Last year was still a bit of a fluke to me. They had one incredible run where they won about a third of their games... all in a row. The team overachieved last year in finishing at .500.
Ed O.
I think it was a scheduling fluke more than anything that resulted in the 13 game winning streak in December. They had an EXTREMELY friendly schedule last December. During that streak 10 of the 13 consecutive wins were at home. Prior to the 13 game winning steak, they were 5 - 12, with all 5 wins coming at home - including 4 in a row over NOH, MEM, DAL, DET in their first home stand. So, they had already shown they were capable of winning at home, even against some very good teams. The three road games they won during the streak were spread out with a couple home games in between each - no long road trips during the streak.
Many of their opponents during the streak were sub-.500 teams. About the only surprising wins during the streak were the road wins in Utah and Denver and if I remember right, Utah was below 0.500 at the time (they got off to a really slow start last season). If those same 13 wins, over those same 13 teams, would have been spread out over two months, nobody would have batted an eye. They just all happened in a row thanks to a very favorable schedule.
With a 28-13 record at home, including wins over many of the top teams in the league, the young Blazer last year showed that they were capable of winning at home against anyone. Their biggest hurdle this year will be the same as it was last year - winning consistently on the road. That is where their youth hurts them. With the home crowd behind them, they play their best and excel and are capable of beating anyone. As they mature, they need to play with that same intensity, energy and confidence on the road. The ability to win consistently on the road is what differentiates veteran teams from young, up and coming teams like the Blazers. Once they learn to win on the road they will be serious contenders, but until they do, they won't have home court advantage in the play-offs and will struggle to advance.
BNM