What Happens If....

[THE HCP]

.... we only get our 11th pick! I have literally not thought of this until about an hour ago! We may go into this arguably "great" draft with only the 11th pick. Now that would suck! Changes everything right?

 

[Reep]

Could be worse, we could go in with only the 13th pick. (two teams behind pass us, and NJ gets top 3).

The most remote possibility is Portland gets passed up by the three teams behind them and gets the 14th pick. But, if that does happen then nobody will be surprised when we also get the 9th too.

 

[THE HCP]

How will your expectations of this upcoming season change is this happens?

 

[THE HCP]

Could be worse, we could go in with only the 13th pick. (two teams behind pass us, and NJ gets top 3).

GREAT!

 

[Mediocre Man]

.... we only get our 11th pick! I have literally not thought of this until about an hour ago! We may go into this arguably "great" draft with only the 11th pick. Now that would suck! Changes everything right?

I have thought this would be the case since the trade deadline.

As of right now we have a GM in place that selected Nolan Smith in the first round, when every single mock draft had him going in round two

Does it really matter where we pick?

 

[jlprk]

I think we had better steel ourselves for the worst. My incredible toughness is why Oden's saga didn't make me cry.

 

[BoBoBREWSKI]

I have thought this would be the case since the trade deadline.

As of right now we have a GM in place that selected Nolan Smith in the first round, when every single mock draft had him going in round two

Does it really matter where we pick?

Yes, because we will trade the pick. Better pick = better trade.

 

[Mediocre Man]

Yes, because we will trade the pick. Better pick = better trade.

I agree we will trade the pick actually, but again, for what? #11 for Calderon, or Farmar, or some journeyman stiff?

 

[Reep]

I think I would only be upset if NJ ends up with Howard. If they get their pick this year and don't get Howard, then we could still come out great next year--which might have more game changers than this year. It wouldn't bother me too much.

Also, I'm more concerned about the 6th pick than I am the 11th. I think at 11 it will be obvious who to take. At 6 I still have a lot of questions unless someone unexpected falls in our laps (read Sacto takes Barnes).

 

[BLAZINGGIANTS]

Could be worse, we could go in with only the 13th pick. (two teams behind pass us, and NJ gets top 3).

The most remote possibility is Portland gets passed up by the three teams behind them and gets the 14th pick. But, if that does happen then nobody will be surprised when we also get the 9th too.

I didn't think there was any scenario in which we could only end up with #14?

 

[BLAZINGGIANTS]

I think we had better steel ourselves for the worst. My incredible toughness is why Oden's saga didn't make me cry.

This. Just tell me the worst that could happen with the draft lotto, and I'm going to assume that's how it'll turn out.

 

[Mediocre Man]

I didn't think there was any scenario in which we could only end up with #14?

Nope. Only 13

 

[BoBoBREWSKI]

I agree we will trade the pick actually, but again, for what? #11 for Calderon, or Farmar, or some journeyman stiff?

Lowry

 

[THE HCP]

#11 for Lowry...... do it in a heartbeat!

 

[THE HCP]

Beer, you going to Buffalo's?

 

[jlprk]

This. Just tell me the worst that could happen with the draft lotto, and I'm going to assume that's how it'll turn out.

At 5:00, we trade the picks for Derek Fisher and the Thunder ping pong ball turns up #1. Stern had weighted it to do us a favor.

 

[BoBoBREWSKI]

Beer, you going to Buffalo's?

Nope. Have fun!

 

[Reep]

Nope. Only 13

If Rockets, Suns and Bucks get 1-3, that would move us to 14, wouldn't it?

 

[Eastoff]

Nope. Only 13

There is only a 0.1% chance of this happening as well.

source


Here are the odds for each seed to get specific picks if there were no ties (rounded to 3 decimal places):
Seed Chances 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th 13th 14th
1 250 .250 .215 .178 .357
2 199 .199 .188 .171 .319 .123
3 156 .156 .157 .156 .226 .265 .040
4 119 .119 .126 .133 .099 .351 .160 .012
5 88 .088 .097 .107 .261 .360 .084 .004
6 63 .063 .071 .081 .439 .305 .040 .001
7 43 .043 .049 .058 .599 .232 .018 .000
8 28 .028 .033 .039 .724 .168 .008 .000
9 17 .017 .020 .024 .813 .122 .004 .000
10 11 .011 .013 .016 .870 .089 .002 .000
11 8 .008 .009 .012 .907 .063 .001 .000
12 7 .007 .008 .010 .935 .039 .000
13 6 .006 .007 .009 .960 .018
14 5 .005 .006 .007 .982

e:i'm too lazy to format that shitstorm

 

[Mediocre Man]

Lowry

LOL Houston hangs the phone up

 

[Mediocre Man]

If Rockets, Suns and Bucks get 1-3, that would move us to 14, wouldn't it?

But then we would also get the 9th pick

 

[BLAZINGGIANTS]

At 5:00, we trade the picks for Derek Fisher and the Thunder ping pong ball turns up #1. Stern had weighted it to do us a favor.

How is that the worst thing that could happen?

We get our PGotF!!!

 

[BoBoBREWSKI]

LOL Houston hangs the phone up

I disagree. I think Houston would listen.

 

[THE HCP]

I just took a dump and it cleared my mind...... here is what's going to happen.

We win the lottery and the #1 pick

Dwight Howard decides he wants to sign with us, so we don't need to draft Anthony Davis

We trade the #1 pick to the Cavs for the #3 pick and Kyrie Irving

We draft MKG from Kentucky with the #3 and Lamb with #11


Opening night 2012

Irving/Flynn
Wes/Lamb/Elliot
MKG/Nic/Luke
LA/Hickson/Kurt
D12/Joel

Sorry but it was the best dump I'd ever had!

 

[Reep]

I think you might have dumped a bit too much in that one.

 

[Eastoff]

I just took a dump and it cleared my mind...... here is what's going to happen.

We win the lottery and the #1 pick

Dwight Howard decides he wants to sign with us, so we don't need to draft Anthony Davis

We trade the #1 pick to the Cavs for the #3 pick and Kyrie Irving

We draft MKG from Kentucky with the #3 and Lamb with #11


Opening night 2012

Irving/Flynn
Wes/Lamb/Elliot
MKG/Nic/Luke
LA/Hickson/Kurt
D12/Joel

Sorry but it was the best dump I'd ever had!

Did you take a LSD enema too? That is quite the candyland dream!

 

[THE HCP]

Sorry, I had a KingSpeed moment. We'll get #6 and #11 and draft Barnes and Marshall. Win 44 games next season and just miss the playoffs.

 

[EL PRESIDENTE]

wouldn't do much other than we have less trade-able assets. like I said, anything out of the top 5 picks in a draft is historically a non-impact player.

 

[Reep]

wouldn't do much other than we have less trade-able assets. like I said, anything out of the top 5 picks in a draft is historically a non-impact player.

Generally true, but Clyde, Terry and Sabas might argue that one. Not to mention two of the starting point guards who are still in the playoffs. I think scouting has improved though and it's harder to find diamonds like that.

 

[BBert]

.... we only get our 11th pick! I have literally not thought of this until about an hour ago! We may go into this arguably "great" draft with only the 11th pick. Now that would suck! Changes everything right?

We'll be back in the lottery again next year having the same conversations.