Event 2024 NBA DRAFT LOTTERY - MAY 12, 2024 - SUNDAY - 12:00 PM PST - ABC /ESPN 3

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bigbailes said:
Houston was in there too before the commercial ... they cut away before the top 4 now. Man the anxiety of that commercial break and then the begging of it just not to be San Antonio at #1. ugggggghhhhh
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Oh right. Yeah, I so thought we had it.
 
SharpesTriumph said:
I'm all for getting #1, it's known this draft is weak. Our pick could bust at #1 or #4 or #8. Higher gives better options and on average a better player.
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No, it doesn't get us an "on average better player." That's not how averages work. The only thing it gets us with 100% certainty is a higher-paid player.
 
Rastapopoulos said:
No, it doesn't get us an "on average better player." That's not how averages work. The only thing it gets us with 100% certainty is a higher-paid player.
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Use whatever semantics you want, but picking higher correlates to a superior player. Obviously a single specific player will have variance.

I'd rather the Blazers get a higher pick that is expected to be worth more than "waste mojo" or whatever your justification for preferring a lower pick.
 
It might depend on a team's needs vs BPA

If a team desperately needed a long defensive big then maybe Sarr goes 2
If a team desperately needed a PG then maybe Topic goes 3-5
If a team desperately needed a 2 way SF then maybe Risacher might have gone 2 or 3
 
I think Sarr @ 4 is probably in the discussion, but I lean towards Amen still going above him, so I’ll go with 5.
 
I don't care what any of this draft's haters say... this lotto is tomorrow and I'm excited and nervous. Someone can correct me if I'm wrong but I don't think we've ever had higher odds or landing pick 1, 2, 3 or 4 because in 2005 the odds were way more stacked in favor of the worst record in the league than it is now and because we're sharing the odds or the 3rd and 4th worst records two teams have a .7 or .8 percent higher chance of landing the top pick and/or any of the other three lottery winning picks.

It's an exciting time. I fucking love the draft. Also I think we might start to see deals or at least hear more solid rumors once the draft order is set.
 
blazerkor said:
I don't care what any of this draft's haters say... this lotto is tomorrow and I'm excited and nervous. Someone can correct me if I'm wrong but I don't think we've ever had higher odds or landing pick 1, 2, 3 or 4 because in 2005 the odds were way more stacked in favor of the worst record in the league than it is now and because we're sharing the odds or the 3rd and 4th worst records two teams have a .7 or .8 percent higher chance of landing the top pick and/or any of the other three lottery winning picks.

It's an exciting time. I fucking love the draft. Also I think we might start to see deals or at least hear more solid rumors once the draft order is set.
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acknowledgment that this is a shit draft isn’t hating. Just like acknowledging the team is only going to win 20 games next season isn’t hating. It’s acknowledgment FAMS.

Or you can expect one of these pics to help us win 6o next season and deal with that on a day in and day out situation. Enjoy…..
 
THE HCP said:
acknowledgment that this is a shit draft isn’t hating. Just like acknowledging the team is only going to win 20 games next season isn’t hating. It’s acknowledgment FAMS.

Or you can expect one of these pics to help us win 6o next season and deal with that on a day in and day out situation. Enjoy…..
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There are going to be impact players taken in this draft. Hopefully we're one of the handful of teams that get one or even two of those guys.
 
blazerkor said:
There are going to be impact players taken in this draft. Hopefully we're one of the handful of teams that get one or even two of those guys.
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Exactly. Yes, we all know it lacks a superstar at the top, but again I don't see much of a difference between Risacher (Projected at #2) and last year's #2 pick.
And we would've been excited to get Miller last year. Keep in mind that Risacher will be two years younger than what Miller was when he was drafted...so maybe it will take him an extra year to be ready
 
THE HCP said:
acknowledgment that this is a shit draft isn’t hating. Just like acknowledging the team is only going to win 20 games next season isn’t hating. It’s acknowledgment FAMS.

Or you can expect one of these pics to help us win 6o next season and deal with that on a day in and day out situation. Enjoy…..
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Yeah - No real difference makers with the number one pick - not like when we drafted Oden ------ Oh wait!
 
blazerkor said:
I don't care what any of this draft's haters say... this lotto is tomorrow and I'm excited and nervous. Someone can correct me if I'm wrong but I don't think we've ever had higher odds or landing pick 1, 2, 3 or 4 because in 2005 the odds were way more stacked in favor of the worst record in the league than it is now and because we're sharing the odds or the 3rd and 4th worst records two teams have a .7 or .8 percent higher chance of landing the top pick and/or any of the other three lottery winning picks.

It's an exciting time. I fucking love the draft. Also I think we might start to see deals or at least hear more solid rumors once the draft order is set.
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Agreed, I'm very excited as well. Will be more like Martell Webster draft if we get a top pick I'll be super happy but I'm not expecting a savior or such.

Oden lottery and Wemba last year I figured lottery was for a hall of fame player and positioning the franchise to be a likely contender.
 
So I guess the best outcome is we get #1 and GS #4. Or possibly #1 and #14 depending on your risk tolerance and expectations of GS next season.

Worst would probably be GS at #1 and Blazers at #8.

#8 for Blazers is pretty unlikely, only 2% or such. But #7/#6 are very realistic and either would be a big disappointment.
 
THE HCP said:
acknowledgment that this is a shit draft isn’t hating. Just like acknowledging the team is only going to win 20 games next season isn’t hating. It’s acknowledgment FAMS.

Or you can expect one of these pics to help us win 6o next season and deal with that on a day in and day out situation. Enjoy…..
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If they are only going to win 20 games they might as well make it 10 and tank the right way.
 
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