for once, Aldo is right: for the Blazers the biggest impact may be a degradation of value of the Milwaukee picks and swaps. Now maybe, some of that will be off-set as Portland's own lottery picks and that Orlando pick increase a little in value. But it also might be that Portland's own lottery picks will drop in value instead
and these proposals don't address a major reality: a lot of bad teams aren't really tanking; they are just bad teams with limited talent. Milwaukee is a bad team without Giannis, and Giannis is hurt a lot. Indiana is a bad team without Haliburton and Siakam; and Siakam is 32. Memphis is a bad team without Ja. Sacramento is a bad team and the injuries to Sabonis and LaVine are legit; and Derozan is 36. Utah is definitely tanking but that's because of their top-8 protection on their 1st. Where is the proposal to restrict protections to the lottery? All of those ideas sure seem to force bad teams into situations that make it harder to become better. And if trades are restricted to lottery protected picks, does that mean lottery protection is top-18?
something else: say these rules are implemented for next season; and say the Blazers don't make the play-offs this season. If the lottery is the bottom-18 teams does that mean the Blazers, next season, have to be 6th seed in order to convey their pick to Chicago? Or maybe, the protection is locked in as top-14 even though 18 teams are in the lottery. But this could set up a scenario where Portland didn't advance to the playoffs but still had to convey the pick to the Bulls. Head spinning
I don't believe any of these proposals will stop actual tanking. The equations won't change. Having a 10-20% chance at a top-5 pick is still a better outcome than a 1st round exit and a pick in the 20's