Blaze01
JBB JustBBall Member
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Here is the problem I see with POR in general in terms of thier "Reload not Rebuild" mentality...they are a team that is trying to rely on players being something that they are not.....
These are the players who will be back next year....
LA - POR is counting on him to thier #1 (Durant\Kobe\Rose\LeBron) type of player, or at least that he keeps developing towards that, even though there are too many times for comfort that he acts like a #2....Realistically on a lot of the top tier playoff teams, he would be the #2 guy...
Batum - Realistically he is really good rotation player, a #4-#5 guy on your team that plays the defense has some offensive outbursts and hustle plays...Unfortunately, POR is counting on him to develop into that #2-#3 guy. After what 3-4 years? I am not convinced that he will be able to grow into that #2 all-star caliber player...and quite frankly any team that counts on a player like this to suddenly become or improve into something he is not currently is just setting yourself up for failure.....
Matthews - On a really good team, playoff team, he is a 6th-8th man, coming off the bench, providing a spark, hitting a few shots and playing good defense...basically good in spurts...Yet on POR he is a starter and pretty much counted on to be that #3 scoring option type of player...Far from ideal
Elliot Williams - Who knows with this guy? It is pretty disconcerting that he has been unable to stay healthy...He has shown some offensive output in limited minutes...he is an undersized SG, but with some very good athleticism...On a good team, you see how he rehabs and if he can force his way into the rotation...On the Blazers? They are hoping\counting on him to be at minimum a key contributor off the bench and some have even whispered starter.....Again, good teams don't count on this occuring as part of thier reloading plan....
Babbitt - Well at least he went from total bust to specialist...but that is about it, he plays sporadic minutes here and there when you need to space the floor for a shooter...So we are talking a 10th-12th guy at best on a good team...In POR he is going to be a 6th-8th man, a key bench rotation player, not good.
Przybilla - I think he will be back, but he is aging, surgeries etc..In POR he was our starting center, may be next year as well, most likely though our backup center....on most other good teams a backup center or 3rd string insurance center...
Nolan Smith - On any playoff team the only time this guy would see the floor would be in a blowout and this is if he was even on the active roster....Just a horrible draft pick by POR...He is another undersized SG, though not nearly as talented as Elliot Williams...so, great POR has a 3rd string SG that they keep trying to play as a backup PG...For POR they are still hoping for him to be thier backup PG, eventhough he showed little to any signs of being that...on good teams, he would never see the floor....and we picked him over a guy who could have been the b\u PF this team has lacked (Faried)...Unbelievable...
Kurt Thomas - Back of the bench player who is playing on fumes...For POR he plays spot minutes as a reserve, for any playoff team...end of bench insurance player....
That is it, 8 guys back from last year's team in all likelyhood.
Seriously, how can anyone look at those returning players and think "Yeah, with a few other pieces this could be a championship team"....I mean the notion is just so ridiculous, you almost have to laugh about it.
This team is SEVERELY lacking in talent, I mean look at those 8 players coming back and tell me they are not...Furthermore they are missing at minimum ONE, and more likely TWO key ingredients, that being 1-2 bonafide all star caliber players to play alongside LA....
No starting PG, No reserve PG, No starting caliber SG, No starting center, No backup PF, No off the bench scorer
This team has recieved VERY little help from drafts since 2008 (Batum)...and has gotten one 7th-8th man player via FA (Matthews) and nothing else...
Reloading isn't the answer, unless your goal is to just put out a mediocre product, a team that can fight to make the playoffs any given year but then be 1st round fodder for the good teams...and with the current roster I am not even sure you can count on this team being able to achieve that....
Trading away lottery picks for guys like Lowry, Iguodala, Gortat, Evans etc will basically lead to that scenario above. Yeah the team will be better, but a championship caliber team? An upper echelon team? Not even close...
POR has to rebuild....Just too little talent and too far to go to reload....
It all starts with the draft, use both picks, heck try to get more...this team needs an infusion of talent in the worst way....Bring Freeland over, maybe even Claver...same with Diebler...at least see if Claver\Diebler are worth a roster spot in summer league, if not, let them go\trade them away....Utilize both 2nd round picks this year, there will be value there...
I would deal Matthews for a pick if I could, I would throw Nolan Smith into a deal if it could net me a trade up in picks or another draft pick, the guy isn't ever going to be a starting SG, and unless E-Will totally flames out b\c of injury, he will never even be a backup SG...and backup PG is never going to happen...Plus there are FAR better options in the draft and thru FA for SG....
Go after young players in FA...Dragic, OJ Mayo, George Hill all come to mind, maybe a guy like Nick Young....
At least inquire about dealing Batum, to see what you could get....unless you are going to be able to sign him to a reasonable deal, POR may have to look at trading him away...He is a good player, still has some potential to grow but you are really putting yourself into a corner if you sign him to $10-11mil and he stays what he is a 4th-5th man....POR may be able to do that, b\c by the time his contract is up he will be 27? and at that time POR would have to resign thier lottery picks to big money (if they panned out)...If a team will give you a high lottery pick for him, then I would trade him. If not try and resign him.
Most importantly realize that you are not going to fill all the holes in one year...LA may have to play some center...You should be able to address PG thru FA...If you could get a mid\late 1st you may be able to get a guy like Fab Melo...I would certainly look at Kyle O'Quinn and Henry Sims in the 2nd round...You have Freeland coming over, play him, see if he can play some PF\C minutes for you...and\or you could address PG, with a mid 1st, a guy like M.Teague or S.Machado in the 2nd round...
I know a lot of people are clamoring for Kendall Marshall, you could pick him up at #11 if he was there...I think POR would be better served going instead for higher ceiling type of players...guys like P.Jones, T.Wroten, Q.Miller...
at #6 go for BPA...Beal (if he drops or if you can trade up a spot or two to get him), Lamb, Rivers or Barnes...
I think a perfect draft for POR would be a Beal at #6 or trade up and one of a Jones\Sullinger\Henson if they are there at #11....OR if you can't get Beal, then a combination of P.Jones & Rivers\Lamb....
Basically 2 of the following players: Beal, Rivers, Lamb, Barnes, P.Jones, Sullinger, Henson...and preferably not 2 players at the same position.
If you can get a mid\late 1st...go after Teague or F.Melo....
These are the players who will be back next year....
LA - POR is counting on him to thier #1 (Durant\Kobe\Rose\LeBron) type of player, or at least that he keeps developing towards that, even though there are too many times for comfort that he acts like a #2....Realistically on a lot of the top tier playoff teams, he would be the #2 guy...
Batum - Realistically he is really good rotation player, a #4-#5 guy on your team that plays the defense has some offensive outbursts and hustle plays...Unfortunately, POR is counting on him to develop into that #2-#3 guy. After what 3-4 years? I am not convinced that he will be able to grow into that #2 all-star caliber player...and quite frankly any team that counts on a player like this to suddenly become or improve into something he is not currently is just setting yourself up for failure.....
Matthews - On a really good team, playoff team, he is a 6th-8th man, coming off the bench, providing a spark, hitting a few shots and playing good defense...basically good in spurts...Yet on POR he is a starter and pretty much counted on to be that #3 scoring option type of player...Far from ideal
Elliot Williams - Who knows with this guy? It is pretty disconcerting that he has been unable to stay healthy...He has shown some offensive output in limited minutes...he is an undersized SG, but with some very good athleticism...On a good team, you see how he rehabs and if he can force his way into the rotation...On the Blazers? They are hoping\counting on him to be at minimum a key contributor off the bench and some have even whispered starter.....Again, good teams don't count on this occuring as part of thier reloading plan....
Babbitt - Well at least he went from total bust to specialist...but that is about it, he plays sporadic minutes here and there when you need to space the floor for a shooter...So we are talking a 10th-12th guy at best on a good team...In POR he is going to be a 6th-8th man, a key bench rotation player, not good.
Przybilla - I think he will be back, but he is aging, surgeries etc..In POR he was our starting center, may be next year as well, most likely though our backup center....on most other good teams a backup center or 3rd string insurance center...
Nolan Smith - On any playoff team the only time this guy would see the floor would be in a blowout and this is if he was even on the active roster....Just a horrible draft pick by POR...He is another undersized SG, though not nearly as talented as Elliot Williams...so, great POR has a 3rd string SG that they keep trying to play as a backup PG...For POR they are still hoping for him to be thier backup PG, eventhough he showed little to any signs of being that...on good teams, he would never see the floor....and we picked him over a guy who could have been the b\u PF this team has lacked (Faried)...Unbelievable...
Kurt Thomas - Back of the bench player who is playing on fumes...For POR he plays spot minutes as a reserve, for any playoff team...end of bench insurance player....
That is it, 8 guys back from last year's team in all likelyhood.
Seriously, how can anyone look at those returning players and think "Yeah, with a few other pieces this could be a championship team"....I mean the notion is just so ridiculous, you almost have to laugh about it.
This team is SEVERELY lacking in talent, I mean look at those 8 players coming back and tell me they are not...Furthermore they are missing at minimum ONE, and more likely TWO key ingredients, that being 1-2 bonafide all star caliber players to play alongside LA....
No starting PG, No reserve PG, No starting caliber SG, No starting center, No backup PF, No off the bench scorer
This team has recieved VERY little help from drafts since 2008 (Batum)...and has gotten one 7th-8th man player via FA (Matthews) and nothing else...
Reloading isn't the answer, unless your goal is to just put out a mediocre product, a team that can fight to make the playoffs any given year but then be 1st round fodder for the good teams...and with the current roster I am not even sure you can count on this team being able to achieve that....
Trading away lottery picks for guys like Lowry, Iguodala, Gortat, Evans etc will basically lead to that scenario above. Yeah the team will be better, but a championship caliber team? An upper echelon team? Not even close...
POR has to rebuild....Just too little talent and too far to go to reload....
It all starts with the draft, use both picks, heck try to get more...this team needs an infusion of talent in the worst way....Bring Freeland over, maybe even Claver...same with Diebler...at least see if Claver\Diebler are worth a roster spot in summer league, if not, let them go\trade them away....Utilize both 2nd round picks this year, there will be value there...
I would deal Matthews for a pick if I could, I would throw Nolan Smith into a deal if it could net me a trade up in picks or another draft pick, the guy isn't ever going to be a starting SG, and unless E-Will totally flames out b\c of injury, he will never even be a backup SG...and backup PG is never going to happen...Plus there are FAR better options in the draft and thru FA for SG....
Go after young players in FA...Dragic, OJ Mayo, George Hill all come to mind, maybe a guy like Nick Young....
At least inquire about dealing Batum, to see what you could get....unless you are going to be able to sign him to a reasonable deal, POR may have to look at trading him away...He is a good player, still has some potential to grow but you are really putting yourself into a corner if you sign him to $10-11mil and he stays what he is a 4th-5th man....POR may be able to do that, b\c by the time his contract is up he will be 27? and at that time POR would have to resign thier lottery picks to big money (if they panned out)...If a team will give you a high lottery pick for him, then I would trade him. If not try and resign him.
Most importantly realize that you are not going to fill all the holes in one year...LA may have to play some center...You should be able to address PG thru FA...If you could get a mid\late 1st you may be able to get a guy like Fab Melo...I would certainly look at Kyle O'Quinn and Henry Sims in the 2nd round...You have Freeland coming over, play him, see if he can play some PF\C minutes for you...and\or you could address PG, with a mid 1st, a guy like M.Teague or S.Machado in the 2nd round...
I know a lot of people are clamoring for Kendall Marshall, you could pick him up at #11 if he was there...I think POR would be better served going instead for higher ceiling type of players...guys like P.Jones, T.Wroten, Q.Miller...
at #6 go for BPA...Beal (if he drops or if you can trade up a spot or two to get him), Lamb, Rivers or Barnes...
I think a perfect draft for POR would be a Beal at #6 or trade up and one of a Jones\Sullinger\Henson if they are there at #11....OR if you can't get Beal, then a combination of P.Jones & Rivers\Lamb....
Basically 2 of the following players: Beal, Rivers, Lamb, Barnes, P.Jones, Sullinger, Henson...and preferably not 2 players at the same position.
If you can get a mid\late 1st...go after Teague or F.Melo....

