GrandpaBlaze
Predictions Game Master
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The problem is not necessarily first half/second half, it is the middle.
I took the last 10 games (four home and six on the road) and compared the quarter-by-quarter point differentials (positive Blazers score more, negative they scored fewer):
First Quarter: Home 3.5, Away 3.5
Second Quarter: Home 11.75, Away -1
Third Quarter: Home 12.5, Away -4.8
Fourth Quarter: Home -0.5, Away 0.5
A caveat on the fourth quarter away positive, four out of the six games were negative but the two positives were +2 and +10 (Hawks). The +10 Hawks game skews the overall average.
In the third quarter on the road, we lost five out of six quarters.
Still using the averages as they exist:
First half: Home +15.25, Away +2.5
Second half: Home +12, Away -4.3.
So, on the road we give up an average of 12.75 points in the first half and another 16.25 points in the second half. Over the last 10 games that amounts to giving up 29 points per game in point differential when playing on the road as compared to playing at home.
Do we have a problem? You bet. Yes, the players are the ones playing, but such a total discrepancy speaks also to the quality of the coaching. It would seem the players are playing more for the crowd than the coach. At home they have the crowd, on the road, not so and if your coach cannot inspire, then you see the kind of differential we see here.
Gramps...
I took the last 10 games (four home and six on the road) and compared the quarter-by-quarter point differentials (positive Blazers score more, negative they scored fewer):
First Quarter: Home 3.5, Away 3.5
Second Quarter: Home 11.75, Away -1
Third Quarter: Home 12.5, Away -4.8
Fourth Quarter: Home -0.5, Away 0.5
A caveat on the fourth quarter away positive, four out of the six games were negative but the two positives were +2 and +10 (Hawks). The +10 Hawks game skews the overall average.
In the third quarter on the road, we lost five out of six quarters.
Still using the averages as they exist:
First half: Home +15.25, Away +2.5
Second half: Home +12, Away -4.3.
So, on the road we give up an average of 12.75 points in the first half and another 16.25 points in the second half. Over the last 10 games that amounts to giving up 29 points per game in point differential when playing on the road as compared to playing at home.
Do we have a problem? You bet. Yes, the players are the ones playing, but such a total discrepancy speaks also to the quality of the coaching. It would seem the players are playing more for the crowd than the coach. At home they have the crowd, on the road, not so and if your coach cannot inspire, then you see the kind of differential we see here.
Gramps...