The race for Home Court Advantage (1 Viewer)

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So we are going to finish third. Right now it would give us a matchup against Thunder which is not perfect because the way they are playing, I want them to face Warriors instead. The gaps between the teams below us are so tiny that any of them could finish in any position.

I’m not convinced if there is still any battle for the playoffs, Nuggets and Clippers both have 35 losses already and both will get to 37 minimum, probably. I don’t think any of current top 8 teams will reach 37 losses or more.
 
Sarni said:
So we are going to finish third. Right now it would give us a matchup against Thunder which is not perfect because the way they are playing, I want them to face Warriors instead. The gaps between the teams below us are so tiny that any of them could finish in any position.

I’m not convinced if there is still any battle for the playoffs, Nuggets and Clippers both have 35 losses already and both will get to 37 minimum, probably. I don’t think any of current top 8 teams will reach 37 losses or more.
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Huh? You don't want to play the Thunder because they have lost 3 in a row?
 
Blazers 47-29. MEM, @ Dal, @Hou, @ Sas, @ Den, UTA. 4-2 but depends on if Rockets sit players as they have #1 seed wrapped up.
Spurs...44-32. HOU, @Lac, @ Lal, POR, SAC, NOP. 5-1...could get HCA. Does Kawhi come back for the Playoffs?
Wolves 44-33. UTA, @ Den, @ Lal, MEM, DEN. Could go 4-1 or 5-0 to close the year.
ChOKC 44-33. @Nop, GSW, @Hou, @Mia, MEM. Lost 3 in a row and that could get worse.
Jazzzzz 43-33. @Min, LAL, LAC, @LAL, GSW, @Por. Could go 5-1 especially depending on POR possible sitting people the last game.
Pelican 43-33. OKC, MEM, @Phx, @Gsw, @ Lac, SAS. Could be an easy 5-1 finish.

Based on loose 'projections' (hope that doesn't cause anyone a fit):

POR 51-31
SAS 49-33
MIN 48-34
UTA 48-34
NOP 48-34
OKC 47-35

Then it may come down to which team lost which came to whom to settle tie-breakers and determine who the Blazers play in the 1st round. If it was a choice between MIN, UTA and NOP, who would you choose?
 
TBpup said:
Blazers 47-29. MEM, @ Dal, @Hou, @ Sas, @ Den, UTA. 4-2 but depends on if Rockets sit players as they have #1 seed wrapped up.
Spurs...44-32. HOU, @Lac, @ Lal, POR, SAC, NOP. 5-1...could get HCA. Does Kawhi come back for the Playoffs?
Wolves 44-33. UTA, @ Den, @ Lal, MEM, DEN. Could go 4-1 or 5-0 to close the year.
ChOKC 44-33. @Nop, GSW, @Hou, @Mia, MEM. Lost 3 in a row and that could get worse.
Jazzzzz 43-33. @Min, LAL, LAC, @LAL, GSW, @Por. Could go 5-1 especially depending on POR possible sitting people the last game.
Pelican 43-33. OKC, MEM, @Phx, @Gsw, @ Lac, SAS. Could be an easy 5-1 finish.

Based on loose 'projections' (hope that doesn't cause anyone a fit):

POR 51-31
SAS 49-33
MIN 48-34
UTA 48-34
NOP 48-34
OKC 47-35

Then it may come down to which team lost which came to whom to settle tie-breakers and determine who the Blazers play in the 1st round. If it was a choice between MIN, UTA and NOP, who would you choose?
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Pelicans
Wolves
Utah
 
So weird that, with all the tight races in the West, there isn't a single meaningful game involving any Western Conference team tonight. Guess I'll have to find some other way to spend my Saturday evening.

BNM
 
hoopsjock said:
Huh? You don't want to play the Thunder because they have lost 3 in a row?
Click to expand...

I don’t mean their current form, quite the opposite actually. They are streaky, can beat anyone on their day and lose to anyone when things don’t go their way. I would rather play a team that is predictable.
 
Boob-No-More said:
So weird that, with all the tight races in the West, there isn't a single meaningful game involving any Western Conference team tonight. Guess I'll have to find some other way to spend my Saturday evening.

BNM
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Yes but Toronto/Boston is a big game.
 
Sarni said:
I don’t mean their current form, quite the opposite actually. They are streaky, can beat anyone on their day and lose to anyone when things don’t go their way. I would rather play a team that is predictable.
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Makes sense. Businesses want a predictable environment to do business in. Basketball is a business. 2 + 2 = 4.
 
Blazers 47-29. MEM, @ Dal, @Hou, @ Sas, @ Den, UTA.
Spurs...44-32. HOU (W), @Lac, @ Lal, POR, SAC, NOP.

The Blazers really can't afford to lose more than 2 games because the Spurs just won the toughest game they were projected to have for the rest of the regular season. If they beat the Blazers in SA, they will own the tie-breaker so Portland has to take care of business down the stretch. The Rockets will have the #1 seed wrapped up but they may want to see the Blazers in the 2nd round vs the Spurs and might play their entire team. Beating the Rockets on the road is a tall task. Denver may still be fighting for a playoff spot and Utah could be fighting for seeding as well.

4-2....no less.
 
TBpup said:
Blazers 47-29. MEM, @ Dal, @Hou, @ Sas, @ Den, UTA.
Spurs...44-32. HOU (W), @Lac, @ Lal, POR, SAC, NOP.

The Blazers really can't afford to lose more than 2 games because the Spurs just won the toughest game they were projected to have for the rest of the regular season. If they beat the Blazers in SA, they will own the tie-breaker so Portland has to take care of business down the stretch. The Rockets will have the #1 seed wrapped up but they may want to see the Blazers in the 2nd round vs the Spurs and might play their entire team. Beating the Rockets on the road is a tall task. Denver may still be fighting for a playoff spot and Utah could be fighting for seeding as well.

4-2....no less.
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Division winner owns the tiebreaker, we clinch the 3 seed with 3 more wins, or 2 wins and a Spurs loss.
 
TBpup said:
Okay, that makes me feel better. So we could finished tied with them having the head-to-head tie-breaker but we get it because of Division winner, correct?
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Correct.
 
TBpup said:
Okay, that makes me feel better. So we could finished tied with them having the head-to-head tie-breaker but we get it because of Division winner, correct?
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Nope. That was prior years.

This year head to head is first tiebreaker. Division winner is the second.

After head-to-head, the next tiebreaker is division winner over non-division winner.
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http://www.nba.com/article/2018/03/08/west-playoff-race-breakdown



In that situation, SAS would get 3rd & Portland would be 4th
 
OKC! Pelicans and Jazz/ Twolves, wash. Two of the four have to win. All are more or less tied.
 
I still think SAS has to win out to even have a chance at catching us though. We essentially clinch the 3 seed with a win against them. If we win our next two and SAS doesn't lose, our magic number would be 2 to clinch the 3 seed. We have a "91%" chance at the 3 seed.

I'm not worried. I don't think SAS wins out. HOU was without CP3.
 
tester551 said:
Nope. That was prior years.

This year head to head is first tiebreaker. Division winner is the second.


http://www.nba.com/article/2018/03/08/west-playoff-race-breakdown



In that situation, SAS would get 3rd & Portland would be 4th
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Okay, thank you for the clarification. That is what I was worried about. I can see HOU playing their full squad to get a win against us because their team play-by-play guy said they would much rather play us (vs OKC). Can't imagine it would be different if it was the Spurs. So if HOU and SAS beat Portland, the Blazers have to go 4-0 against MEM, @Dal, @Den, UTA. They should be able to do that but it only takes 1 slip and it opens the door for the Spurs who could easily win the rest of their games.
 
With San Antonio beating the Rockets, and Portland losing to Memphis.
Both teams look like they're going to finish with the same record.
The game in Portland between Spurs & Blazers becomes huge. If Portland gets that game the 3rd seed is theirs.
If they lose it... Then theres a high chance Portland falls to 4.
 
TBpup said:
Okay, thank you for the clarification. That is what I was worried about. I can see HOU playing their full squad to get a win against us because their team play-by-play guy said they would much rather play us (vs OKC). Can't imagine it would be different if it was the Spurs. So if HOU and SAS beat Portland, the Blazers have to go 4-0 against MEM, @Dal, @Den, UTA. They should be able to do that but it only takes 1 slip and it opens the door for the Spurs who could easily win the rest of their games.
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Maybe, but we're talking Greg "rest all of my old dudes at the end of the season" Popovich here. I don't think that'll change in order to get the 3rd seed instead of the 4th seed.
 
honkicracker said:
With San Antonio beating the Rockets, and Portland losing to Memphis.
Both teams look like they're going to finish with the same record.
The game in Portland between Spurs & Blazers becomes huge. If Portland gets that game the 3rd seed is theirs.
If they lose it... Then theres a high chance Portland falls to 4.
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Based on what....? We're 3 losses ahead of them. They have just as hard of a remaining schedule as us..
 
BonesJones said:
Based on what....? We're 3 losses ahead of them. They have just as hard of a remaining schedule as us..
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Portland. 47-29
vs Mem, @ Mavs, @ Rockets, @ Spurs, @ Nuggets, vs Jazz


Spurs. 45-32
@ Clippers, @ Lakers, vs Blazers, vs Kings, @Pelicans

Well I mean Portland has 4 games against teams fighting for the playoffs.
Spurs have three.
Not sure I'd call that an equal remaining.

Also. Spurs will prolly be favored in every game except the Pelicans.
Where Portland is only likely to be favored against Utah, Dallas, Mem.
 
honkicracker said:
Portland. 47-29
vs Mem, @ Mavs, @ Rockets, @ Spurs, @ Nuggets, vs Jazz


Spurs. 45-32
@ Clippers, @ Lakers, vs Blazers, vs Kings, @Pelicans

Well I mean Portland has 4 games against teams fighting for the playoffs.
Spurs have three.
Not sure I'd call that an equal remaining.

Also. Spurs will prolly be favored in every game except the Pelicans.
Where Portland is only likely to be favored against Utah, Dallas, Mem.
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Nuggets won't be fighting for playoffs when we play them.
 
KingSpeed said:
Nuggets won't be fighting for playoffs when we play them.
Click to expand...

Possibly, but I seriously doubt they'll be 'tanking'.
Also Denver is really good at home. 27-10
Where they're ass on the road. 14-25

That's a tough road game for Portland
 
Blazers 48-29. MEM(W), @ Dal, @Hou, @ Sas, @ Den, UTA.
Spurs...45-32. HOU(W), @Lac, @ Lal, POR, SAC, NOP.
ChOKC 44-33. @Nop(W), GSW, @Hou, @@Mia, MEM.
Jazzzzz 45-33. @Min(L), LAL, LAC, @@LAL, GSW, @Por.
Wolves 44-34. UTA(L), @ Den, @ Lal, MEM, DEN.
Pelican 43-34. OKC(L) MEM, @Phx, @Gsw, @ Lac, SAS.

Spurs rout the Rockets
Utah DESTROYS Minnesota on the road.
Thunder get a big win on the road against the Pelicans.
 
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