Politics Turning GA, NC, NV, and/or PA into victory (Biden vs Trump, 2020 election!) (1 Viewer)

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ABM said:
Trump has been failing me. Biden is essentially failing. Ay yi yi!
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You liked Kasich. I like Kasich. I'd even like to have seen Jeb Bush make it. Actually, anyone but Trump.
 
ABM said:
Dude, I respect you probably more than anyone on this board. So, yes, it was fine. I can laugh at myself. Lord knows, everyone else in here joins in, too. ;)
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You make me split my sides but that has nothing whatsoever to do with politics. I remember the days when you, me and Sly used to laugh at each other until tears came to my eyes. You are one of the funniest and funnest guys I've ever know.
 
Lanny said:
You liked Kasich. I like Kasich. I'd even like to have seen Jeb Bush make it. Actually, anyone but Trump.
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I would have been ok with Kasich
 
Trump Blames Losing Campaign on Listening to ‘Woke Jared’

The good news for President Trump’s campaign is that the candidate seems to be finally moving out of the denial stage and recognizing that he is losing to Joe Biden. Trump “has privately come to that grim realization in recent days,” multiple sources have told Politico.

The bad news is that Trump’s diagnosis of the problem seems to be somewhat underpowered. Jonathan Swan reports that Trump is blaming his predicament on bad advice from Jared Kushner. And while disregarding advice from Kushner is a generally sound principle, in this case, Kushner’s strategy made some sense. Trump regrets having followed the Kushner-led ploy of trying to appeal to Black voters. “One person who spoke with the president interpreted his thinking this way: “No more of Jared’s woke shit,” reports Swan.

The “woke shit” consisted of a series of high-profile, relatively symbolic measures, like touting funding for HBCUs, and a handful of clemency measures. Trump’s campaign spent $10 million on a Super Bowl ad highlighting his commutation of a sentence for nonviolent drug offender Alice Johnson. In the wake of George Floyd’s death, Trump’s immediate response was empathetic, if not terribly articulate: “I feel very, very badly. That’s a very shocking sight … That was a very, very bad thing that I saw. I saw it last night and I didn’t like it … what I saw was not good. Very bad.”

The concept of repositioning himself to the left on race is — or, at least, was — perfectly sensible. Even incremental reductions in the Democratic vote share among African-Americans would be potentially decisive in states like Florida, Pennsylvania, and Michigan. Joe Biden does have historical baggage with his own base — and while it may be incoherent for the man who demanded the execution of innocent teens to attack Biden from the left on criminal justice, successful political attacks don’t always require coherence. What’s more, detoxifying his racist image is helpful and probably necessary for Trump to regain his standing with some of his wavering white supporters.

The problem is that Trump’s pivot to the center on race nearly coincided with the onset of the coronavirus and then the Floyd murder, both of which Trump has bungled catastrophically. Trump has naturally blamed his polling plunge not on his mismanagement of either crisis but on the strategy his son-in-law foisted upon him.

So Trump has pivoted back to raw white racial grievance. He is retweeting video of random Black people attacking white people, urging New York police to (illegally) remove a “Black Lives Matter” sign — which he calls a “symbol of hate” — and threatening to veto a bipartisan defense-authorization bill because it would rename military bases that currently honor Confederate leaders.

Trump reportedly believes this message will activate a “silent majority” that may have previously hesitated to vote for him because he had grown too anti-racist. But there is no evidence in public polling that Trump has any advantage to mobilize. Strong and growing majorities see racism and police mistreatment of Black people as serious problems. And while defunding the police may be unpopular, Biden is proposing to increase funding for police in support of reform efforts.

Trump learned the value of white racial backlash early on. He is an old man who resists changing his mind on anything, and surrounds himself with people who entrench his prejudices rather than challenge them. His modest, aborted outreach to Black voters represented one of the few exceptions to the pattern of rigidity. As he is failing, he is responding in the way ossified thinkers do: by turning back to what he has always wanted to do.​
 
Minstrel said:
Trump Blames Losing Campaign on Listening to ‘Woke Jared’

The good news for President Trump’s campaign is that the candidate seems to be finally moving out of the denial stage and recognizing that he is losing to Joe Biden. Trump “has privately come to that grim realization in recent days,” multiple sources have told Politico.

The bad news is that Trump’s diagnosis of the problem seems to be somewhat underpowered. Jonathan Swan reports that Trump is blaming his predicament on bad advice from Jared Kushner. And while disregarding advice from Kushner is a generally sound principle, in this case, Kushner’s strategy made some sense. Trump regrets having followed the Kushner-led ploy of trying to appeal to Black voters. “One person who spoke with the president interpreted his thinking this way: “No more of Jared’s woke shit,” reports Swan.

The “woke shit” consisted of a series of high-profile, relatively symbolic measures, like touting funding for HBCUs, and a handful of clemency measures. Trump’s campaign spent $10 million on a Super Bowl ad highlighting his commutation of a sentence for nonviolent drug offender Alice Johnson. In the wake of George Floyd’s death, Trump’s immediate response was empathetic, if not terribly articulate: “I feel very, very badly. That’s a very shocking sight … That was a very, very bad thing that I saw. I saw it last night and I didn’t like it … what I saw was not good. Very bad.”

The concept of repositioning himself to the left on race is — or, at least, was — perfectly sensible. Even incremental reductions in the Democratic vote share among African-Americans would be potentially decisive in states like Florida, Pennsylvania, and Michigan. Joe Biden does have historical baggage with his own base — and while it may be incoherent for the man who demanded the execution of innocent teens to attack Biden from the left on criminal justice, successful political attacks don’t always require coherence. What’s more, detoxifying his racist image is helpful and probably necessary for Trump to regain his standing with some of his wavering white supporters.

The problem is that Trump’s pivot to the center on race nearly coincided with the onset of the coronavirus and then the Floyd murder, both of which Trump has bungled catastrophically. Trump has naturally blamed his polling plunge not on his mismanagement of either crisis but on the strategy his son-in-law foisted upon him.

So Trump has pivoted back to raw white racial grievance. He is retweeting video of random Black people attacking white people, urging New York police to (illegally) remove a “Black Lives Matter” sign — which he calls a “symbol of hate” — and threatening to veto a bipartisan defense-authorization bill because it would rename military bases that currently honor Confederate leaders.

Trump reportedly believes this message will activate a “silent majority” that may have previously hesitated to vote for him because he had grown too anti-racist. But there is no evidence in public polling that Trump has any advantage to mobilize. Strong and growing majorities see racism and police mistreatment of Black people as serious problems. And while defunding the police may be unpopular, Biden is proposing to increase funding for police in support of reform efforts.

Trump learned the value of white racial backlash early on. He is an old man who resists changing his mind on anything, and surrounds himself with people who entrench his prejudices rather than challenge them. His modest, aborted outreach to Black voters represented one of the few exceptions to the pattern of rigidity. As he is failing, he is responding in the way ossified thinkers do: by turning back to what he has always wanted to do.​
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It's all Jared's fault
 
Chris Craig said:
It's all Jared's fault
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he-went-to-jared
 
"Two much-discussed polls by The Times and Siena College that were published last week suggested that in key swing states, as well as nationally, he’s the limping dead, trailing Joe Biden by double digits. That assessment is mostly consistent with other modeling and projections since the economy turned on Trump.
According to some abstruse algorithm that The Economist regularly updates, he has only a one in 10 chance of winning the Electoral College and thus the presidency. According to a historical averaging of election-year polls by the website FiveThirtyEight, Biden’s lead over Trump right now is the biggest at this stage of the contest since Bill Clinton’s over Bob Dole in 1996, when Clinton won his second term.

Trump’s response? To set himself on fire.

His gratuitously touted instincts are nowhere to be found, supplanted by self-defeating provocations, kamikaze tantrums and an itchy Twitter finger. There’s a culture war for him to exploit, but instead of simply pillorying monument destroyers, he created his own living monuments: a white supremacist astride a golf cart in a Florida retirement community and a pistol-toting Karen shouting at peaceful Black protesters from the stoop of her St. Louis manse. As a statement of values, it’s grotesque. As a re-election strategy, it’s deranged."

https://www.nytimes.com/2020/07/01/...l?action=click&module=Opinion&pgtype=Homepage

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Trump double down, triples down, & quadruples down on racism and division in his desperate attempts to get re-elected:

"President Trump on Wednesday suggested that painting the words “Black Lives Matter” on New York City’s Fifth Avenue would amount to a “symbol of hate,” complaining that such an action would be “expensive” and “denigrating [to] this luxury Avenue.”

That came shortly after a threat by the president to veto the Pentagon’s budget legislation should it include a measure to take the names of Confederate generals off military bases, which he denounced as being sponsored by “Elizabeth ‘Pocahontas’ Warren (of all people!).”

That came only hours after his declaration that he “may END” a federal housing regulation aimed at desegregating neighborhoods, which he claimed has had “a devastating impact” on America’s suburbs.

And that came roughly a day after he re-tweeted a video of supporters in an almost entirely white Florida retirement community shouting “white power” from a golf cart."

it appears to be the only play in his playbook

“What voters are looking for is a way to get balance and peace back in the nation and in the White House,” said Peter Hart, the veteran Democratic pollster. “Everything he does is confrontation.”

https://www.latimes.com/politics/story/2020-07-01/trump-digs-deeper-racial-incitement
 
wizenheimer said:
Trump double down, triples down, & quadruples down on racism and division in his desperate attempts to get re-elected:

"President Trump on Wednesday suggested that painting the words “Black Lives Matter” on New York City’s Fifth Avenue would amount to a “symbol of hate,” complaining that such an action would be “expensive” and “denigrating [to] this luxury Avenue.”

That came shortly after a threat by the president to veto the Pentagon’s budget legislation should it include a measure to take the names of Confederate generals off military bases, which he denounced as being sponsored by “Elizabeth ‘Pocahontas’ Warren (of all people!).”

That came only hours after his declaration that he “may END” a federal housing regulation aimed at desegregating neighborhoods, which he claimed has had “a devastating impact” on America’s suburbs.

And that came roughly a day after he re-tweeted a video of supporters in an almost entirely white Florida retirement community shouting “white power” from a golf cart."

it appears to be the only play in his playbook

“What voters are looking for is a way to get balance and peace back in the nation and in the White House,” said Peter Hart, the veteran Democratic pollster. “Everything he does is confrontation.”

https://www.latimes.com/politics/story/2020-07-01/trump-digs-deeper-racial-incitement
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That's just it, trump is so stupid that all he does is cater to his base and turns off all others. His base is shrinking and nowhere near enough to get him reelected.
 
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