Not sure placing our future in the hands of a 22 year old immature foodie who already has 20+ mil in the bank is a good decision.
If this is how you'd be thinking about this move, agreed, it feels pretty dicey. But I don't think that's how you should think about it.
This is placing trust in one of the greatest leaders in professional sports to get an immensely talented kid back on the right path.
It's putting faith in the most powerful sports brand in the world that, with him much closer to most of their resources, they'll also be able to help get him on track.
It's betting that a change in the power dynamic with/in/around Zion could make all the difference. With Zion almost immediately replacing AD, he was the chosen one, he got to come in, call the shots and NO couldn't do much about it. In getting traded to PDX, all of that goes away. Dame, Chauncey and Joe get to call the shots, Zion's inner circle doesn't get to have as much influence, etc.
None of those are guarantees, but he's the type of talent that are worth that kind of swing.
EDIT #1: It's also betting on a maturing male brain -- as I said in another thread, most young men's frontal cortex (decision making) don't completely develop until the age of 25. From a risk/reward standpoint, that would mean that most of the risk incurred from having Zion on a roster (at least from the mental maturity perspective) would have already been taken and baked into this lower price, with, basically none of the rewards reaped.
EDIT #2: It's also
also a bet on evolving understanding of health/injuries/body structure, etc. While he's had plenty of them, none of Zion's injuries are chronic or signs of damaged/irreparable body parts, which means they're more signs of his unusual size and strength. Unlike Oden's unbalanced levers, that's a problem that
can be remedied and planned around.
Again, gambles, no sure things. But the context of who Zion is, what he could be, the price we'd be getting him at and the fit for our current and future situations have me all-in...