-15-52.png
    36.2 KB · Views: 81
blazerfan11 said:
In the race to the bottom, it looks like it could be easy to pass San Antonio for the 7th worst record in the league. The Blazers lost by 31 points to the Spurs in the Moda Center, and have three games remaining with them, 2 of them in San Antonio.
We could also help ourselves by losing twice to OKC and twice to Houston. We're only 3 games ahead of OKC, a team we just lost to at home. It would be great to bump San Antonio and OKC above us and get to the 6th worst record. That is somewhat in our control if we lose to them.
Not sure if we could catch Houston.


View attachment 45116
Click to expand...
"Not sure if we can catch Houston" has such a different meaning nowadays than say a few years or a decade back. Oh how the mighty have fallen.
 
One more win than SAC and SAS. I'm nearly certain we fall below both of them. Two losses below Indiana. It seems like they are going to somewhat try to win with Turner/Haliburton, at least much more than us, so we probably most likely fall behind them too.

I don't think we can fall behind Detroit or Orlando. We will certainly win at least a couple games and they won't win many.

So the range I would most expect from our squad is 4th-5th with a slim chance of 3rd. The chance of the #1 pick for 3/4/5 slot is 14% 12.5% 10.5%. Chance of a top4 pick at those spots is 52.1% 48.1% 42.1%
 
Right now NOP are at 9th pick with a 20% chance of being in the top4 (and thus us not receiving the pick).

Seems like we want them to lose to improve the pick, but losses also increase the chance it jumps to top 4 and we don't get it. If they go up to the 7th pick its a 32% chance we lose it, or if they go down to the 11th pick its only a 9% chance we lose it.

Think I might just prefer the Blazers lose to the Pelicans, unless it looks like they could actually make it past the playin. But if they can't beat our shit team this year do they really even have a playin chance? So maybe we want a Blazers loss to the Pelicans regardless.
 
Mediocre Man said:
The real question is if we keep Dame, for some dumb reason, who can two top 10 picks get us in trade?

this team with Dame and Ant is virtually the same as CJ and Dame. They HAVE to see this too, right?
Click to expand...
That is why keeping Josh Hart seems critical to me. He would seem to be a great fit next to Damian Lillard and not only that and almost as importantly he could be a great back up to Nassir little who we know is probably unlikely to play 82 games. Hart is 26 years old.
Someone pointed out that Josh Hart's contract for next season is not guaranteed. If we don't keep him we could be in deep trouble. To me it does not make sense to let him go.
 
Last edited:
blazerfan11 said:
That is why keeping Josh Hart seems critical to me. He would seem to be a great fit next to Damian Lillard and not only that and almost as importantly he could be a great back up to Nasir little who we know is probably unlikely to play 82 games.
Someone pointed out that Josh Hart's contract for next season is not guaranteed. If we don't keep him we could be in deep trouble. To me it does not make sense to let him go.
Click to expand...
Hart is a really good contract because it is a full team option this summer and the following. No partial guarantee at all, so max flexibility for Blazers
 
blazerfan11 said:
That is why keeping Josh Hart seems critical to me. He would seem to be a great fit next to Damian Lillard and not only that and almost as importantly he could be a great back up to Nassir little who we know is probably unlikely to play 82 games. Hart is 26 years old.
Someone pointed out that Josh Hart's contract for next season is not guaranteed. If we don't keep him we could be in deep trouble. To me it does not make sense to let him go.
Click to expand...
I will be disappointed if we let Hart go.
 
Labinot41 said:
Pelicans schedule for the rest of the season:

vs Rockets
vs Heat
vs Spurs
vs Raptors
vs Grizzlies
vs Mavericks
@ Suns
@ Lakers
vs Kings
vs Jazz
@ Nuggets
@ Grizzlies
vs Magic
vs Hornets
vs Rockets
vs Suns
@ Spurs
@ Hawks
@ Hornets
vs Bulls
vs Spurs
vs Lakers
@ Trail Blazers
@ Lakers
@ Clippers
@ Kings
vs Blazers
@ Grizzlies
@ Warriors
Click to expand...
Just looking at this and expecting that they'll only have Zion for the last half of those games I think the rest of the way they'll be a few games under .500 that has a ton of good teams they have to play. So they'll either stay right in the 10th spot or get bumped by the Spurs whose schedule gets easier than it's been or quite possibly the Kings because they may have just become a team that no one wants to play on any given night if their new roster gels.
 
We won’t be watching this pick for long.
 
wizenheimer said:
It would be kind of ironic if San Antonio bumped the Pelicans into the lottery because of the play of Zach Collins
Click to expand...
Speaking of Zach. It would be nice to have Zach on the contract he has now given the direction of the team.
 
I think some of these team in our sphere right now are trying to get into the play-in game. Some have young coaches trying to prove themself. A team like the Thunder already have a million picks for the future.

I think we’re the only team that is obviously trying to lose games right now. Ha
 
B-Roy said:
Speaking of Zach. It would be nice to have Zach on the contract he has now given the direction of the team.
Click to expand...

so we could all be waiting for the next injury?

I think Olshey was loathe to trade Zach, essentially admitting to everybody how stupid he had been in the 2017 draft. So, for him to have traded Zach I've got to think he'd had several conversations with doctors about the odds of Zach remaining healthy the rest of the way. Theory #3774 in the wizenheimer playbook
 
It all truly hinges on Zion. The only way they make the playoffs and pass the LA teams is if he comes back healthy. But I do see NO climbing above NY/WAS for sure in their overall record, which would put them at possibly 11th in the lotto standings. That gives them a 9% chance of keeping their pick (top 4) if they don't get through the play-in.
 
wizenheimer said:
so we could all be waiting for the next injury?

I think Olshey was loathe to trade Zach, essentially admitting to everybody how stupid he had been in the 2017 draft. So, for him to have traded Zach I've got to think he'd had several conversations with doctors about the odds of Zach remaining healthy the rest of the way. Theory #3774 in the wizenheimer playbook
Click to expand...

He's on the same 1 year guaranteed + 2 year team option deal similar to Josh Hart. There's literally no risk with him on the roster this year.

Oh, except it's a slight hit for Jody's pocketbook. Guess that's why he's not on the roster.
 
So if it doesn’t land between 5-14 we get the 2025 Bucks pick(top 4 protected)? That sucks.
 
You must log in or register to reply here.

Users who are viewing this thread

Total: 1 (members: 0, guests: 1)

Featured content

Back
Top