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Explain this to me FAMS!


if you go by:

PPP ---> FG% ---> Percentile Ranking

Holiday: 1.07 ---> 50.8% ---> 84.0% (12.3% of possessions)
Sharpe: 0.97 ---> 42.3% ---> 64.8% (12.3% of possessions)
Deni: 0.96 ---> 35.8% ---> 62.8% (13.1% of possessions)
Grant: 0.67 ---> 34.0% ---> 14.0% (9.0% of possessions)

Devin Booker: 1.08 ---> 50.8% ---> 87.6% (14.0% of possessions)
Tyler Herro: 1.30 ---> 63.6% ---> 97.2% (11.5% of possessions)
SGA: 1.17 ---> 50.0% ---> 93.2% (26.7% of possessions)
Payton Pritchard: 1.22 ---> 58.4% ---> 95.2% (13.4% of possessions)
Aaron Gordon:: 1.18 ---> 44.2% ---> 93.6% (15.9% of possessions)

just focusing on FG% doesn't tell you much. It doesn't account for FT frequency or FT conversion rate. Doesn't account for turnover rate. Doesn't tell you anything about PPP or the frequency of the play type.
 
if you go by:

PPP ---> FG% ---> Percentile Ranking

Holiday: 1.07 ---> 50.8% ---> 84.0% (12.3% of possessions)
Sharpe: 0.97 ---> 42.3% ---> 64.8% (12.3% of possessions)
Deni: 0.96 ---> 35.8% ---> 62.8% (13.1% of possessions)
Grant: 0.67 ---> 34.0% ---> 14.0% (9.0% of possessions)

Devin Booker: 1.08 ---> 50.8% ---> 87.6% (14.0% of possessions)
Tyler Herro: 1.30 ---> 63.6% ---> 97.2% (11.5% of possessions)
SGA: 1.17 ---> 50.0% ---> 93.2% (26.7% of possessions)
Payton Pritchard: 1.22 ---> 58.4% ---> 95.2% (13.4% of possessions)
Aaron Gordon:: 1.18 ---> 44.2% ---> 93.6% (15.9% of possessions)

just focusing on FG% doesn't tell you much. It doesn't account for FT frequency or FT conversion rate. Doesn't account for turnover rate. Doesn't tell you anything about PPP or the frequency of the play type.
FG% does imply a bit about getting fouls called; if you’re fouled the miss doesn’t count against you. So in a way it’s implying Deni isn’t getting whistles.

That said of course, his main value on the drive is the dish, which doesn’t involve him shooting at all. I’d love to see what his assist rate is versus these other iso players.
 
"While the Magic City promotion itself has been cancelled, some planned elements of the night will remain in place. Pre-ordered merchandise will still be delivered, though the Magic City-themed hoodie the team has promoted will not be on sale at the game. Atlanta-based rapper T.I. will still perform at halftime."

Sweet:

1773096773650.webp
 
Almost as if not having a PG for half the season makes a difference.
Jrue is averaging 4.8 turnovers/100-possessions; that's his highest mark in 12 years. Scoot is a turnover machine. So are Deni & Shaedon

1773161132445.png

Portland only has 2 players above a 2.0 assist/turnover ratio (Jrue-Wesley). And their best, Jrue, is only at 2.16 (his worst mark since his rookie season). My strong hunch is that those are the worst team marks, by far, in the league. Having more games from Jrue and Scoot wouldn't have changed this situation

for some reason, it sure looks like the Blazers have collected a group of players that don't shoot well and have the worst ball-security in the NBA. In this case it might be the sum of the parts is lesser than the whole.

the turnover rate ranking is a bit different but still shows mostly the same sinners:

1773161932598.png

what's wild to me is that Clingan is so low on these rankings. Seems like he loses possession of the ball in the restricted area a lot, but that doesn't show up here. Maybe the definition of a possession is more restricted than I'm thinking
 
Jrue is averaging 4.8 turnovers/100-possessions; that's his highest mark in 12 years. Scoot is a turnover machine. So are Deni & Shaedon

View attachment 82378

Portland only has 2 players above a 2.0 assist/turnover ratio (Jrue-Wesley). And their best, Jrue, is only at 2.16 (his worst mark since his rookie season). My strong hunch is that those are the worst team marks, by far, in the league. Having more games from Jrue and Scoot wouldn't have changed this situation

for some reason, it sure looks like the Blazers have collected a group of players that don't shoot well and have the worst ball-security in the NBA. In this case it might be the sum of the parts is lesser than the whole.

the turnover rate ranking is a bit different but still shows mostly the same sinners:

View attachment 82379

what's wild to me is that Clingan is so low on these rankings. Seems like he loses possession of the ball in the restricted area a lot, but that doesn't show up here. Maybe the definition of a possession is more restricted than I'm thinking

Live ball turnovers are the issue, not regular turnovers. Live ball turnovers means bad passes, iirc.
 
Live ball turnovers are the issue, not regular turnovers. Live ball turnovers means bad passes, iirc.
yeah, I know what live ball turnovers are...which is most of them. Jrue doesn't commit a lot of moving screens. Scoot does pass to fans a lot though
 
The Blazers have had times they've been very aggressively pushing the pace. They get some easy buckets and bait opponents into turnovers as well but the flip side is they have a lot of turnovers. That's why guys like Jrue are way higher this year than any other times of their career.

If the Blazers had Dame and someone else that could generate efficient offense, plus better shooting, they could push the pace a bit less and be more careful with the ball.

I'm not terribly concerned with the turnovers this season but it is interesting.
 

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