Three teams at 51-26...

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chris_in_pdx

chris_in_pdx

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Who is in the driver's seat for HCA?

Edit: I don't want to be any part of the Spurs right now. HCA or no.
 
The crazy thing is Houston, Memphis and SAS. Who's gonna win that division?!
 
If the Blazers win every one of their remaining games, who do they have tiebreakers with? What seed will they be?
 
chris_in_pdx said:
If the Blazers win every one of their remaining games, who do they have tiebreakers with? What seed will they be?
Click to expand...
First, only 1 team is 51-26 (Spurs). Clippers are 52-26. Memphis is 52-25 and Portland is 50-26. Second, if we win out, we will have HCA no matter what and will of course be 4th seed at worst. We own the tiebreaker over Houston, LA Clippers, and SA no matter what. We own the tiebreaker over Memphis IF they don't win their division. Otherwise, they have the tiebreaker.
 
magnifier661 said:
If they win every game here on out, they are guaranteed HCA in the first round
Click to expand...
What would be great is if SA and Portland win out. Clippers will definitely win out. Houston will have lost 2 to Spurs so they will have 26 losses. Then hopefully Grizzlies drop 2 games to give them 27 losses. Since we have tie breaker over Spurs, Clippers, and Rockets, we would be the 2 seed.

In short, as long as we are winning, we want the Spurs to win too. If we start losing, then we want the Spurs to lose. Tomorrow's game is huge.
 
chris_in_pdx said:
Who is in the driver's seat for HCA?

Edit: I don't want to be any part of the Spurs right now. HCA or no.
Click to expand...

Yeah SA has won 10 of their last 11. Their D is looking good again. No matter who we face in round one we will be underdogs.
 
How would we have the tiebreaker over the Clippers if both teams finished with the same record?
 
XXPrimusXX said:
How would we have the tiebreaker over the Clippers if both teams finished with the same record?
Click to expand...

The first tiebreaker is Division winner.
The Clippers can't with their division because of the Warriors.
Blazers have won their division. Therefore they hold tie breakers over all non division winners.
 
Isn't the first tiebreaker head-to-head? 3-1 in favor of the Clippers.

Edit: Nevermind, just looked it up. I'm relieved. I don't want to play a series against the Clippers without HCA.
 
XXPrimusXX said:
Isn't the first tiebreaker head-to-head? 3-1 in favor of the Clippers.
Click to expand...

No.

TIEBREAKER BASIS:
(-) Tie breaker not needed (better overall winning percentage)
(1) Division leader wins tie from team not leading a division
(2) Head-to-head won-lost percentage
(3) Conference won-lost percentage
(4) W-L Percentage vs. Playoff teams, own conference
(5) W-L Percentage vs. Playoff teams, other conference
(6) Net Points, all games
x-Clinched Playoff Berth | o-Eliminated from Playoffs contention | e-Clinched Eastern Conference | w-Clinched Western Conference
nw-Clinched Northwest Division | p-Clinched Pacific Conference | sw-Clinched Southwest Division | a-Clinched Atlantic Division
c-Clinched Central Conference | se-Clinched Southeast Conference
*-Games remaining vs.Teams Over/Under .500
 
KingSpeed said:
What would be great is if SA and Portland win out. Clippers will definitely win out. Houston will have lost 2 to Spurs so they will have 26 losses. Then hopefully Grizzlies drop 2 games to give them 27 losses. Since we have tie breaker over Spurs, Clippers, and Rockets, we would be the 2 seed.

In short, as long as we are winning, we want the Spurs to win too. If we start losing, then we want the Spurs to lose. Tomorrow's game is huge.
Click to expand...

So huge they left three key players at home.

Not mocking you, just sayin'.
 
I see us finishing 52-30. I only see 2 more wins on the schedule. No HCA in the first round and likely out after the first round. I don't like it, but that's the way I see it.
 
tlongII said:
I see us finishing 52-30. I only see 2 more wins on the schedule. No HCA in the first round and likely out after the first round. I don't like it, but that's the way I see it.
Click to expand...
How did you see us last season? I remembered you thought something very similar and even thought we would lose 4-1
 
Said in another thread:

Clippers still have games against Memphis, Denver, and Phoenix. They could lose one of those and then, if we win out, we have HCA. Lots of basketball left to play.
 
santeesioux said:
I think we punted HCA away today.
Click to expand...

With or without them, I think they would have anyways. This was difficult no matter who they had just due to the lack of success on the road this year. I kind of think coaching staff felt the same way.
 
Not happy about the strategy to leave those 3 at home. Not with Minny coming in tomorrow and Utah Saturday. I'm willing to reserve judgement though. Interesting to see what Pop and SA do. They go at OKC tonight, home vs HOU tomorrow, then at HOU Friday. 3 tough games/4 nights. Will he "punt" with home court/Division Title on the line & sit his horses? That's a battle tested team that can win on the road in the post season, and they're old. But home court is important for everyone, even the Spurs. And so is momentum. Not at the expense of health and energy, but if you're smart you can have it both ways. Nobody balances that better than the Spurs. Like I said, I'll reserve judgement on decision to rest 3 guys last night. But if we lose home court by 1 game & lose 1st rd series in game 7 on the road where home teams are 96-24 all time, that decision will deserve more scrutiny. But for now, I'll remain hopeful we can win out or go 4-1 and Mem or SA drops a couple so we get HCA. We won't get it against the Clippers, but I think they're moving up anyways. Looks like SA or Mem, and any chance we have to beat one of them is with HCA.
 
It seems to me that the strategy by the Blazers in leaving the 3 players at home was calculated on the premise that health/rest trumps home court advantage. I think that makes sense, based on how the Blazers did last year without having home court advantage in the first round. Frankly, the current format puts a lot of pressure on the home team to win two straight games at home before going on the road. Stealing one of those games switches the advantage to the other team. Sure, you ideally want a Game 7 to be at your place, but eliminating the other team in Game 6 beats that.
 
e_blazer said:
It seems to me that the strategy by the Blazers in leaving the 3 players at home was calculated on the premise that health/rest trumps home court advantage. I think that makes sense, based on how the Blazers did last year without having home court advantage in the first round. Frankly, the current format puts a lot of pressure on the home team to win two straight games at home before going on the road. Stealing one of those games switches the advantage to the other team. Sure, you ideally want a Game 7 to be at your place, but eliminating the other team in Game 6 beats that.
Click to expand...


I'm coo.. Last year was a rare performance by LMA that any nba player for that matter has ever done. It literally took a once in a lifetime (two times) performance by LMA and a miracle shot by Lillard for us to beat Houston. And that ALMOST wasn't enough

Personally you take HCA whenever you have a chance. We gave up on that. Watch it will come back and haunt us..
 
e_blazer said:
It seems to me that the strategy by the Blazers in leaving the 3 players at home was calculated on the premise that health/rest trumps home court advantage. I think that makes sense, based on how the Blazers did last year without having home court advantage in the first round. Frankly, the current format puts a lot of pressure on the home team to win two straight games at home before going on the road. Stealing one of those games switches the advantage to the other team. Sure, you ideally want a Game 7 to be at your place, but eliminating the other team in Game 6 beats that.
Click to expand...

A lot of times the home team will drop 1 of the first 2. But you still have 3 chances to win 1 road game after that, to get home court back. Not very often do you see the home team drop BOTH of the first 2. What are the odds we win games 1 & 2 (if on the road) again this year? Let's put it this way, what % would you put on winning first round series at home vs on the road? I'd say regardless of which opponent we face we have about a 60% chance of winning series with HCA, and about 30% without. We could win or lose either way and it wouldn't be shocking. But I'd rather have the odds in my favor.
 
tlongII said:
I see us finishing 52-30. I only see 2 more wins on the schedule. No HCA in the first round and likely out after the first round. I don't like it, but that's the way I see it.
Click to expand...
What happened to 60 wins?
 
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