wizenheimer
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Suns have already beaten us in the head to head so the conference records won't come into play... if we're tied with them, they're playing in the play-in and we're staying at home.
not accurate. Season series is tied 2-2; next tiebreaker is conference record
Phoenix is 21-25
Portland is 17-30
the best the Blazers can do is 22-30. The worst the Sun can do 21-31. So there is an extremely small margin there for Portland to gain the advantage; Blazers would have to win all 5 of their remaining conference games & Suns would have to lose all 6. One win by Phoenix and the tiebreaker moves to next criteria
now the criteria says the next tiebreaker is record against playoff teams in own conference; it is also defined as: "Better winning percentage against teams eligible for the playoffs in own conference (including teams that finished the regular season tied for a playoff position)"
I'm taking that as meaning top-6 teams and not including play-in teams. But maybe that's wrong. If it isn't, by my count, both Portland and Phoenix have 4 wins against top-6 teams. Obviously, that could change. Phoenix has 3 games left against top-6 teams; Portland has 2
Phoenix has a brutal schedule left. Portland's is a little easier, but not by much