Trump Dominating polls, even with RINO plants sabotage him

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Sedatedfork said:
Regardless of what poll you look at now, though, doesn't seem like Trump is dominating the polls. I guess we will all see and it will probably go up and down as time goes on.

@magnifier661 -- 2 questions for you.. If Trump wins, who is his running mate? Do you think any of the other candidates would pick Trump for VP?
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1.) Trump will not agree to be a VP.

2.) I really don't know who Trump would have as a running mate. I know who I would like, but I doubt Trump would want him. I would love a Trump/Paul ticket.
 
barfo said:
The pollsters got it right. Obama, and not Romney, won the election. Your wishful thinking was what was incorrect.

It's yet another case of 'well, I know better than the experts in the field'. Which rarely works out well, and didn't here.

barfo
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But we are talking accuracy. How on or off were they on the final numbers? I know Rassmuson was only 1% off from last presidential election?

Analysis: Most Accurate polls from 2008 presidential election
2008 Pollster Report Card
The table below is an assessment of pollster performance in the 2008 Presidential election. The pollsters were graded on both the accuracy of their final poll (popular vote) and the consistency of their polling during the month of October.

The overall score is a weighted average of their Accuracy and Consistency numbers. The weighting is 75% accuracy and 25% consistency. Formula details are at the bottom of this page.

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Analysis: Most Accurate political polls from 2012 presidential election

Poll Accuracy in the 2012 Presidential Election
Here is a list of the Most accurate Political Polls for the 2012 Presidential election between President Back Obama and Challenger Mitt Romney from Costas Panagopoulos, Ph.D. Department of Political Science, Fordham University

1. PPP (D)*
1. Daily Kos/SEIU/PPP*
3. YouGov*
4. Ipsos/Reuters*
5. Purple Strategies
6. NBC/WSJ
6. CBS/NYT
6. YouGov/Economist
9. UPI/CVOTER
10. IBD/TIPP
11. Angus-Reid*
12. ABC/WP*
13. Pew Research*
13. Hartford Courant/UConn*
15. CNN/ORC
15. Monmouth/SurveyUSA
15. Politico/GWU/Battleground
15. FOX News
15. Washington Times/JZ Analytics
15. Newsmax/JZ Analytics
15. American Research Group
15. Gravis Marketing
23. Democracy Corps (D)*
24. Rasmussen
24. Gallup
26. NPR
27. National Journal*
28. AP/GfK

Read More – Analysis: Most Accurate political polls from 2012 presidential election

Related:

Related
A breakdown of the most recent Obama versus Romney polls
Over the last week, four new national polls have been released on the 2012 presidential race. As seen below, the polls vary widely. At the two extremes, there is an 18-point swing between the Rasmussen Reports poll showing Mitt Romney ahead, and a Bloomberg poll showing President Obama with a…

In "polls"

Politisite delivers the latest Breaking Political News, Debate Coverage, Election Results, Commentary and Analysis. We provide in-depth news with special reports and interactive political coverage. Politisite was a pioneer in internet political news gathering and dissemination. Politisite came live in early 1998 and become the first internet only news source to cover local, state, and national political campaigns, debates and elections. Before there were the terms Blog, Blogger, New Media, or Crowd-sourcing, Politisite was developing what has become the standard in political news coverage, long before most political sites were even conceived. The Name ‘Politisite” simply means Political Website.
 
Sedatedfork said:
Regardless of what poll you look at now, though, doesn't seem like Trump is dominating the polls. I guess we will all see and it will probably go up and down as time goes on.

@magnifier661 -- 2 questions for you.. If Trump wins, who is his running mate? Do you think any of the other candidates would pick Trump for VP?
Click to expand...
A +10 lead is a commanding lead with a field of 15 candidates.
 
Polls are only accurate when I agree with their results.

- Everyone in this thread
 
2 other polls released today, besides the CBS poll and a margin of error of only 2 and 3shows Trump leading by 14 nationally

Donald Trump is well ahead of the pack heading into Wednesday night’s third Republican presidential debate, according to a new poll.

Trump has a 14-point lead over his nearest competitor before the contest in Boulder, Colo., according to a One America News Network survey.



ADVERTISEMENT
Pollsters found support for the real estate mogul at 35.6 percent, compared with 21.7 percent for retired neurosurgeon Ben Carson. Sen. Marco Rubio (Fla.) trails the pair, with 10.7 percent.
“It’s all Trump going into the third debate,” One America CEO Robert Herring Sr. said in a statement Tuesday morning.

“Mr. Trump’s continued top national ranking will also make him the candidate to target Wednesday night,” he added.

Former Gov. Jeb Bush (Fla.) ranks fourth in the new poll, with 7.6 percent. Sen. Ted Cruz (Texas) and former Hewlett-Packard CEO Carly Fiorina follow, with 5.9 percent to her 5.7 percent, respectively.

The poll questioned 906 registered Republicans and has a 3-point margin of error.

In recent weeks, Carson has made significant in-roads on Trump’s dominance in the race. A CBS News/New York Times poll also released Tuesday shows Carson edging out the outspoken billionaire for first place nationwide.

Carson leads Trump, 26 percent to his 22 percent, in to that survey. Carson recently surged past Trump to take the lead in the early-voting state of Iowa.

Trump has responded by gradually turning up the heat against Carson despite their past warmth on the campaign trail.

“Some of these polls coming out, I don’t quite get it,” he said Tuesday of Carson’s appeal on MSNBC’s “Morning Joe.”
 
SlyPokerDog said:
Polls are only accurate when I agree with their results.

- Everyone in this thread
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Yes because of all 30 nationwide polls, Carson leads only 1. All the rest have Trump leading. Smart...

Seems to me the focus is on the only poll that doesn't have trump in the lead and everyone is ignoring the others. So maybe your statement is right. Maybe the media and naysayers or commie Sander supporters will believe the one that they agree with.
 
magnifier661 said:
Yes because of all 30 nationwide polls, Carson leads only 1. All the rest have Trump leading. Smart...

Seems to me the focus is on the only poll that doesn't have trump in the lead and everyone is ignoring the others. So maybe your statement is right. Maybe the media and naysayers or commie Sander supporters will believe the one that they agree with.
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I believe the poll that I posted today.
 
35% is all Trump gets.

What happens if all the other candidates but one drop out. Trump will lose 65% to 35% to that last person standing.
 
Denny Crane said:
35% is all Trump gets.

What happens if all the other candidates but one drop out. Trump will lose 65% to 35% to that last person standing.
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Huckabee masturbates nightly while thinking about this.
 
And there you have it. CBS weighted their polls. They had the 590+ and picked 370

 
Denny Crane said:
35% is all Trump gets.

What happens if all the other candidates but one drop out. Trump will lose 65% to 35% to that last person standing.
Click to expand...
True, or gain their votes. We won't know until people start dropping out
 
barfo said:
Posting the polls you like with and arguing with the ones that don't go your way is just being a sore loser / conspiracy theorist.

barfo
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Um... Weighted polls are absolutely something you can argue about. And don't get your panties in a wad. There have been several polls Denny posted that I accepted because of the pollster. I believe one had Carly tied with Trump for an example
 
magnifier661 said:
Um... Weighted polls are absolutely something you can argue about. And don't get your panties in a wad. There have been several polls Denny posted that I accepted because of the pollster. I believe one had Carly tied with Trump for an example
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My panties aren't in a wad, they are on my head like they always are.

Sure, you can argue about weighted polls, in which case you will be arguing about pretty much every poll.

But go ahead, "unskew" the polls. Denny can tell you how well that works in practice. You guys know polling much, much better than the pollsters, after all.

barfo
 
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