as andalusian pointed out, we actually have real examples of leadership reactions to compare to what trump did. We don't need to rely on the '
who-knows-who-would-have-done-better' myths basically designed to mitigate blame for trump
just look at the 'left' coast and compare their curves to the US
United States:
View attachment 30662
https://covid19.healthdata.org/united-states-of-america
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California:
View attachment 30661
https://covid19.healthdata.org/united-states-of-america/california
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Oregon:
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https://covid19.healthdata.org/united-states-of-america/oregon
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Washington:
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https://covid19.healthdata.org/united-states-of-america/washington
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none of it is good news, obviously. But just as obvious is that quick reactions by leadership to the advice of epidemiologists and doctors and modeling based upon past pandemics can mitigate impacts to the spread of the virus
Washington and California were in the shit early, but their governors were also the first to implement statewide action designed to slow the spread. Kate Brown gets a lot of ridicule, much of it deserved, but Oregon wasn't really into the shit nearly as much as the other two states when she took action, and look at Oregon's projections
IMO, it isn't just about leadership either. The majority of people on the left coast don't hate government and don't believe government is always wrong about things. We tend to believe in functioning government and that it has the welfare of everybody in mind. So when a governor declares and emergency and sets guidelines for behavior, we'll tend to follow those guidelines. There is strength in being informed and feeling invested in government. That is the polar opposite of the ignorant hateful fox news universe.
in other words, we deserve some of the credit here, not just the governors
I'll make a prediction, but it really doesn't take much smarts to make it. In fact, I knew exactly what trump was angling for a couple of weeks ago when he started throwing around the 100.000-240,000 deaths numbers, with an occasional mention of 2.2 million deaths. He was laying the groundwork to claim credit when the deaths fall below those numbers, and of course, he's already doing it.
but go back to California for instance: if the US has 200,000 deaths, then California's share of those deaths would be 24,000-25,000. But that model projects California to have 1,600 deaths by August 4. And trump did nothing to drop that number from 25,000 to 1,600. But of course he'll try and take credit for it, and some people will be dumb enough to believe him
meanwhile, California and Oregon are shipping ventilators to the east coast because of their mitigation efforts. That's despite trump, not because of him