What do you think will happen in the Republican race?

[Denny Crane]

The FBI hasn't said how many agents are on the case. Denny is repeating what one guy claimed - probably either speculation or a lie.

barfo

Charles Lipson?

Charles Lipson (born February 1, 1948) is an American professor of political science at the University of Chicago.[1] His area of specialization includes international relations, international political economy and modern international history.[2] He is the co-founder and director of PIPES, the Program on International Politics, Economics, and Security at the University of Chicago

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/ar...lary_clintons_coming_legal_crisis_129293.html

Hillary Clinton's Coming Legal Crisis

By Charles Lipson
January 13, 2016

The latest release of Hillary Clinton emails entails real risks for her, churning just beneath the surface of her successful primary campaign. True, Democratic voters have shown little interest, and the mainstream media only a bit more. Their focus, when they do look, is on the number of documents now considered classified, their foreign-policy revelations, and the political damage they might cause. These are vital issues, but Clinton faces a far bigger problem. She and her closest aides could be indicted criminally.

Secretary Clinton is exposed twice over. First, she used an unsecured, home-brew server to send and store reams of classified materials. Second, in her official capacity, she worked closely with major donors to the Clinton Foundation. Each poses legal risks, with potential ramifications for the Democratic frontrunner, her party, and the Obama administration.

To understand the gravity of these issues, it is important to recognize that this is not just an “email scandal.” It is an “email + server + foundation” scandal.” Secretary Clinton didn’t just send sensitive (and now-classified) emails over open lines, she stored them on private servers that didn’t meet the government’s cyber-security standards for sensitive documents. On its face, retaining classified materials in such vulnerable settings is a criminal violation. Senior intelligence officials have been charged for less – far less. Storing some 1,300 classified documents on a personal server, and doing it for years, poses a special problem because it shows the mishandling was not inadvertent. It was Clinton’s standard operating procedure.

...

The FBI reportedly has assigned some 100 agents full time to the investigation and another 50 temporarily. The bureau would not commit such massive resources unless the initial investigation raised troubling questions of potential criminality. FBI Director James Comey is monitoring the case closely and coordinating with the intelligence agencies, which have to review the documents. Comey has a reputation for integrity, and it is his call whether to refer charges to the DOJ. Attorney General Loretta Lynch would then decide whether to indict.

 

[rasheedfan2005]

I suspect it is difficult to build a case against a lawyer with hundreds of $millions to spend on covering up the evidence against her and a media that is hugely interested in making excuses for her.

They couldn't get Capone for any of the egregious crimes he committed (murder, bribery, you name it). They had to get him on tax evasion. Even though they knew he committed those serious crimes. Just as we know Hillary did and has all along.

That they need 100+ agents says a lot about the breadth and depth of the investigation. If it were 1 agent and a small support staff, there'd be smoke but no fire. But in this case, there is fire.

I just hope these arent the same ass holes that looked for baracks birth certificate and figured eh the original isnt important this reprint forgery with the wrong water mark will do

 

[Denny Crane]

 

[barfo]

Charles Lipson?

Charles Lipson (born February 1, 1948) is an American professor of political science at the University of Chicago.[1] His area of specialization includes international relations, international political economy and modern international history.[2] He is the co-founder and director of PIPES, the Program on International Politics, Economics, and Security at the University of Chicago

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/ar...lary_clintons_coming_legal_crisis_129293.html

Hillary Clinton's Coming Legal Crisis

By Charles Lipson
January 13, 2016

The latest release of Hillary Clinton emails entails real risks for her, churning just beneath the surface of her successful primary campaign. True, Democratic voters have shown little interest, and the mainstream media only a bit more. Their focus, when they do look, is on the number of documents now considered classified, their foreign-policy revelations, and the political damage they might cause. These are vital issues, but Clinton faces a far bigger problem. She and her closest aides could be indicted criminally.

Secretary Clinton is exposed twice over. First, she used an unsecured, home-brew server to send and store reams of classified materials. Second, in her official capacity, she worked closely with major donors to the Clinton Foundation. Each poses legal risks, with potential ramifications for the Democratic frontrunner, her party, and the Obama administration.

To understand the gravity of these issues, it is important to recognize that this is not just an “email scandal.” It is an “email + server + foundation” scandal.” Secretary Clinton didn’t just send sensitive (and now-classified) emails over open lines, she stored them on private servers that didn’t meet the government’s cyber-security standards for sensitive documents. On its face, retaining classified materials in such vulnerable settings is a criminal violation. Senior intelligence officials have been charged for less – far less. Storing some 1,300 classified documents on a personal server, and doing it for years, poses a special problem because it shows the mishandling was not inadvertent. It was Clinton’s standard operating procedure.

...

The FBI reportedly has assigned some 100 agents full time to the investigation and another 50 temporarily. The bureau would not commit such massive resources unless the initial investigation raised troubling questions of potential criminality. FBI Director James Comey is monitoring the case closely and coordinating with the intelligence agencies, which have to review the documents. Comey has a reputation for integrity, and it is his call whether to refer charges to the DOJ. Attorney General Loretta Lynch would then decide whether to indict.

Ok, Charles Lipson wrote an anti-Hillary article. So what? It's not like he's unbiased.

March 30, 2008
Four Stumps in the Water for Obama
ByCharles Lipson
As the high-water mark for Barack Obama recedes, his campaign must now confront several dangerous stumps that were once hidden below the surface. The problems began with Obama's long attachment to Rev. Wright, Trinity United Church, and Black Liberation Theology, but they won't end there.

So he's at least consistent over the years in his approach.

You are going to be so sad when this turns out to be just like the 'unskewed polls' of 2012.

barfo

 

[Denny Crane]

Ok, Charles Lipson wrote an anti-Hillary article. So what? It's not like he's unbiased.



So he's at least consistent over the years in his approach.

You are going to be so sad when this turns out to be just like the 'unskewed polls' of 2012.

barfo

Or you are going to be sadder.

How did that hopey changey thing work out?

It made Trump look good.

 

[barfo]

Or you are going to be sadder.

How did that hopey changey thing work out?

Worked out fine in my opinion.

It made Trump look good.

Maybe to you. Certainly not to me.

barfo

 

[Denny Crane]

Worked out fine in my opinion.



Maybe to you. Certainly not to me.

barfo

It made trump look good to democrats, especially union workers.

Worked out fine, yeah right. If it was all good, everyone would be in line to vote for Democrats. Instead, it's republicans who are showing up in record numbers at the polls.

Here's your buddy, Nate Silver, on Trump:

http://www.slate.com/articles/news_..._trump_had_no_shot_where_did_he_go_wrong.html

 

[barfo]

Worked out fine, yeah right. If it was all good, everyone would be in line to vote for Democrats. Instead, it's republicans who are showing up in record numbers at the polls.

Here's your buddy, Nate Silver, on Trump:

http://www.slate.com/articles/news_..._trump_had_no_shot_where_did_he_go_wrong.html

And here is my buddy Nate Silver's buddy, Harry Enten, on why turnout in primaries is not predictive of turnout in the general (which is obvious if you think about it for a second).

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/primary-turnout-means-nothing-for-the-general-election/

barfo

 

[Denny Crane]

And here is my buddy Nate Silver's buddy, Harry Enten, on why turnout in primaries is not predictive of turnout in the general (which is obvious if you think about it for a second).

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/primary-turnout-means-nothing-for-the-general-election/

barfo

Strike two!

Just like 538 was right about Trump all along.

The past isn't a great predictor of the near future. Senators, e.g. Obama, rarely win the presidency.

The dynamic is people had hope for change (dashed to the ground in flames). The saddest criticism of Obama is he's created the perception that Trump is the real hope for change. No matter what 538 gets wrong.

 

[Denny Crane]

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/donald-trumps-six-stages-of-doom/

UPDATE (Dec. 27, 6:54 p.m.): As the new year approaches, it’s worth checking back in on this roadmap we outlined earlier in the campaign: The most difficult hurdles between Donald Trump and the Republican presidential nomination are still to come.


The recent polling surge by Donald Trump has launched a thousand stories about Trump’s “unprecedented campaign.” But it’s nothing all that unusual: Similar surges occurred for almost every Republican candidate four years ago, including Herman Cain, Michele Bachmann, Rick Santorum and Newt Gingrich (twice).

History’s lesson isn’t necessarily that Trump’s candidacy will go bust tomorrow, however. There are plenty of examples of fringe or factional candidates who held on to their support for much longer than the month or two that Cain and Bachmann did. Sometimes, they did well enough in Iowa or New Hampshire, or even won them. Pat Buchanan claimed New Hampshire in 1996, for instance, while Mike Huckabee won Iowa in 2008. Steve Forbes took 30 percent of the Iowa vote in 2000.

The lesson, rather, is that Trump’s campaign will fail by one means or another. Like Cain, Bachmann and Gingrich, Buchanan, Huckabee and Forbes came nowhere close to winning the Republican nomination.

If you want absurd specificity, I recently estimated Trump’s chance of becoming the GOP nominee at 2 percent. How did I get there? By considering the gantlet he’ll face over the next 11 months — Donald Trump’s Six Stages of Doom:

 

[SlyPokerDog]

http://www.breitbart.com/big-govern...-indicted-over-email-scandal-due-to-politics/

 

[Denny Crane]

http://www.breitbart.com/big-govern...-indicted-over-email-scandal-due-to-politics/

http://www.breitbart.com/video/2016...hink-ive-ever-seen-says-she-lied-about-lying/

Sunday on CBS “Face the Nation,” pollster Frank Luntz spoke with a group of Florida Republicans and Democratic voters who oppose both Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump.

After a clip of Hillary Clinton saying she always tries to tell the truth a female voter said, “You could turn off the sound and still see on her face that she was lying. She was the worst liar I think I’ve ever seen in my life.”

Another woman said, “She lied about lying.”

 

[SlyPokerDog]

http://www.breitbart.com/video/2016...hink-ive-ever-seen-says-she-lied-about-lying/

Sunday on CBS “Face the Nation,” pollster Frank Luntz spoke with a group of Florida Republicans and Democratic voters who oppose both Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump.

After a clip of Hillary Clinton saying she always tries to tell the truth a female voter said, “You could turn off the sound and still see on her face that she was lying. She was the worst liar I think I’ve ever seen in my life.”

Another woman said, “She lied about lying.”

http://www.breitbart.com/video/2016...hink-ive-ever-seen-says-she-lied-about-lying/

Sunday on CBS “Face the Nation,” pollster Frank Luntz spoke with a group of Florida Republicans and Democratic voters who oppose both Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump.

After a clip of Hillary Clinton saying she always tries to tell the truth a female voter said, “You could turn off the sound and still see on her face that she was lying. She was the worst liar I think I’ve ever seen in my life.”

Another woman said, “She lied about lying.”

 

[Denny Crane]

Trolling for likes? Learn to post, then post.

 

[barfo]

The past isn't a great predictor of the near future.

Absolutely correct. It is the case, however, that the past is a pretty good predictor of the past.

Thus we can state (as I did) that "turnout in primaries is not predictive of turnout in the general".

That statement doesn't predict what will happen this year. It says that you can't predict what will happen turnout-wise in the general from the primary turnout.

Thanks for agreeing that you were wrong to suggest that primary turnout was indicative of some sort of problem for democrats this fall.

barfo

 

[barfo]

http://www.breitbart.com/big-govern...-indicted-over-email-scandal-due-to-politics/

Ha ha. Bolton, Breitbart, and Denny might explode.

Make that will explode.

barfo

 

[Denny Crane]

Absolutely correct. It is the case, however, that the past is a pretty good predictor of the past.

Thus we can state (as I did) that "turnout in primaries is not predictive of turnout in the general".

That statement doesn't predict what will happen this year. It says that you can't predict what will happen turnout-wise in the general from the primary turnout.

Thanks for agreeing that you were wrong to suggest that primary turnout was indicative of some sort of problem for democrats this fall.

barfo

The recent past says the rock star gets out the voters and wins. Especially numerous people who never voted before.

2008 Obama. 2016 Trump.

No matter how wrong 538 has been this time.

Put that in your pipe and smoke it.

 

[Denny Crane]

Ha ha. Bolton, Breitbart, and Denny might explode.

Make that will explode.

barfo

Nah. Not a fan of Bolton.

But what does he know? He was only in nearly the same positions in government as Hillarity.

 

[barfo]

The recent past says the rock star gets out the voters and wins. Especially numerous people who never voted before.

You keep contradicting yourself. You say that

The past isn't a great predictor of the near future.

and then you want me to believe predictions based on the past.

Make up your mind.

barfo

 

[Denny Crane]

You keep contradicting yourself. You say that



and then you want me to believe predictions based on the past.

Make up your mind.

barfo

Rock stars attract voters.

The pundits, including 538, have been wrong all along about Trump. Sadly.